Author Topic: Rasmussen Reports  (Read 33597 times)

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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #50 on: August 22, 2024, 11:48:37 am »
RCP is littered with push polling right now after the Kamel-uh phenomenom started.

The bump is utter bullshit, when Trump's 47% ceiling is set and fixed.  There just aren't that many INDYs and undecideds out there to sway.  It all boils down to GOTV, and montioring the monkey business. And even more finite to those 5 or 6 swing states.
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Offline MeganC

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #51 on: August 22, 2024, 01:04:20 pm »
Push polling is exactly what we're seeing here.
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #56 on: August 25, 2024, 10:06:57 am »

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1827707509647261769


https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1827692409779552613

Quote
Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
If the 2024 candidates for president were Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornell West, Jill Stein and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for?
Independents Only-
Trump: 48% (+9)
Harris: 39%
Kennedy: 7% 👈
West: 0%
Stein: 1%
Oliver: 0%
Someone Else: 1%
Not Sure: 4%

Two-Way (Harris 40% v Trump 51%) = Trump +11

Sunday Afternoon Crosstabs - This Afternoon
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #57 on: August 25, 2024, 10:09:39 am »
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
1h
Looks like 538 and the polling industry are going to edge each other up to Harris +10.
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Offline verga

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #59 on: August 26, 2024, 11:27:45 am »
Has anyone done a poll on which way the RFK supports are leaning?
In a time of universal deceit - telling the truth is a revolutionary act.
�More than any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly.�-Woody Allen
If God invented marathons to keep people from doing anything more stupid, the triathlon must have taken him completely by surprise.

Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #60 on: August 26, 2024, 11:58:51 am »
Has anyone done a poll on which way the RFK supports are leaning?

I've heard about six or seven TV pundits, who are calling 50/50 to 60/40 Trump
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #62 on: August 27, 2024, 07:57:50 pm »
Election 2024: Battleground States Closely Divided

Election 2024: Battleground States Closely Divided

Tuesday, August 27, 2024

The presidential contest between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is neck-and-neck in five crucial battleground” states.

A new telephone and online survey by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA finds that, if the election were held today, 48% of Likely Voters in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin would vote for Trump, while 47% would vote for Harris. Three percent (3%) say they’d vote for some other candidate and two percent (2%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Thirty-five percent (35%) of battleground state voters say the economy is the most important issue for them, followed by border security (17%) and abortion (13%). The state-by-state breakdown of the presidential race:

– ARIZONA: Trump 47%, Harris 45%

1,187 Likely Voters, August 13-17, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )



– MICHIGAN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%

1,093 Likely Voters, August 13-17, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )



– NEVADA: Trump 48%, Harris 46%

980 Likely Voters, August 13-18, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )



– PENNSYLVANIA: Trump 47%, Harris 46%

1,312 Likely Voters, August 13-17, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )



– WISCONSIN: Harris 48%, Trump 47%

1,099 Likely Voters, August 13-19, 2024 (Toplines , Crosstabs )



(Not getting our eNewsletter? Sign up HERE. Already signed up? Try adding updates@rasmussenreports.com to your contacts or whitelisting us. Still having trouble – email subscriptions@rasmussenreports.com. If it's in the news, it's in our polls).

Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 5,671 Likely Voters in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin was conducted on August 13-20, 2024 by Rasmussen Reports and NumbersUSA. The margin of sampling error is +/- 1 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence; for each individual state’s results, the margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

more
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/election_2024_battleground_states_closely_divided
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #65 on: August 28, 2024, 02:38:22 pm »
Based on what we know, there was minimal "bump" from the democrat convention, and Kamala's EC advantage is tenuous.  Some more polls will be released over the next couple of days, so we'll see.

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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #67 on: August 29, 2024, 06:59:12 pm »
Poll: Trump Holds Two-Point Edge Over Harris Nationally

Vice President Kamala Harris continues to trail former President Donald Trump, even after the Democratic National Convention (DNC), according to a Rasmussen Reports poll.


https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1829192577221816779

more
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/08/29/poll-trump-holds-two-point-edge-over-harris-nationally/
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Offline rustynail

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #70 on: August 30, 2024, 04:03:45 pm »
'Kamala Harris is headed to where Joe Biden was before the debate.'  The beach?

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #72 on: September 01, 2024, 10:01:22 am »
Rasmussen Reports
@Rasmussen_Poll
·
52m
If the 2024 election were between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

Independents Only-
Trump: 49% (+8)
Harris: 41%
Someone Else: 5%
Not Sure: 5%

This afternoon - Sunday Afternoon Crosstabs



Quote
Election 2024: Trump 48%, Harris 46%

Thursday, August 29, 2024

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/biden_administration/election_2024_trump_48_harris_46

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #73 on: September 01, 2024, 10:05:17 am »

https://twitter.com/Mark_R_Mitchell/status/1830190991594164328

Quote
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
·
3h
POV:
You're Kamala (VP)
Nate shows you're losing.
538 lead dropping.
A million years to the debate.
Labor day weekend ticking down.
Joe Biden short-timing it.
Gonna be an empty news cycle come Tuesday.

What do you do?
« Last Edit: September 01, 2024, 10:06:44 am by mystery-ak »
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Offline collins

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #74 on: September 01, 2024, 11:15:46 am »
well, now that it's September, it's getting more serious but I think it will be hard to call until the end of next month. There's a debate, a sentencing by a hack NYC judge, and rumors of more than one "October Surprise" concerning all of them except Trump. National polls are all over the place right now, but I do sense Trump will win as of now.

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #75 on: September 01, 2024, 11:45:08 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #76 on: September 01, 2024, 03:03:33 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #77 on: September 01, 2024, 05:05:48 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #78 on: September 01, 2024, 05:06:53 pm »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #79 on: September 02, 2024, 09:07:01 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #80 on: September 03, 2024, 09:43:49 am »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #82 on: September 03, 2024, 11:23:57 am »
re: New trend?

The sheeple have been hypnotized and mesmerized into a MSM mind control like scenario.  On another thread, I said I think she wins with smoke and mirrors on this one.  Well at least I think she's got the popular vote.  Electoral college?  Not so sure.

One thing is certain....   The dims outplayed the GOP when it mattered most.

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #83 on: September 04, 2024, 09:40:34 am »
« Last Edit: September 04, 2024, 02:19:55 pm by mystery-ak »
She asked me name my foe then. I said the need within some men to fight and kill their brothers without thought of Love or God. Ken Hensley

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #84 on: September 04, 2024, 10:47:12 am »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #85 on: September 04, 2024, 10:49:38 am »

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1831295199185662460

Can not count how many times I have repeated the fact about Trump's 47% ceiling.  That graphic just nails it.

Don't be surprised by possiblity of 5K voters deciding this race.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #88 on: September 05, 2024, 11:43:51 am »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #89 on: September 06, 2024, 09:48:17 am »

@Mark_R_Mitchell
 explains poll weighting to @BreannaMorello
 starting at time code 6:00 in this new segment.

Spend a few minutes today to understand how our process is working vs The NY Times.


https://twitter.com/BreannaMShow/status/1832015135864438835
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Offline MeganC

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #90 on: September 06, 2024, 12:53:53 pm »
Just my overall non-scientific sense of the media and polling is that a growing consensus of the Establishment is starting to admit that Harris' numbers are eroding.

Right after her announcement came out that she'd overthrown Biden the polls very conspicuously flipped from before the announcement.

Here's Newsweek before the announcement saying she had 38% support (which IMHO was being generous).

https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-approval-ratings-election-1898306

And after saying she was the mostest most popular candidate ever here's Newsweek this morning:

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-closing-gap-kamala-harris-new-poll-shows-1949555

Donald Trump Closing the Gap on Kamala Harris, New Poll Shows

« Last Edit: September 06, 2024, 12:54:58 pm by MeganC »
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #91 on: September 06, 2024, 02:13:54 pm »
2024 is Down to a TIE! But Here's the Good News for Trump...

Sep 6, 2024
Our latest election matchup numbers are out and the 2024 Harris v. Trump results show a statistical tie.  We get into the demographics and where the race goes from here.

Now posting on Twitter at:   / mark_r_mitchell 


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cKt1NxEQU78&ab_channel=RasmussenReports
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #92 on: September 06, 2024, 02:30:13 pm »
Trump was well on his way leaning ahead and winning in '20, until 12:26 a.m. CDT on 4 November 2020.

At that exact time, vote tabulation stopped simutaneously at that exact moment, and every network when to their analysis desk..  When restarted all 6 swing states started trend reversing toward Biden.  This was not plausible. And proof that somethng sinister was underway. 
And to think there are still some Briefers here, who do not think this thing was stolen.  If you are in that category, read this thread for about 10-15 pages (starting 12:26), and get back with us.

https://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,418946.700.html
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Offline MeganC

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #95 on: September 06, 2024, 04:54:17 pm »
Trump was well on his way leaning ahead and winning in '20, until 12:26 a.m. CDT on 4 November 2020.

At that exact time, vote tabulation stopped simutaneously at that exact moment, and every network when to their analysis desk..  When restarted all 6 swing states started trend reversing toward Biden.  This was not plausible. And proof that somethng sinister was underway. 
And to think there are still some Briefers here, who do not think this thing was stolen.  If you are in that category, read this thread for about 10-15 pages (starting 12:26), and get back with us.

https://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,418946.700.html

The 2020 election was indeed stolen from President Trump.

And in a few short weeks he will join FDR as one of the only two men elected to the Presidency three times.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #96 on: September 06, 2024, 05:14:44 pm »
Trump was well on his way leaning ahead and winning in '20, until 12:26 a.m. CDT on 4 November 2020.

At that exact time, vote tabulation stopped simutaneously at that exact moment, and every network when to their analysis desk..  When restarted all 6 swing states started trend reversing toward Biden.  This was not plausible. And proof that somethng sinister was underway. 
And to think there are still some Briefers here, who do not think this thing was stolen.  If you are in that category, read this thread for about 10-15 pages (starting 12:26), and get back with us.

https://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,418946.700.html

Yup.  We were just hanging out waiting for the election to be called for Trump ---- and watched the gates of hell open in real time. 

I am really glad you were there @catfish1957





« Last Edit: September 06, 2024, 05:22:11 pm by Right_in_Virginia »

Offline catfish1957

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #97 on: September 06, 2024, 05:43:26 pm »
Yup.  We were just hanging out waiting for the election to be called for Trump ---- and watched the gates of hell open in real time. 

I am really glad you were there @catfish1957

Same to you...   :beer:

To me, it was like a surreal episode of "The Twilight Zone".  How this unfolded was like watching a slow train wreck.  We both knew what was happening, but since in was the wee hours of the morning, we knew the guilty parties were pulling  it off.

And now that they have a successful precedent, I won't be surprised if it is tried again.
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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #98 on: September 07, 2024, 09:55:56 am »
Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
@Mark_R_Mitchell
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10m
Here's the story:
2020 - Biden +4.5
Our October '20 results - Biden +6
Our shift in weighting - Dem -2
Shift due to adding recalled vote - Dem +~3
Current results - Trump +1

+6 +(-2) +3 -1 = 8

Trump is doing 8 points better than 2020
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Offline mystery-ak

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Re: Rasmussen Reports
« Reply #99 on: September 07, 2024, 12:00:02 pm »
Proud Supporter of Tunnel to Towers
Support the USO
Democrat Party...the Party of Infanticide

“Therefore do not worry about tomorrow, for tomorrow will worry about itself. Each day has enough trouble of its own.”
-Matthew 6:34