Cruz race now a 'tossup' should be warning for Texas GOP, says expert

[libertybele]

Not good folks. Not good at all.

Cruz race now a 'tossup' should be warning for Texas GOP, says expert

The race between Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and Rep. Colin Allred, D-Texas, for Senate in Texas is heating up, something one expert believes should serve as a warning to Republicans in the dependably red state.

"Texas is an interesting political environment and will become a bellwether within the next decade," Jimmy Keady, the founder and president of JLK Political Strategies, told Fox News Digital. "With the recent influx of West Coasters, and a fast-growing Hispanic population, recent elections in Texas are closer than Republicans want."

The comments come as Cruz seeks to fend off yet another tight challenge from a Democratic opponent, this time from Allred, who has represented Texas’ 32nd Congressional District in the Dallas area since 2019.

While the Real Clear Politics polling average shows Cruz with a five-point lead in the race, there are some troubling signs for the Republican incumbent, including recent polls that show Cruz with a lead close to within the margin of error.

Allred has looked to capitalize on the momentum, taking to social media to highlight a Morning Consult poll that showed him with a slim lead in the race.

"For the first time in this race, a new poll has us leading Ted Cruz by 1 point. I don't know about y'all but I'm fired up and ready to WIN," Allred said on X. "We've got 47 days, let's do this Texas."...................

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/cruz-race-now-tossup-should-warning-texas-gop-says-expert

[berdie]

From what I have seen Allred's ad campaign is flooding the market with pro-abortion ads. In a way it seems a little desperate and may not be helpful. He certainly must have some cash. Oh, and hammering Cruz on going to Mexico during Icemeggon in 2021. I agree, it was bad optics and wonder where Allred was during that time. I can promise you, had I been able to unfreeze the doors on my truck and drive on the ice to the airport...I would have been laying on the beach myself, lol So if those are his points of contention, and not on Cruz's creds??

Will he beat Cruz? I sure hope not. There is a debate between the two on Oct 15 (I think) that I plan to watch. Cruz is an excellent debater. I don't care how slick Allred is...I don't see him winning. But I have to add in the racial aspects involved.

[catfish1957]

This is what happens when shit hole left wing Californians invade our state and impact our politics.....

[libertybele]

This is what happens when shit hole left wing Californians invade our state and impact our politics.....

Yep ... A lot of left wing NY'ers have invaded our area. Things just aren't the same. We have Muslims moving in as well, though more hidden.

[libertybele]

From what I have seen Allred's ad campaign is flooding the market with pro-abortion ads. In a way it seems a little desperate and may not be helpful. He certainly must have some cash. Oh, and hammering Cruz on going to Mexico during Icemeggon in 2021. I agree, it was bad optics and wonder where Allred was during that time. I can promise you, had I been able to unfreeze the doors on my truck and drive on the ice to the airport...I would have been laying on the beach myself, lol So if those are his points of contention, and not on Cruz's creds??

Will he beat Cruz? I sure hope not. There is a debate between the two on Oct 15 (I think) that I plan to watch. Cruz is an excellent debater. I don't care how slick Allred is...I don't see him winning. But I have to add in the racial aspects involved.

The good Senator loses would be a huge loss for not only TX but this country.

[Weird Tolkienish Figure]

It's like this every cycle for Cruz though. I like him, but he's not necessarily the strongest candidate.

[ScottinVA]

Maybe not this election, but in time the metastatic spread of California liberals to Texas will pay off for the dems.  The libs may want to escape high taxes and costs of goods and services, but the CA voters bring their social hyperliberalism with them. 

[Fishrrman]

catfish postulates:
"This is what happens when shit hole left wing Californians invade our state and impact our politics....."

Nope.
It's not [just] "Californians".

The writing is on the wall for Texas, and that writing is:
"Demographics".

I've posted this before, and I'll post it again:


There's no way out.
Neither for Texas.
Nor... for the implications for the rest of the country, as well.

[GtHawk]

catfish postulates:
"This is what happens when shit hole left wing Californians invade our state and impact our politics....."

Nope.
It's not [just] "Californians".

The writing is on the wall for Texas, and that writing is:
"Demographics".

I've posted this before, and I'll post it again:


There's no way out.
Neither for Texas.
Nor... for the implications for the rest of the country, as well.

How dare you minimize the power of California! As you point out there are a hole lot of illegals settling in Texas and they were doing it before Biden/Harris opened the floodgates. Not to mention that Texas has been pretty darn good at growing their own soscialists, but by all means continue to blame California for all the ills in other states.

[berdie]

It's like this every cycle for Cruz though. I like him, but he's not necessarily the strongest candidate.

I must respectfully disagree. The only reason he may not be as popular is because he comes across as being the smartest kid in the room. But he is. His policies definitely reflect those of most Texans (at least the ones I know). Sadly, a lot of voters don't look at those policies. The biggest reason he is challenged is because of a big influx of Dem money into the state.

[libertybele]

I must respectfully disagree. The only reason he may not be as popular is because he comes across as being the smartest kid in the room. But he is. His policies definitely reflect those of most Texans (at least the ones I know). Sadly, a lot of voters don't look at those policies. The biggest reason he is challenged is because of a big influx of Dem money into the state.

I've supported Ted before he made it into the Senate. He has a heck of a ground game, but with the widespread changing demographics this is going to be a tough win. The DEMS would like nothing more than to turn TX blue.  Cruz losing would be a major upheaval for TX and the Senate. 

[libertybele]

catfish postulates:
"This is what happens when shit hole left wing Californians invade our state and impact our politics....."

Nope.
It's not [just] "Californians".

The writing is on the wall for Texas, and that writing is:
"Demographics".

I've posted this before, and I'll post it again:


There's no way out.
Neither for Texas.
Nor... for the implications for the rest of the country, as well.

This has been the entire purpose for the ILLEGAL invasion -- DEM votes. Next socialism and globalism. All going as planned for the Obammy transformation.


TX and FL used to be GOP strongholds --- that stronghold has weakened. 

[corbe]

   Yall are forgetting the percentage of Trumpers that could never Vote for Sen. Cruz. 
   It was proven in 2018.  Gov Abbott got 5% more votes than Cruz.

https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/

[Ghost Bear]

I predict Cruz wins by 7 points.

This happens every election cycle, with every major candidate in Texas. The news media runs polls slanted in the Democrat's favor, the headlines scream that the Republican is in trouble, and then after election day and the votes are counted, the Republican wins easily.  I wish some of you nervous nelly doom-sayers had any kind of memory for this.

It's all about pushing the lie that Texas is turning blue.  It isn't.

[Bigun]

Ted Cruz will beat Collin Allred like a rented mule.

[libertybele]

Ted Cruz will beat Collin Allred like a rented mule.

I absolutely hope so.  I will be elated!

[libertybele]

   Yall are forgetting the percentage of Trumpers that could never Vote for Sen. Cruz. 
   It was proven in 2018.  Gov Abbott got 5% more votes than Cruz.

https://www.politico.com/election-results/2018/texas/

@corbe  My concerns; Allred was/is a civil rights lawyer.  He is doing well with the Hispanic voters and leads Cruz by double digits among African-American voters and women, as well.

You say never Trumpers, I say sheer demographics is his challenge.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/09/24/ted-cruz-collin-allred-texas-senate-race-polls/75364884007/

[corbe]

   @libertybele The 2018 Election was the first in Texas that they outlawed 'Straight Ticket' voting in the Booth, I think.  That means 5% of Republicans voted for Abbott but couldn't touch that button for Cruz.
   I'm not saying they voted for beto they just left that spot BLANK. 

   The same principle they give us grief over.

[Bigun]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1841896060471353427

[libertybele]

https://twitter.com/PatrickSvitek/status/1841896060471353427

Cruz has got to pull through on this; but he obviously has a lot of establishment $$ going against him along with the change in demographics.

I got a couple of texts stating that his campaign believes he is losing.  Not a good sign.

Just my opinion, but if Cruz loses TX I think we'll see TX turn blue. God help us.

[DefiantMassRINO]

[Bigun]

There is no such thing you idiot! @DefiantMassRINO

[Wingnut]

Adam Kinzinger.  Liz Chaney.  No T and Low-T drag queens

[DefiantMassRINO]

There is no Federal abortion ban, yet, but many powerful and influential Republicans have voiced support for a Federal abortion ban after Roe was overturned.  Thank you, Lindsey Graham.

Thank you, Project 2025.

https://www.guttmacher.org/fact-sheet/how-project-2025-seeks-obliterate-srhr
How Project 2025 Seeks to Obliterate Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights

 Project 2025 promotes a presidential agenda that rolls back civil and human rights and implements extremist conservative policies across every federal department and agency. Its sweeping far-right policy framework,1 by the conservative think tank the Heritage Foundation, includes numerous attacks on sexual and reproductive health and rights.

The plan’s far-reaching recommendations would severely limit reproductive autonomy and access to reproductive health care, while turning back the clock on hard-won gains, both domestically and globally. This fact sheet enumerates some of the agenda’s most serious threats to sexual and reproductive health and describes potential effects. ...

Voters can't trust Republicans to not implement an outright, an incremental, or indirect Federal abortion ban.

[catfish1957]

Adam Kinzinger.  Liz Chaney.  No T and Low-T drag queens

I challenge the puss Adam Kinzinger to bring his sorry ass down to rural east Texas and spout his "bs" for Allred.

He might not like what he hears.