Author Topic: Rasmussen Reports  (Read 33600 times)

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Online Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #150 on: September 22, 2024, 03:22:26 pm »
Welp I hope these guys are right and every other polling outfit is wrong, really I do.

Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #151 on: September 23, 2024, 09:57:56 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #152 on: September 23, 2024, 10:58:44 am »
Welp I hope these guys are right and every other polling outfit is wrong, really I do.

NY Times/Siena had some encouraging state-level polling this morning in AZ, GA, NC.  It's possible the debate fallout is stabilizing.  But turnout is critical at this point ... and considering the Trump campaign's tendency to "wing it," that is worrisome.

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #153 on: September 23, 2024, 11:33:24 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #154 on: September 23, 2024, 01:16:00 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #155 on: September 23, 2024, 02:50:44 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #156 on: September 23, 2024, 08:23:13 pm »
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #157 on: September 23, 2024, 08:41:14 pm »


I find this poll troubling; trusting Blossom more than Trump with energy policy? :thud:

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #158 on: September 24, 2024, 10:32:30 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #159 on: September 24, 2024, 10:33:39 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #160 on: September 24, 2024, 10:43:01 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #161 on: September 24, 2024, 12:10:30 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #162 on: September 25, 2024, 10:22:49 am »
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Online Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #163 on: September 25, 2024, 10:26:09 am »

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1838936592754344367

Both candidates numbers are rising following the trend in other polls: we are running out of undecided voters. This has yet again come down to perhaps 1% of the population deciding who the next President will be.

Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #164 on: September 25, 2024, 10:47:58 am »
Both candidates numbers are rising following the trend in other polls: we are running out of undecided voters. This has yet again come down to perhaps 1% of the population deciding who the next President will be.

And exactly why we are seeing the phenomenom of big news events like  Trump's 2 attempts of his life and debates barely moving the needle.  You are partially ight.....  There is a tiny amount of people, I am guessing 50-100K who are going to decide this whole thing.  And that's a whole lot less than 1%.

At this exact moment, and watching and looking at 100's of polls, I am thinking that Trump's ceiling/floor is 46-48%, and Harris 45-47%
And if anyone on earth right now says they know how a fair election will pan out is bald face lying.  It's that damned close.
« Last Edit: September 25, 2024, 10:50:06 am by catfish1957 »
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #165 on: September 25, 2024, 10:54:43 am »
And exactly why we are seeing the phenomenom of big news events like  Trump's 2 attempts of his life and debates barely moving the needle.  You are partially ight.....  There is a tiny amount of people, I am guessing 50-100K who are going to decide this whole thing.  And that's a whole lot less than 1%.

At this exact moment, and watching and looking at 100's of polls, I am thinking that Trump's ceiling/floor is 46-48%, and Harris 45-47%
And if anyone on earth right now says they know how a fair election will pan out is bald face lying.  It's that damned close.

Well, I don't know about you, but I find the fact that Harris even allegedly has the support she does downright scary. I know, half of the population is of below average intelligence, and all that, but still! This. should. not. even. be. close.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #166 on: September 25, 2024, 10:57:09 am »
Well, I don't know about you, but I find the fact that Harris even allegedly has the support she does downright scary. I know, half of the population is of below average intelligence, and all that, but still! This. should. not. even. be. close.

Thank your MSM, and their complict pro-Biden/Harris actions for that. 
I display the Confederate Battle Flag in honor of my great great great grandfathers who spilled blood at Wilson's Creek and Shiloh.  5 others served in the WBTS with honor too.

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #167 on: September 25, 2024, 10:58:36 am »
Thank your MSM, and their complict pro-Biden/Harris actions for that.
And the NEA and the University system and parents who aren't paying attention...
How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #168 on: September 25, 2024, 11:36:50 am »
Before anyone gets any heartburn over that riduculous Reuters silly poll having the Strumpet +6......

Notice they mysteriously in their write up, left off their demographic analysis.  Watch for things like this folks.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #169 on: September 25, 2024, 11:41:37 am »
Before anyone gets any heartburn over that riduculous Reuters silly poll having the Strumpet +6......

Notice they mysteriously in their write up, left off their demographic analysis.  Watch for things like this folks.

I saw it this morning..I didn't bother posting it since it looked bogus....
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #170 on: September 25, 2024, 12:18:35 pm »
Before anyone gets any heartburn over that riduculous Reuters silly poll having the Strumpet +6......

Notice they mysteriously in their write up, left off their demographic analysis.  Watch for things like this folks.

I'm more worried about the state  by state breakdown:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #171 on: September 25, 2024, 12:30:13 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #172 on: September 25, 2024, 01:21:05 pm »
I'm more worried about the state  by state breakdown:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college

It is lining up to be that Trump has to win one of these 3 to get elected.....   (PA, WI, or MI)

And that is not going to be an easy task.
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Online Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #173 on: September 25, 2024, 01:32:13 pm »
It is lining up to be that Trump has to win one of these 3 to get elected.....   (PA, WI, or MI)

And that is not going to be an easy task.

He could get Nevada as well.

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #174 on: September 25, 2024, 05:39:42 pm »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #175 on: September 25, 2024, 05:51:32 pm »
Puzzled that the Vegas money still has Harris up 51-47.  As close as it is, from my perch (IMO) Harris has a narrower path to victory. 
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #176 on: September 26, 2024, 09:20:25 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #177 on: September 26, 2024, 11:07:10 am »

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1839275309876535350

Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
·
2h
Nevada state survey MOE is +/- 3%
« Last Edit: September 26, 2024, 11:08:47 am by mystery-ak »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #178 on: September 26, 2024, 11:08:03 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #180 on: September 27, 2024, 10:26:46 am »
« Last Edit: September 27, 2024, 11:55:12 am by mystery-ak »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #181 on: September 27, 2024, 11:52:49 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #182 on: September 27, 2024, 01:45:55 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #183 on: September 27, 2024, 02:25:39 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #184 on: September 27, 2024, 02:27:38 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #185 on: September 27, 2024, 04:30:09 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #186 on: September 27, 2024, 04:32:09 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #187 on: September 27, 2024, 07:00:14 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #188 on: September 27, 2024, 08:02:23 pm »
I've never seen a state polling average like this:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris

PA has like half of the polls statistically tied so, at least according to RCP, this thing is coming down to basically Pennsylvania.

This is close, folks.

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Offline libertybele

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #190 on: September 29, 2024, 07:39:40 pm »
I've never seen a state polling average like this:

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris

PA has like half of the polls statistically tied so, at least according to RCP, this thing is coming down to basically Pennsylvania.

This is close, folks.


I still think Trump is going to take both MI and PA. 


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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #191 on: September 30, 2024, 12:26:32 pm »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #192 on: September 30, 2024, 12:34:27 pm »
/twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1840761523947377100

With that kind a relatively small sample size 300-400, I can see the level of statistical variablity + or - 5.

when you take the entire month of September, with a sample size of approx. 5600, Trump has about a 2.4% advantage.    And I am still of the opinion, that there are few undecideds left.  So, we are at the point that movement is likely minimum, and it boils down to which poll you think is the most beleivable.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #193 on: September 30, 2024, 02:03:29 pm »

I still think Trump is going to take both MI and PA.

Nevada has also been surprisingly close for a state that was basically a blue state a while ago. Not sure what change since 2016 but its hopeful.

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #195 on: October 01, 2024, 09:53:47 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #196 on: October 02, 2024, 11:44:49 am »
Not sure last night's debate had any impact, but Vegas has Trump-Harris basically tied for the first time in almost a month (Sep 9).

At this moment...

Harris- 49.4%
Trump- 49.3%

Looking at all poll data too, I think Harris has peaked, and Trump has the momentum.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #199 on: October 03, 2024, 11:02:08 am »
TWO AMERICAS: MSNBC Is Driving Their Viewers INSANE About Threats to Democracy


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U8WewcSnYFE&ab_channel=RasmussenReports
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