Election 2024: Battleground States Closely Divided
Election 2024: Battleground States Closely Divided
Tuesday, August 27, 2024
The presidential contest between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is neck-and-neck in five crucial battleground” states.
A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA finds that, if the election were held today, 48% of Likely Voters in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Three percent (3%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Thirty-five percent (35%) of battleground state voters say the economy is the most important issue for them, followed by border security (17%) and abortion (13%). The state-by-state breakdown of the presidential race:
– ARIZONA: Trump 47%, Harris 45%
1,187 Likely Voters, August 13-17, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )
– MICHIGAN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%
1,093 Likely Voters, August 13-17, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )
– NEVADA: Trump 48%, Harris 46%
980 Likely Voters, August 13-18, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )
– PENNSYLVANIA: Trump 47%, Harris 46%
1,312 Likely Voters, August 13-17, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )
– WISCONSIN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%
1,099 Likely Voters, August 13-19, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )
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The survey of 5,671 Likely Voters in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin was conducted on August 13-20, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence; for each individual state’s results, the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_battleground_states_closely_divided