Author Topic: Rasmussen Reports  (Read 35089 times)

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Offline mystery-ak

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Offline libertybele

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #201 on: October 03, 2024, 02:34:47 pm »

https://twitter.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1841902206217552242

I would love to see this happen.  I do believe that IF we have a fair election, that Trump will win MI and PA. My concern is FL and TX.

I keep praying that the evilness that continues to prevail will end.

Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #202 on: October 03, 2024, 02:40:35 pm »
Okay what happened yesterday that caused Comma-la to gain 3pts.....visiting the Hurricane states?


https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1841906693170401511
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #204 on: October 03, 2024, 03:15:09 pm »
Okay what happened yesterday that caused Comma-la to gain 3pts.....visiting the Hurricane states?


https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1841906693170401511

Take the polls with a grain of salt.  They aren't accurate.  My hunch is the Trump is way ahead, but I'm still waiting for the shoe to drop so to speak to see how the DEMS try to manipulate a win.

Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #205 on: October 03, 2024, 03:21:48 pm »
Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
·
2m
"If the 2024 election were between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?"

Independents Only-
Trump: 48% (+7)
Harris: 41%
Someone Else: 4%
Not Sure: 6%
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #206 on: October 03, 2024, 03:46:07 pm »
Okay what happened yesterday that caused Comma-la to gain 3pts.....visiting the Hurricane states?



Just goes to show what happens with a squirrelly 300 preson respondant sample size.  I think polls are pretty worthless at this point.  Each candidate's base and ceilings are set.  It's now down to GOTV, and somehow changing he minds of about 25K people in about 6 states.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #207 on: October 03, 2024, 03:53:22 pm »
Just goes to show what happens with a squirrelly 300 preson respondant sample size.  I think polls are pretty worthless at this point.  Each candidate's base and ceilings are set.  It's now down to GOTV, and somehow changing he minds of about 25K people in about 6 states.

These for public consumption polls have ALWAYS been worthless and we never get to see the ones that actually tell what the true situation on the ground is.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
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Offline mystery-ak

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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #209 on: October 04, 2024, 04:08:51 pm »
These for public consumption polls have ALWAYS been worthless and we never get to see the ones that actually tell what the true situation on the ground is.

98% agree.  There are a few like Raz that i trust.  But, even this one is more useful for macro trending, rather that trying to figure out anything outside random daily static .

Like does anyone on earth beleive a 10 point swing like today?
« Last Edit: October 04, 2024, 04:09:57 pm by catfish1957 »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #210 on: October 04, 2024, 04:19:22 pm »
Take the polls with a grain of salt.  They aren't accurate.  My hunch is the Trump is way ahead, but I'm still waiting for the shoe to drop so to speak to see how the DEMS try to manipulate a win.

You think even Rasmussen is biased against Trump?

Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #211 on: October 04, 2024, 04:49:47 pm »
Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
·2m

"If the 2024 election were Between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?"

I'd like to ask this question of Kennedy supporters. ⬆️


« Last Edit: October 04, 2024, 04:50:52 pm by Right_in_Virginia »

Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #212 on: October 04, 2024, 04:53:57 pm »
Okay what happened yesterday that caused Comma-la to gain 3pts.....visiting the Hurricane states?


https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1841906693170401511

Is this a national poll? 

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #213 on: October 04, 2024, 05:52:31 pm »
You think even Rasmussen is biased against Trump?

I think know ALL of them are biased toward what their customers (in this case, the media) are paying them for.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #214 on: October 04, 2024, 05:57:50 pm »
Watching RCP closely to see if they throw out Raz' +7 today as an outlier.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #215 on: October 04, 2024, 07:59:09 pm »
I think know ALL of them are biased toward what their customers (in this case, the media) are paying them for.

That didn't answer my question.

Offline mystery-ak

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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #217 on: October 05, 2024, 11:58:54 am »
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
2h
If Trump is winning, like our polling and the internal polls supposedly suggest...

The next thing you are going to see is every media outlet who is able to giving an olive branch to Trump.
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Offline Lando Lincoln

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #218 on: October 05, 2024, 12:29:10 pm »
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
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If Trump is winning, like our polling and the internal polls supposedly suggest...

The next thing you are going to see is every media outlet who is able to giving an olive branch to Trump.

It seems we could see things begin to break towards Trump and the GOP in the Senate races.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #220 on: October 05, 2024, 01:48:07 pm »

https://twitter.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1842531010212143550

Right now, NC is not exactly friends with Harris because of the FEMA disaster in the wake of Helene.  Ashville may actually go for Trump.
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #223 on: October 06, 2024, 02:42:48 pm »
I wonder how many people in storm ravaged areas of Tennessee, North Carolina, West Virginia, Virginia, or South Carolina are getting any calls from these pollsters.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #224 on: October 06, 2024, 02:48:01 pm »
I wonder how many people in storm ravaged areas of Tennessee, North Carolina, West Virginia, Virginia, or South Carolina are getting any calls from these pollsters.

I'm worried about them even being able to vote...
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #225 on: October 06, 2024, 02:52:16 pm »
I'm worried about them even being able to vote...

Yeah! I'm sure their votes will get counted just like overseas military votes do.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

Offline mystery-ak

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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #227 on: October 07, 2024, 11:57:52 am »
twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1843267172279234720

 "How does the polling industry respond? By releasing ZERO new national results for 3 full days."

Translation?

The MSM and their pollsters realize that the "bandwaggon effect" attempt isn't working, and have to some how regroup and try a new strategy. 
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #228 on: October 07, 2024, 12:01:55 pm »
Translation?

The MSM and their pollsters realize that the "bandwaggon effect" attempt isn't working, and have to some how regroup and try a new strategy.

Nowadays, the polls are only to give an excuse for a close election, and cheating is baked in the pollsters' cake.
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #229 on: October 07, 2024, 12:04:32 pm »
Nowadays, the polls are only to give an excuse for a close election, and cheating is baked in the pollsters' cake.

100% right.  The job these errant pollsters have to do now, is some how and gradually take the finger off the scale, to save face.  Any pollster at the end, that is out of the MOE, has some serious 'splaing to do.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #230 on: October 07, 2024, 12:09:58 pm »
100% right.  The job these errant pollsters have to do now, is some how and gradually take the finger off the scale, to save face.  Any pollster at the end, that is out of the MOE, has some serious 'splaing to do.

Massive cheating will make their convoluted polls seem "reasonable."  No need to take the thumb off the scale.  No explanation necessary.
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #231 on: October 07, 2024, 12:30:05 pm »
100% right.  The job these errant pollsters have to do now, is some how and gradually take the finger off the scale, to save face.  Any pollster at the end, that is out of the MOE, has some serious 'splaing to do.

Well, that used to be how it was done but times have changed and I'm not sure any finger will be lifted this time..
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #232 on: October 07, 2024, 12:34:13 pm »
Well, that used to be how it was done but times have changed and I'm not sure any finger will be lifted this time..

Like the last several elections.
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #233 on: October 07, 2024, 12:37:02 pm »
Like the last several elections.

And the pollsters have been so underreporting Trump, that many off-line analyst already cook in a 2-5% DJT bump.  You'd figure these guys would have more respect for their profession, so that "the cheat" doesn't have to be quantified.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #234 on: October 07, 2024, 12:39:54 pm »
Like the last several elections.

Admittedly my memory isn't as good as it once was but I do seem to remember many polling outfits lifting their fingers a bit near the end  in 2020 but CBS, NBC, ABC, and FAUX NEWS weren't among them for sure.  Those outfits no longer care what we think of them.
"I wish it need not have happened in my time," said Frodo.

"So do I," said Gandalf, "and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us."
- J. R. R. Tolkien

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #235 on: October 07, 2024, 12:45:37 pm »
And the pollsters have been so underreporting Trump, that many off-line analyst already cook in a 2-5% DJT bump.  You'd figure these guys would have more respect for their profession, so that "the cheat" doesn't have to be quantified.

They don't respect anything, including their own polls.
For unvaccinated, we are looking at a winter of severe illness and death — if you’re unvaccinated — for themselves, their families, and the hospitals they’ll soon overwhelm. Sloe Joe Biteme 12/16
I will NOT comply.
 
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #236 on: October 07, 2024, 02:29:18 pm »
The polls just enable them to set the correction factors for the tabulation devices, with a margin of 'safety' so any emergency influx can be brought in on a smaller truck.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #241 on: October 14, 2024, 08:07:57 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #243 on: October 15, 2024, 08:07:37 pm »
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
3m
IMO, this may have moved beyond what the polling shows, or will soon.

Just a gut feeling.

Is the market pricing in what the rest of October looks like?

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #244 on: October 15, 2024, 08:08:26 pm »
Scott Adams
@ScottAdamsSays
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You can almost hear the tumblers falling into place.

Decisions have been made.
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Offline Lando Lincoln

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #245 on: October 15, 2024, 08:59:42 pm »
Scott Adams
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You can almost hear the tumblers falling into place.

Decisions have been made.

I’m not sure what that means exactly.
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #246 on: October 15, 2024, 09:05:14 pm »
I’m not sure what that means exactly.

I think he means Trump will win...everything points to a Trump victory.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #247 on: October 15, 2024, 09:08:49 pm »
I think he means Trump will win...everything points to a Trump victory.
Never relax in the home stretch. Run for all you are worth.
How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #249 on: October 16, 2024, 05:39:27 pm »
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“Therefore do not worry about tomorrow, for tomorrow will worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own.”
-Matthew 6:34