Both candidates numbers are rising following the trend in other polls: we are running out of undecided voters. This has yet again come down to perhaps 1% of the population deciding who the next President will be.
And exactly why we are seeing the phenomenom of big news events like Trump's 2 attempts of his life and debates barely moving the needle. You are partially ight..... There is a tiny amount of people, I am guessing 50-100K who are going to decide this whole thing. And that's a whole lot less than 1%.
At this exact moment, and watching and looking at 100's of polls, I am thinking that Trump's ceiling/floor is 46-48%, and Harris 45-47%
And if anyone on earth right now says they know how a fair election will pan out is bald face lying. It's that damned close.