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Author Topic: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen  (Read 360 times)

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Online Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« on: Friday, Jun 05, 2026 11:55 am »
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #1 on: Friday, Jun 05, 2026 05:43 pm »
Another rationale for believing crude prices will not fall after the Iran conflict finishes.

Reserves are way down, facilities crippled, transit uncertain.

Increase in Venezuelan heavy crude imports might be one way to improve the developing lube crisis.
Thanks for posting.
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #2 on: Saturday, Jun 06, 2026 05:16 am »
Well our prices have dropped from 4.19 to 3.78.  So go figure.
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #3 on: Saturday, Jun 06, 2026 06:45 am »
Quote from: Wingnut on Saturday, Jun 06, 2026 05:16 am
Well our prices have dropped from 4.19 to 3.78.  So go figure.
The article indicates one reason is that refineries have prioritized transportation fuel product lines.  Since this article is about lubricants, it may not go so well in that arena.

In any case, I plan to go out and stock up on some motor oil and lube tubes just in case.

Who knows, it may be like stocking up on ammo and watching it go up exponentially as supplies get cut short.
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Offline WingNot

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #4 on: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 12:36 am »
Looks like 10W40 is the new toilet paper of hoarding!   :)
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Online bigheadfred

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #5 on: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 03:51 am »
$4.15 Down from +/-$4.50
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #6 on: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 05:20 am »
Oil is about to be very expensive unless the bottleneck is cleared.  China has been living off its massive reserves, and the US reserve is at its lowest point since the early 1980s.
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #7 on: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 09:30 am »
Quote from: cato potatoe on Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 05:20 am
Oil is about to be very expensive unless the bottleneck is cleared.  China has been living off its massive reserves, and the US reserve is at its lowest point since the early 1980s.

Tell me again who depleted the SPR. 

J/K we all know who did it. 

Also Congress wouldn't let Trump refill it.  IIRC.
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Online Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #8 on: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 11:27 am »
Quote from: WingNot on Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 12:36 am
Looks like 10W40 is the new toilet paper of hoarding!   :)

Does synthetic blend use petrochemicals?
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #9 on: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 11:57 am »
Quote from: Weird Tolkienish Figure on Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 11:27 am
Does synthetic blend use petrochemicals?
Many do if hydrocarbons are the basics.

10W40 is just a blend oils, likely from hydrocarbons.

Synthetic liquids in the petroleum world are made by taking the hydrocarbon chain of crude and natural gas apart and rearranging thru chemical reactions

One method, Fischer-Tropsch, converts natural gas or coal into a variety of liquids such as gasoline, diesel, kerosene and aviation fuels.  The Nazis uses this to generate fuels from coal to power their tanks.

The synthetic aviation fuels are particularly found useful as these synthetics, unlike fuel made from crude oil, are completely free of contaminants - jet engines love that.

Biomass can also be used to manufacture hydrocarbon and synthetic liquids.
« Last Edit: Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 11:58 am by IsailedawayfromFR »
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Online bigheadfred

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #10 on: Today at 02:58 am »
Quote from: Wingnut on Sunday, Jun 07, 2026 09:30 am
Tell me again who depleted the SPR. 

J/K we all know who did it. 

Also Congress wouldn't let Trump refill it.  IIRC.

This shit is 100% on Trump's dead ass. No pretending or blaming others. **nononono*
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Offline IsailedawayfromFR

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Re: Base Oil Supply Crisis Predicted to Worsen
« Reply #11 on: Today at 03:58 am »
Quote from: bigheadfred on Today at 02:58 am
This shit is 100% on Trump's dead ass. No pretending or blaming others. **nononono*
Kinda tough to buck reality, isn't it?

https://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php?topic=582833.msg3312411#msg3312411
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“You will never understand bureaucracies until you understand that for bureaucrats procedure is everything and outcomes are nothing.” Thomas Sowell
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