Here's a different perspective. The argument here is that Trump's negotiating tactic is to always demand the moon, then settles for less.
HAPPY BIRTHDAY, MR. PRESIDENT ☙ Monday, June 15, 2026 ☙ C&C NEWS
Trump's 80th stacked seven once-in-a-lifetime wins — a weather miracle, three sporting upsets, an Iran deal, record markets — weeks before America's 250th. Let's run the dot-connection lab.
Jeff Childers | Jun 15, 2026Regular readers know that I have something of a dot-connection impulse, or possibly an obsession. (We don’t know yet.) This one I can’t prove. I mean that proving it is impossible. Proving the existence of a lucky president falls into the hazy Twilight Zone beyond the boundaries of conventional science. But the dots are right there. . . .
. . . Apart from President Trump’s vague description, we don’t yet know any specific terms of “the Deal.” Democrats and the media, which so far have tried to characterize one of the shortest wars in human history as a “forever war,” are preparing to pivot to complaining that “Trump’s peace deal isn’t good enough.”
🔥 You could make a very strong argument that the deal’s terms are irrelevant. They are just the candles on America’s birthday cake. After only two months of fighting from the air, and with fewer casualties than Joe Biden racked up just in his catastrophic scramble to flee Afghanistan or in one drone assault against a Syrian base, Iran has been disciplined, its neighbors stand with America against it, and both its economy and its war aims have been set back 20 years, at least.
Meanwhile, the world’s global energy flows have been permanently restructured in America’s favor. OPEC’s monopoly —a thorn in our collective sides for our entire lives— has been broken and become a spent force. And now, this. Headline from Seeking Alpha, four days ago:
In other words, the world’s former embargo victim is now the swing export superpower— a structural reversal relative to the entire post-1973 energy system, and since long before the Iranian revolution in 1979.
In fact, even before 1973, the U.S. had never held the title of largest exporter. Ever.
One average index fund of U.S.-based global oil companies is up +67% in the last 12 months— with almost the entire increase accruing after the Iran “war” began:
No previous Middle Eastern war shock has ever directly catapulted U.S. producers into the position of top global exporter and sustained profit center. Not the eight-year Iraq war. Not the 20-year war in Afghanistan (the longest war in U.S. history). None produced sustained benefits for America.
And the Iranian conflict was the shortest major action of them all.
No matter how good (or bad) the peace deal’s terms are, the president’s critics will find a way to hate the result. But, and much more significantly, even without knowing a single agreed point, the markets are loving it— and they are the ones that matter, more than the talking-head experts and critics, for sure.
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https://www.coffeeandcovid.com/p/happy-birthday-mr-president-monday
Topic: Live Thread: War With Iran Continues #5 (Read 12843 times)
