Kari Lake Officially Launches Bid For US Senate

[bigheadfred]

There hasn't been an update for hours.

[Free Vulcan]

There hasn't been an update for hours.

C'mon man! It takes time to print those Rat ballots!

[Bigun]

Give me a bleep break.

https://twitter.com/shipwreckedcrew/status/1854211213711794517

[cato potatoe]

Please quit nominating this woman.  Some of the worst people are getting elected by AZ, and it’s ridiculous. 

[catfish1957]

Please quit nominating this woman.  Some of the worst people are getting elected by AZ, and it’s ridiculous.

I threw the name of Randy Johnson out there.  I understand he is a conservative Republican , and you don't get much better name recognition than him in AZ.

He would be great for the intimidation factor.  Ask the local sea gulls

[HikerGuy83]

I agree.  She ran two lousy campaigns, and that's enough for me.  Dems didn't need to cheat this one.

We need to identify who is interested and start promoting them NOW.

Four years from now.....Mark Kelly gets dumped.  BIG TIME

[bigheadfred]

Charlie Kirk

@charliekirk11
Kari Lake has a chance of winning. We will be streaming TONIGHT to go over all of this.

There are over 1 million votes outstanding and she's currently only down 59,000 votes. Lots of RED votes left to count.

Trump expanding his margins which could carry Kari.
Last edited
12:51 PM · Nov 6, 2024
·
357.2K
 Views

[Bigun]

https://twitter.com/WendyRogersAZ/status/1854250041898422356

[DB]

I wonder if the smaller counties purposely held off reporting so that Maricopa county didn't have intel on what they needed ahead of time.

[Cyber Liberty]

I wonder if the smaller counties purposely held off reporting so that Maricopa county didn't have intel on what they needed ahead of time.

That may be why we have so little data about all the election returns.   We had a lot of Props.

[Weird Tolkienish Figure]

Charlie Kirk

@charliekirk11
Kari Lake has a chance of winning. We will be streaming TONIGHT to go over all of this.

There are over 1 million votes outstanding and she's currently only down 59,000 votes. Lots of RED votes left to count.

Trump expanding his margins which could carry Kari.
Last edited
12:51 PM · Nov 6, 2024
·
357.2K
 Views

Interesting. I hope she wins.

[libertybele]

Interesting. I hope she wins.

I hope she does too!!

[mountaineer]

Better Lake than the alternative, but she probably should have started her political endeavors at something less lofty than governor or Senator.

[HikerGuy83]

I would call it a miracle if she wins. 

And we could use more miracles.

She still ran a jackass campaign. 

If she does very much smart, she creams this guy.

[Kamaji]

Where does the count stand now?

[Hoodat]

Lake trails by 39K with 77.1% reporting.

Arizona is different than most other places in that the Republican usually gains with the late votes.  In 2020, they basically ran out the clock on Trump.  There is a deadline for certification, so the Dems slowed the counting process.  Trump was slowly but steadily gaining.  And had every vote been counted, he may have won.  But once the deadline hit, the remaining votes were tossed.

Republicans there need to make sure they don't try that stunt again.

[Weird Tolkienish Figure]

Lake trails by 39K with 77.1% reporting.

Arizona is different than most other places in that the Republican usually gains with the late votes.  In 2020, they basically ran out the clock on Trump.  There is a deadline for certification, so the Dems slowed the counting process.  Trump was slowly but steadily gaining.  And had every vote been counted, he may have won.  But once the deadline hit, the remaining votes were tossed.

Republicans there need to make sure they don't try that stunt again.

This should be illegal.

[Bigun]

This should be illegal.

Hear here! 

[Smokin Joe]

I wonder if the smaller counties purposely held off reporting so that Maricopa county didn't have intel on what they needed ahead of time.

That is possible, and an idea which had been posted here on this forum: Make 'em guess how much they needed for the steal, and make them turn in their numbers first.

[catfish1957]

I've done a full extrapolation of each county's result weighed proportionally by votes left to count.

And unfort. Gallego wins by 61K

[Hoodat]

I've done a full extrapolation of each county's result weighed proportionally by votes left to count.

And unfort. Gallego wins by 61K

Thank you for doing the grunt work on that.

[DB]

I've done a full extrapolation of each county's result weighed proportionally by votes left to count.

And unfort. Gallego wins by 61K

How did you arrive at that? With 78.53% counted Lake is behind 35,504 votes and closing with more than 714,000 votes to count.

[DB]

With about 3% more of the vote counted, Lake gained 2182 votes.

[Bigun]

With about 3% more of the vote counted, Lake gained 2182 votes.

Arizonia is the laughingstock of the world right now.

[DB]

Arizonia is the laughingstock of the world right now.

I think that's a good thing.

It is in your face incompetence, and they can't hide it anymore.

[Bigun]

https://twitter.com/gatewaypundit/status/1855027276015886819

[Hoodat]

Lake trails by 32,317

Here are the counties where Lake leads'
Projected gains for Lake going forward in these counties:
-------------------------------------------

Yuma County (69.2% in) - + 5,188

La Paz County (91% in) - +  253

Mojave County (90.6% in) - + 5,003

Yavapai County (73.2% in) - +12,006

Gila County (96% in) - +  329

Navajo County (95% in) - +  270

Pinal County (98% in) - +  586

Graham County (99% in) - +  62

Greenlee County (99% in) - +  10

Cochise County (47% in) - + 8,557

Total gain: + 32,264


This almost covers the gap for her.  But there are five more counties where she trails.  Chief among these is Pima County where there alone Gallego is expected to gain another 27,920 votes.  Maricopa County, another 13,478.  Apache County, another 3,930.  It does not look promising for Lake.  Projection, Gallego by 45-50K.

[Bigun]

https://twitter.com/TomFitton/status/1855078649302864133

[Bigun]

Lake trails by 32,317

Here are the counties where Lake leads'
Projected gains for Lake going forward in these counties:
-------------------------------------------

Yuma County (69.2% in) - + 5,188

La Paz County (91% in) - +  253

Mojave County (90.6% in) - + 5,003

Yavapai County (73.2% in) - +12,006

Gila County (96% in) - +  329

Navajo County (95% in) - +  270

Pinal County (98% in) - +  586

Graham County (99% in) - +  62

Greenlee County (99% in) - +  10

Cochise County (47% in) - + 8,557

Total gain: + 32,264


This almost covers the gap for her.  But there are five more counties where she trails.  Chief among these is Pima County where there alone Gallego is expected to gain another 27,920 votes.  Maricopa County, another 13,478.  Apache County, another 3,930.  It does not look promising for Lake.  Projection, Gallego by 45-50K.

Arizonia is a boil on the ass of the world when it comes to counting votes! Third world goat herders do it orders of magnitude better!

[catfish1957]

How did you arrive at that? With 78.53% counted Lake is behind 35,504 votes and closing with more than 714,000 votes to count.

Easy...

Each county has a count and a percentage of ballot outstanding.  Extrapolate the remaining ballots, based on candidate percentages thus far, and you get a rough, but of course not perfect estimate.

And in this case, realize that a huge chunk left out there is Maricopa County, which was skewed towards Gallego.

[Hoodat]

@DB

Using LaPaz county as an example, here's what the current votes look like:

With 91% reporting
----------------------
Lake     - 4,675
Gallego - 2,114
==========

Difference - + 2,561

To extrapolate forward like @catfish1957 said,  you divide the difference by the reporting percentage, then multiply by the percentage remaining.


2561 * ((1 - 0.91) / 0.91) = 2561 * (9/91) = 253

This gives you the gain (or loss) with the remaining votes.

[Bigun]

@DB

Using LaPaz county as an example, here's what the current votes look like:

With 91% reporting
----------------------
Lake     - 4,675
Gallego - 2,114
==========

Difference - + 2,561

To extrapolate forward like @catfish1957 said,  you divide the difference by the reporting percentage, then multiply by the percentage remaining.


2561 * ((1 - 0.91) / 0.91) = 2561 * (9/91) = 253

This gives you the gain (or loss) with the remaining votes.

My method is a little different.

4,675+
2,114

6789 +9% = 7400-6789=611x.69=422 votes remaining for Lake.

And btw: I'm not buying the idea that the same people who voted for Trump in Arizona turned around and voted for that turd Gallego. Not for one second!

[Cyber Liberty]

https://twitter.com/gatewaypundit/status/1855027276015886819

In the middle of all this, Richer deleted his X account to avoid having to tweet out the counts, making it more difficult for us to see how it's going.  Maricopa is not the Dem slam dunk people think it is!

[Bigun]

In the middle of all this, Richer deleted his X account to avoid having to tweet out the counts, making it more difficult for us to see how it's going.  Maricopa is not the Dem slam dunk people think it is!

I understand that this asshat won't be returning in Jan. 2025 but that doesn't help matters today and he is far from the only asshat in Maricopa County "leadership".

We have the same sort of thing in Harris County. Luckily I'm a few counties North.

[Cyber Liberty]

I understand that this asshat won't be returning in Jan. 2025 but that doesn't help matters today and he is far from the only asshat in Maricopa County "leadership".

We have the same sort of thing in Harris County. Luckily I'm a few counties North.

I am REALLY glad today that I left The Peoples Republic of Maricopa.  Mohave County is, as Roamer would say, mo bedda.

[Bigun]

I am REALLY glad today that I left The Peoples Republic of Maricopa.  Mohave County is, as Roamer would say, mo bedda.

 

[DB]

I am REALLY glad today that I left The Peoples Republic of Maricopa.  Mohave County is, as Roamer would say, mo bedda.

As you know I'm in Maricopa County. Trump has a pretty big lead so far in this county with 82% counted. Lake may well lose but so far the gap is closing and there are enough uncounted votes that could swing it in her favor. I also suspect a fair amount of people left the senate vote empty. Lake waited too long to respond to Gallego's charges. And Gallego could have been destroyed by his voting record supporting illegal alien's benefits contrary to his ads.

[Cyber Liberty]

As you know I'm in Maricopa County. Trump has a pretty big lead so far in this county with 82% counted. Lake may well lose but so far the gap is closing and there are enough uncounted votes that could swing it in her favor. I also suspect a fair amount of people left the senate vote empty. Lake waited too long to respond to Gallego's charges. And Gallego could have been destroyed by his voting record supporting illegal alien's benefits contrary to his ads.

IOW, she's rerunning the 2022 race for Guv?  She did not bother to campaign or even run ads in the rural Counties again.  Gallego had air superiority here, just like Hobbs did.

[mystery-ak]

SEND IN THE US MARSHALS: Arizona Officials Caught Changing the Ballot Totals as Counting for US Senate Seat Continues
by Jim Hoft Nov. 9, 2024 8:00 am

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/11/send-us-marshals-arizona-officials-caught-changing-ballot/

[Cyber Liberty]

SEND IN THE US MARSHALS: Arizona Officials Caught Changing the Ballot Totals as Counting for US Senate Seat Continues
by Jim Hoft Nov. 9, 2024 8:00 am

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/11/send-us-marshals-arizona-officials-caught-changing-ballot/

How can we know if ballots are "being added" when they never counted them when shutting down the Polling Stations?

[240B]

All of the stalling and delaying is only to give the Democrats enough time to print enough ballots to win.
From practical experience, EVERY TIME there is a delay or a problem with the counting, Democrats ALWAYS wind up winning. This is a technique they have practiced and perfected over decades. (e.g., Al Franken)

Until some State Authority, legal authority, steps in and takes control, the counting will continue to be an amature-hour free-for-all which is dominated by Democrat fanatical operatives.

[Bigun]

All of the stalling and delaying is only to give the Democrats enough time to print enough ballots to win.
From practical experience, EVERY TIME there is a delay or a problem with the counting, Democrats ALWAYS wind up winning. This is a technique they have practiced and perfected over decades. (e.g., Al Franken)

Until some State Authority, legal authority, steps in and takes control, the counting will continue to be an amature-hour free-for-all which is dominated by Democrat fanatical operatives.

 

[Bigun]

https://twitter.com/tylerbowyer/status/1855349458923638850

And trump wins handily but Kari is losing???

 

[libertybele]

Apparently AZ is still waiting to count 500,000 ballots! 

I posted an article earlier as to why AZ is having so many problems.  I think the 'problems' are becoming apparent.

Estimated 500,000-plus ballots still uncounted in Arizona: 'Elections do not end on Election Day'

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/estimated-more-than-500000-ballots-still-uncounted-arizona-elections-do-not-end-election-day

[Cyber Liberty]

Apparently AZ is still waiting to count 500,000 ballots! 

I posted an article earlier as to why AZ is having so many problems.  I think the 'problems' are becoming apparent.

Estimated 500,000-plus ballots still uncounted in Arizona: 'Elections do not end on Election Day'

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/estimated-more-than-500000-ballots-still-uncounted-arizona-elections-do-not-end-election-day

This appears to be a bit different than 2020 and 2022. 

Then, they could just print more ballots to stuff the boxes.  I think they are encountering difficulty because of legal judgements these past 4 years.  Now they are just dragging their feet to piss off the candidates like Kari. 

[Kamaji]

One of the first acts of the new Congress should be a law denying all federal funds to any state that does not clean up its voter rolls and implement election reforms to avoid these shenanigans, such as voter ID, and mail-in/absentee ballots only for identifiable good causes and an auditable trail from ballots being cast to counted to results being certified.


Clean, reliable elections are so fundamental to this country that a state that cannot act in accordance with the gravity of the situation should not be allowed to draw on common resources while flouting the common interest.

[Cyber Liberty]

One of the first acts of the new Congress should be a law denying all federal funds to any state that does not clean up its voter rolls and implement election reforms to avoid these shenanigans, such as voter ID, and mail-in/absentee ballots only for identifiable good causes and an auditable trail from ballots being cast to counted to results being certified.


Clean, reliable elections are so fundamental to this country that a state that cannot act in accordance with the gravity of the situation should not be allowed to draw on common resources while flouting the common interest.

Well said!

[Bigun]

One of the first acts of the new Congress should be a law denying all federal funds to any state that does not clean up its voter rolls and implement election reforms to avoid these shenanigans, such as voter ID, and mail-in/absentee ballots only for identifiable good causes and an auditable trail from ballots being cast to counted to results being certified.


Clean, reliable elections are so fundamental to this country that a state that cannot act in accordance with the gravity of the situation should not be allowed to draw on common resources while flouting the common interest.

I would go even further and propose a constitutional amendment that tightly spells out how elections for federal offices must be conducted.

[mystery-ak]

Insurrection Barbie
@DefiyantlyFree
So you’re trying to tell me that Ruben Gallego got 76,000 more votes than Kamala Harris as of right now?

And that there is still 31,000 more ballots for the Senate race than the presidential race?

Meaning 31,000 people voted just for the Senate candidate and nothing else on the ballot?

There is no way that the results of the Arizona Senate race are legitimate.

[Hoodat]

One of the first acts of the new Congress should be a law denying all federal funds to any state that does not clean up its voter rolls and implement election reforms to avoid these shenanigans, such as voter ID, and mail-in/absentee ballots only for identifiable good causes and an auditable trail from ballots being cast to counted to results being certified.

There, fixed it.  It is not the job of the federal government to fund States.