Desperate Democrats Throw Money at Texas, Florida Senate RacesBradley Jaye 26 Sep 2024
Democrats are rolling the dice in long shot races as Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (NY) grows desperate to keep his slim majority.
Senate Democrats’ campaign arm is launching “a new multi-million dollar investment” in Texas, where Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX) is challenging Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), and in Florida, where former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell is challenging Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL).
In a cycle where the map overwhelmingly advantages Republicans and numerous Democrat incumbents are scrambling to keep their seats, Cruz and Scott are seen as the only Republican incumbents running relatively competitive races.
In the high stakes game of Senate campaign spending allotment, nothing happens in a vacuum. Democrats’ new gambles come as Donald Trump’s performance at the top of the ticket and strong Republican candidates have rendered Schumer’s 51-49 majority more endangered than ever.
Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV), who caucuses with Democrats despite declaring himself an independent this year, is retiring, and his seat in ruby red West Virginia is certain to switch to the Republican column.
But in other states where Schumer held out hope, the red tides are turning.
In Montana, Sen. Jon Tester’s (D-MT) career-defying electoral odds in the red state appear to be heading towards an end. Tester is losing by seven points to Republican challenger Tim Sheehy, 50 to 43 percent, in a recent RMG research poll.
Just over five weeks ago, Tester led by five points in that same poll. That’s a 12-point swing towards Sheehy since August 14.
In Ohio, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH), campaigning for a fourth term, has held onto power as Ohio has transitioned into a solidly Republican state. But Republican challenger Bernie Moreno likely has the advantage.
And in the critical swing state of Pennsylvania, where Vice President Kamala Harris’s support appears to have reached a hard ceiling, Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) is running into trouble against big spending Republican challenger Dave McCormick.
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