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Online mystery-ak

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The Trafalgar Group
« on: August 31, 2024, 11:25:34 am »
« Last Edit: August 31, 2024, 12:20:33 pm by mystery-ak »
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #1 on: August 31, 2024, 11:27:04 am »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #2 on: August 31, 2024, 12:57:51 pm »
The fact that a GOP push poll has it this close is not the best of news
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #3 on: August 31, 2024, 01:36:38 pm »
Trump's numbers are never going to rise above 50%.  But then we all knew this going in.  At least us Conservatives did.  Trump's best strategy is to not give voters a reason to show up at the polls to vote against him.
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Offline Hoodat

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #4 on: August 31, 2024, 01:37:58 pm »
Trump only needs Georgia, Virginia, and Nevada.  That's all.  He can lose PA, MI, WI, NH, and AZ and still win.
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If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

"The [U.S.] Constitution is a limitation on the government, not on private individuals ... it does not prescribe the conduct of private individuals, only the conduct of the government ... it is not a charter for government power, but a charter of the citizen's protection against the government."     -Ayn Rand-

Online mystery-ak

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #5 on: September 01, 2024, 04:26:05 pm »
Kamala Harris Trails Donald Trump in 5 New Battleground Polls
Published Sep 01, 2024 at 4:56 AM EDT

Vice President Kamala Harris is behind Donald Trump in five key swing states polls, with the pair tied in a further two, according to recent surveys.

Surveys by Republican pollsters Trafalgar Group of three of the key battleground states which could determine who wins the 2024 election shows that Trump is beating Harris in Pennsylvania (47 percent to 45) and Wisconsin (47 percent to 46).

Harris and Trump are neck-and-neck in Michigan, with the former president narrowly ahead on 47 percent, and the vice president on 46.6.

While Harris has seen waves of enthusiasm for her 2024 bid since she was endorsed by President Joe Biden after he ended his reelection campaign, the surveys showing her not beating Trump in battleground states are largely consistent with polling companies' previous results.

Elsewhere, InsiderAdvantage swing-state polling shows that Trump is ahead of Harris in all but one of the remaining four major swing states.

The surveys show that Trump has a narrow one-point lead over Harris in Arizona (49 percent to 49), Nevada (48 percent to 47) and North Carolina (49 percent to 48). The pair are tied on 48 percent in Georgia.

Harris' and Trump's offices have been contacted for comment via email.

more
https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-swing-states-1947207
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Offline collins

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #6 on: September 01, 2024, 04:38:35 pm »
I don't see how Kamala can go up from here - almost sure she'll win PA, NC and GA, I think WI and MI are possible but more challenging.

AZ and NV, they are prone to fraud as well. VA is a lot closer than you'd expect.
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2024, 12:57:39 pm »
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2024, 01:00:26 pm »
Same poll has trump winning MI too, which if true would be lights out for Harris.
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2024, 02:03:15 pm »
Quote from: Weird Tolkienish Figure on September 12, 2024, 01:00:26 pm
Same poll has trump winning MI too, which if true would be lights out for Harris.


@Weird Tolkienish Figure
Poll: Donald Trump Tops Kamala Harris in Michigan After Debate

Former President Donald Trump has the edge over Vice President Kamala Harris in Michigan after their debate on Tuesday, per a poll.

https://www.breitbart.com/2024-election/2024/09/12/poll-donald-trump-tops-kamala-harris-in-michigan-after-debate/
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Offline Right_in_Virginia

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #10 on: September 12, 2024, 03:42:28 pm »
Kamala Harris Might Want to Halt Her Post-Debate Victory Lap After Seeing This
Townhall, Sep 12, 2024

A joint Trafalgar-Insider Advantage survey of likely general election voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin showed each candidate with 47 percent support prior to the debate. When asked who won the debate, Harris came out ahead, 55.3 percent to Trump’s 42.5 percent, while 2.2 percent thought it was a draw. Respondents were then asked, “Considering tonight’s debate performances, if you had to vote tomorrow, for whom would you vote?” Harris and Trump were again tied at 48 percent, with 3 percent undecided and 1 percent choosing “other.”

RESULTS of our joint @trafalgar_group @InsiderPolling #PresidentialDebate2024 #Battlegroundstate #poll.

1) Supporting for president before the debate.

47% Trump
47% Harris
2% Others
4% Undecided

2) Who won the debate?

55% Harris
43% Trump
2% Tie

3) Who are you voting for now?

48% Trump
48% Harris
1% Others
3% Undecided



[...]

Other surveys found voters trust Trump more than Harris on the economy and immigration--issues that have consistently ranked at the top of the list of voter concerns.

Despite her win, debate-watchers still preferred Trump by 20 points on the economy (55-35) and 23 points on immigration (56-33). Those are actually bigger margins than he usually racks up on these issues, so it seems possible Trump’s attacks on the Biden administration’s record on these issues landed with some effect. (We’ll await more polling on these issues.) (WaPo)

More: https://townhall.com/tipsheet/leahbarkoukis/2024/09/12/trafalgar-poll-post-debate-n2644598
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2024, 08:57:26 pm »
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #12 on: September 15, 2024, 09:56:40 am »
Quote from: Hoodat on August 31, 2024, 01:37:58 pm
Trump only needs Georgia, Virginia, and Nevada.  That's all.  He can lose PA, MI, WI, NH, and AZ and still win.

He'll never get Virginia or Nevada, or New Hampshire for that matter. I think the rest are doable.

NH voted Hillary in 2016 and really hasn't voted for a GOPer since W. Why? No idea, I'm told the numerous colleges around here are what does it.
« Last Edit: September 15, 2024, 10:13:44 am by Weird Tolkienish Figure »
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2024, 01:36:58 pm »
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2024, 01:40:27 pm »
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2024, 01:41:36 pm »
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2024, 09:39:22 am »
Good news but all very close..

Quote
Robert C. Cahaly
@RobertCahaly
·
12h
New @trafalgar_group
 #BattlegroundState #GA General Election #poll (10/07-08)
 
46.2% @realDonaldTrump

44.9% @KamalaHarris

4.4% Other
4.6% Und

Quote
Robert C. Cahaly
@RobertCahaly
·
Oct 2
New @trafalgar_group
 #BattlegroundState #MI General Election #poll (9/28-30)

#USPresident
 
46.9% @realDonaldTrump

44.7% @KamalaHarris

3.5% Other
4.9% Und

Quote
The Trafalgar Group
@trafalgar_group
·
Oct 1
New @trafalgar_group

 #BattlegroundState #WI General Election #poll (9/28-30)

#USPresident
 
47.1% @realDonaldTrump

46.0% @KamalaHarris

3.1% Other
3.8% Und

Quote
Robert C. Cahaly
@RobertCahaly
·
Sep 29
New @trafalgar_group
 #BattlegroundState #PA General Election #poll (9/26-29)

#USPresident
 
47.5% @realDonaldTrump

45.3% @KamalaHarris

2.6% Other
4.5% Und
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Offline Weird Tolkienish Figure

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2024, 10:09:48 am »
It will be close. Frankly if Trump is ahead in the popular vote it would take a miracle.

On the RCP state no toss up polling average, MI just flipped for Trump.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2024, 10:21:28 am »
With GA and NC as swing states in natural disaster mode, will these states be fertile ground for "Franken-ing" this thing?
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2024, 10:24:33 am »
Found this little jewel this morning on RCP.  I have never heard of OSZ, or have no idea whether their souces are relaible or verifiable.  Still......

https://x.com/OpenSourceZone/status/1844147302837125623
« Last Edit: October 10, 2024, 10:25:38 am by catfish1957 »
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2024, 10:27:33 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on October 10, 2024, 10:21:28 am
With GA and NC as swing states in natural disaster mode, will these states be fertile ground for "Franken-ing" this thing?

These two states are just ripe for the cheat....Fox reported this morning that the counties most affected in both states are red counties....how are they suppose to vote?

I would hate to lose the election because of this... 9999hair out0000
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #21 on: October 10, 2024, 10:28:35 am »
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #22 on: October 30, 2024, 03:15:53 pm »
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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2024, 02:19:23 pm »
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: The Trafalgar Group
« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2024, 02:21:27 pm »
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