Ukraine 7

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2012271365127094390

[Hoodat]

[BobfromWB]

[BobfromWB]

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 16, 2026

Excerpt:

Media reports suggest that a car accident seriously injured Adam Kadyrov, the son of Chechen Republic Head Ramzan Kadyrov and possible successor, but ISW cannot independently verify these reports. Two unspecified sources told Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty's North Caucasus service Kavkaz Realii that Adam Kadyrov is unconscious in intensive care at a hospital in Grozny, Republic of Chechnya, following a car accident.

A Chechen opposition outlet claimed that Adam Kadyrov’s motorcade encountered an unidentified obstacle and crashed.   



The outlet cited local reports about a large convoy of vehicles, including ambulances, driving toward the Grozny airport and authorities flying Kadyrov and other victims to Moscow City for medical treatment.

A source reportedly affiliated with Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) told Ukrainian news agency Ukrinform on January 11 that Ramzan Kadyrov is undergoing inpatient dialysis for kidney failure and is in the process of selecting a new leader of the Republic of Chechnya.

Kadyrov previously appointed Adam, who is currently 18 years old, to a senior position within the Chechen government, and ISW has previously observed reports indicating that Kadyrov was likely planning on positioning Adam as his successor.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-16-2026/

[BobfromWB]

Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Jan 17 2026

What happened to Adam Kadyrov?

Yesterday and today, we received approximately a million messages asking about the fate of Adam Kadyrov. Amid growing rumors about Ramzan Kadyrov's deteriorating health, news emerged that his son Adam had been in an accident in Grozny. He was allegedly even evacuated to Moscow.

Let's be clear: at this point, there is no reliable information about what happened. We won't manipulate.

However, let's take a look at our recent post regarding the appointment of Akhmat Kadyrov as acting deputy prime minister of Chechnya. We clearly stated at the time that such steps were not a transfer of power, but were certainly an attempt to preserve it for Ramzan Kadyrov's family.

At the same time, we wrote that many groups had a completely different view of what was happening and the future of Chechnya. The very existence of rumors about the horrific accident involving the son of the Chechen leader is nothing more than a demonstration of a struggle for influence. Many, it seems, are already thinking about what Chechnya will be like after Kadyrov.

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6678

[BobfromWB]

More on Kadyrov Jr.

A source of the Cheka-OGPU and Rucriminal.info said that after yesterday's accident, Adam Kadyrov was hospitalized in the Ninth, surgical building of the S.P. Botkin Multidisciplinary Scientific and Clinical Center (Botkin Hospital). Repair work has only recently been completed in this building and emergency surgery is being carried out there.

According to the source, Adam is placed in a special part of the building (there is also one in the 8th therapeutic building), which can only be accessed by special order of either the Minister of Health or the leadership of the Moscow mayor's office. The interlocutor says that members of Kadyrov's family have already been treated in these special blocks of Botkinskaya. The patient's condition is assessed as serious.

Recall that yesterday Adam Kadyrov got into a serious accident in Chechnya. He himself was driving as part of a motorcade and lost control at high speed. The son of the head of Chechnya was taken to Moscow.

https://www.rucriminal.info/ru/material/adama-kadyrova-otpravili-v-specblok-botkinskoy

[BobfromWB]

Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Jan 17 2026

More than 200 of our soldiers have died in Kupyansk in the past week and a half; commanders continue to say everything is fine, pleasing Putin

The command, including Andrei Belousov, continues to shamelessly lie about Kupyansk being under our control [ https://t.me/rian_ru/331260 ]. Military correspondents refute these claims and report serious problems on this section of the front [ https://t.me/romanov_92/50747 ].

The problems are truly serious. According to our sources in the Ministry of Defense, at least 204 soldiers have been killed in and around Kupyansk over the past week and a half , with many more wounded and captured.

There's virtually no aid being provided to the troops there, and the enemy is actively engaged. The casualty figures are incomplete, as in some areas of this sector of the front, the number of dead and wounded is simply impossible to count due to the intense fighting.

Even more depressing is the fact that Vladimir Putin received a new report from Belousov, stating that Kupyansk had been "practically cleared of the Ukrainian Armed Forces." According to a Kremlin source, Vladimir Putin was "very pleased" by this information.

We asked him to convey to the President the real data on the situation in Kupyansk. The source refused, saying, "Let the military do that." It seems he didn't believe our information about the army's serious problems in that sector of the front.


https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6677

[BobfromWB]

More Dugin nuttery

Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Jan 17 2026

"The dead will go straight to heaven."

Russians were urged to rejoice at enemy drones and missiles in their cities.

Philosopher Alexander Dugin criticized those who are dissatisfied with enemy strikes on cities located far from the front and the fact that air defense systems often fail to cope with them.

"I'm sure everyone should rejoice at the strikes on our cities. There are plenty of reasons for that.

"First, if someone dies as a result of these strikes, they immediately go to heaven. After all, they are shedding holy blood in the great war that Russia is waging.

"Second, the more such strikes there are, the more of our compatriots will fully mobilize and go to war. I've said many times: we will fight to the bitter end, we will fight everything [ https://t.me/Agdchan/24715 ].

"The sooner millions join the army, the sooner the greatest battles for Russia's victory will begin," says Alexander Gelyevich [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6621 ].

"We no longer have peaceful cities. And the more strikes there are on Moscow, the Caucasus, Siberia, and throughout the country, the sooner the war will become all-out. That is, the kind every normal Russian dreams of. And for those who are unhappy with the strikes on their cities, I advise you to look at the photos and videos from dark Kyiv [ https://t.me/milinfolive/164472 ].

"And rejoice at how our army is freezing enemy children. It's a sacred duty to attack them, because they are the future soldiers in the West's great war against Russia," he added.

A Defense Ministry source, commenting on these remarks, urged Dugin "not to be so categorical." But he acknowledged that "there's no point in worrying about strikes on supposedly peaceful cities."

"We're at war. The enemy isn't just not defeated yet, but it can strike back. It's strange that the average Russian hasn't accepted this fact yet. It's about time! There will be airstrikes on cities. It's important to remember what this is all about," the soldier stated.

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6674

[PeteS in CA]

One tactic Russia has used to capture a target city/town is to create salients that partially surround the target locale and then attack from the three directions until the target is captured. With Kupyansk and Pokrovsk, Ukraine has been able to counter the strategy, isolating and wiping out (deaths and captures) Russian forces near the tips of salients and generally making the tactic very expensive in lives, wounded, and captured. Predictability invites consequences.

[BobfromWB]

SIGNUM drone operators face Russian infantry in a frozen forest.

https://x.com/bayraktar_1love/status/2012525477693452582

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/2012502832516084065

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/2012453182434115747

[Hoodat]

Chef José Andrés 🕊️🥘🍳
@chefjoseandres

A warm bowl of bohrach…a hearty Ukrainian stew…is how @WCKitchen is helping the good people of Kyiv get through these cold, tough days and nights with no power because of Russian bombs. President Zelensky just declared an energy emergency amid endless attacks and brutal winter weather. Our on-the-ground teams are distributing thousands of meals at 25 locations tonight. We will reach across Kyiv soon. #ChefsforUkraine







6:13 PM · Jan 15, 2026  ·  472.4K Views

https://x.com/chefjoseandres/status/2011954970061336780

[Hoodat]

"Liberators and protectors"


Anton Gerashchenko
@Gerashchenko_en

Kyiv. January 16, 2026. The temperature inside the apartment is -2°C.
The building relies on electric heating, which is unavailable due to Russian attacks.
No water as well.

Russia is committing genocide against Ukraine’s civilian population.

📷: yulia_dunay / Threads


1:21 PM · Jan 16, 2026  ·  172.5K Views

https://x.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/2012243867538514178

[Hoodat]

MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA

‼️Russians are transferring paratrooper units to Hulyaipole due to heavy losses, - Voloshin

The transfer of Russian army airborne units to the Hulyaipole and Orikhiv directions has been recorded. This indicates a high level of Russian losses in these directions.

9:24 AM · Jan 17, 2026  ·  13.7K Views

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2012546531543355529

[Hoodat]

MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA

🇮🇹 Guido Crosetto: Italy did not start this war. Ukraine did not start this war. Europe did not start this war. NATO did not start this war. Someone did start it — and only that same actor can stop it.

7:28 AM · Jan 17, 2026  ·  10.2K Views

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2012517496335532131

[Hoodat]

from r/UkraineWarVideoReport

https://www.reddit.com/r/UkraineWarVideoReport/comments/1qfgbmj/russian_soldiers_from_the_55th_mountain_brigade/

[Hoodat]

MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
@Maks_NAFO_FELLA

🇵🇱 Sikorski: For anyone who thinks Russia can be trusted, I remind you that Putin calls the Ukrainian people "brothers" and then murders them.

I remind you that Ukraine and Russia have a border treaty signed by Putin. I also remind you of the Budapest Memorandum. If anyone is still unconvinced, please look at the facts.



2:31 PM · Jan 18, 2026  ·  15.3K Views

https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2012986299028758612

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/2012985741689655365

[Hoodat]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ceT3xfWhRw

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/JayinKyiv/status/2012934111334220048

[Hoodat]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ja6LtZvfce4

[BobfromWB]

Kremlin Secrets/Кремлевская табакерка, Jan 18 2026

Putin was informed how many more years the NWO will last at least. Gerasimov expects 2 waves of mobilization

Vladimir Putin began to receive the first reports and forecasts as part of the preparation of a plan for a multi-year victorious war that Russia is going to wag. One of them concerns the duration of hostilities within the framework of the NWO.

“In the current situation and at the current pace, the NWO will last at least 4-5 years. At the same time, it will be far-sighted to consider less optimistic forecasts. According to them, the minimum duration of the NWO is 6-7 years. Vladimir Vladimirovich received such reports from the military. Many are surprised, but the forecasts are thought out and are based on the real state of affairs,” a source in the Kremlin told us.

This information was confirmed by an interlocutor close to Valery Gerasimov. He expects that in connection with such forecasts, the President will give the go-ahead for 2 waves of mobilization, which will affect a total of about 600-750,000 people. The military has not yet talked about the likely dates of the 1st wave. The Kremlin refuses to comment on the topic of mobilization at the moment.

https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6683

[BobfromWB]

[Hoodat]

Faytuks Network
@FaytuksNetwork

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukrainian forces have regained control over most of the northeastern city of Kupyansk after months of fighting, blunting Russian efforts to seize the logistics hub. Commanders say holding the city removes a potential bargaining chip for Moscow as talks continue. - WaPo



8:54 AM · Jan 19, 2026  ·  15.7K Views

https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2013263871075643457

[Kamaji]

Faytuks Network
@FaytuksNetwork

🇺🇦🇷🇺 Ukrainian forces have regained control over most of the northeastern city of Kupyansk after months of fighting, blunting Russian efforts to seize the logistics hub. Commanders say holding the city removes a potential bargaining chip for Moscow as talks continue. - WaPo



8:54 AM · Jan 19, 2026  ·  15.7K Views

https://x.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2013263871075643457

Congratulations to the freedom-fighters of Ukraine.

[BobfromWB]

[BobfromWB]

Kremlin snuffbox/Кремлевская табакерка, Jan 20 2026

"Many don't understand why it's important to fight and die for Russia." The Kremlin has spoken out about separatism

Colleagues write [ https://t.me/russicaRU/66512 ]: The Kremlin is seriously concerned about separatist sentiments in the regions. We've learned what the problem is.

"There is a problem, and it's quite complex. Many in Siberia, the Caucasus, Tatarstan, somewhere like Tuva or Buryatia, and a number of other regions don't understand why it's important to fight for Russia. Why it's honorable to die for Russia. They're willing to participate in the SVO for money, but not ideologically.

And this reluctance is fueling new separatist sentiments.

"They say, 'When everything was good, we were with you. But when things get tough in Russia, we have to sacrifice something (life, money, time),' and we'll start thinking about some mythical 'identity,' about secession. This is our failure and the failure of the local authorities. We'll fix the situation," a source in the Presidential Administration told us.

He doesn't rule out that "the correction will have to be harsh." But he hopes: "Different nations will finally understand that they have no alternative to Russia. And Russia has no alternative to the SVO ."

Another Kremlin source fears that traitors and internal enemies, including those close to Vladimir Putin, will exploit separatist sentiments and try to use them to end the Second World War without victory for their own gain ( we wrote about this issue [ https://t.me/kremlin_secrets/6623 ] ).

"Such a threat exists. Just as there is the threat of separatist uprisings in certain regions. We are ready to respond and prevent destabilization in the country," a source in the security forces commented on the situation.


https://t.me/s/kremlin_secrets

[MeganC]

Russia is having as much success in Ukraine as California is having with High Speed Rail. 

[PeteS in CA]

"There is a problem, and it's quite complex. Many in Siberia, the Caucasus, Tatarstan, somewhere like Tuva or Buryatia, and a number of other regions don't understand why it's important to fight for Russia. Why it's honorable to die for Russia. They're willing to participate in the SVO for money, but not ideologically.

The ethnic minorities that Russia - Czarist, Soviet, and post-Soviet - have oppressed for centuries should be loyal to Russia?

[MeganC]

The ethnic minorities that Russia - Czarist, Soviet, and post-Soviet - have oppressed for centuries should be loyal to Russia?

 Eggzackly! Why should people who have been bullied and dominated by the damnable Russians feel even the least bit of affection for them, let alone loyalty?

[BobfromWB]

Eggzackly! Why should people who have been bullied and dominated by the damnable Russians feel even the least bit of affection for them, let alone loyalty?

With both of the Kaderovs hospitalized in serious condition, Chechnya may be ready to revolt for the 3rd time.

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/2013696474387804389

[Hoodat]

"Liberators and protectors"

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/2013338694703292619

[Hoodat]

"Liberators and protectors"

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/2013677519644377112

[Hoodat]

[BobfromWB]

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 20, 2026

Headlines mostly

Russian strikes against Ukrainian energy infrastructure cut power to electrical substations powering the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant on January 20, consistent with a recent warning from Ukrainian military intelligence ...


Russia downplayed the impact of Russian strikes on the Chornobyl NPP even as Russia continues to pose increasing threats to all of Ukraine's NPPs ...


Ulyanov is deliberately ignoring the context of this power outage amid the systemic threat and damages that Russia has caused to Ukrainian NPPs throughout the course of the war ...


Russian missile and drone strikes overnight on January 19 to 20 significantly damaged additional energy infrastructure throughout Ukraine, particularly Kyiv City ...


Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that Ukraine received a shipment of air defense missiles on January 18, which significantly supported Ukraine's capability to down a majority of the Russian drones and missiles in the January 19 to 20 strike ...


Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reiterated the Kremlin's commitment to its original war demands against the background of expected peace talks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland on January 20, and falsely accused Ukraine of beginning the war by attacking Russia ...


Drone operators of the Russian Rubikon Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies are increasingly conducting mid-range strikes against Ukraine's high-value, Western-provided air defenses and rocket launchers. Rubikon posted geolocated footage on January 20 showing a first-person view (FPV) drone striking a High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) moving along a road on the night of January 19 to 20 near Novobakhmetieve (northwest of Pokrovsk and roughly 43 kilometers from the frontline).

A Russian milblogger claimed that the signal and image quality of the footage suggest that Rubikon used a drone leveraging communications with a Starlink system.

Rubikon also posted geolocated footage on January 17 of an FPV drone striking the launcher and AN/MPQ-53 radar station of a Patriot air defense system near Berezivka (just southwest of Kharkiv City and roughly 44 kilometers from the front line).

Russian milbloggers claimed that Rubikon used a BM-35 strike drone but disagreed whether Russian forces hit a real Patriot system or a decoy.

One milblogger noted that the FPV strike on the Patriot demonstrates how some Russian frontline drones can now fly far beyond Kharkiv City (roughly 23 kilometers from the frontline), especially with the help of “mothership drones” (such as Molniya fixed-wing FPV drones) that carry one or more shorter-range drones to areas far from the front line.

Russian forces equip Molniya-2 drones with Starlink satellite systems and have long leveraged “mothership” drones that can carry and extend the range of FPV drones, increasing the range and efficiency of Russian drone strikes against Ukraine's near rear.

ISW continues to assess that Russian forces are trying to exploit Ukraine's scarcity of air defense systems, underscoring Ukraine's urgent need for point-defense air defense systems to down reconnaissance and strike drones, as electronic warfare (EW) systems are likely insufficient to defend Ukrainian infrastructure and high-value targets from such a geographically pervasive threat.


Ukrainian forces reportedly created a tactical kill zone that denies Russian forces from using vehicles within 20 to 25 kilometers of the front line or using infantry within one kilometer of the front line near Kupyansk - a capability that Ukraine should deepen and expand across the entire theater. A Ukrainian drone unit reported on January 20 that Ukrainian forces created a kill zone using unmanned systems near Kupyansk that can destroy up to 88 percent of Russian forces before they approach Ukrainian positions ...


Russian forces are using training missiles to strike ground targets in Ukraine, possibly by equipping them with live warheads ...


Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky appointed Colonel Pavlo Yelizarov as the new deputy commander of Ukraine's Air Force on January 20 ...


https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-january-20-2026/

[BobfromWB]