Author Topic: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!  (Read 98931 times)

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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1450 on: November 15, 2022, 01:39:54 am »
Proud Elephant 🇺🇸🦅
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BREAKING NEWS: Juan Ciscomani (R) defeats Kirsten Engel (D) in #AZ06. A house majority is nearly secured for Republicans now.
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1451 on: November 15, 2022, 01:40:56 am »
CA, CO, OR, NY, ME and AZ.  Anyone truly think that the GOP is still going to take the House majority??

I think we have a chance...how much of one I don't know   333cleo
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1452 on: November 15, 2022, 01:56:04 am »
Sounds about all we'll have is to be able to control the bills and the floor. Zero RINO protection though.
The Republic is lost.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1453 on: November 15, 2022, 01:57:32 am »
Get used to looking at Katie Hobbs’ stupid face. 

AZ-1 did become a bit more secure with tonight’s batch, although I am not sure what is hidden in the final 2%

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1454 on: November 15, 2022, 02:01:01 am »
Does AZ have a recount threshold?
The Republic is lost.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1455 on: November 15, 2022, 02:04:47 am »
Election Wizard 🇺🇸
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BREAKING: NBC News projects that Katie Hobbs (D) has won the race for Arizona governor
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1456 on: November 15, 2022, 02:07:24 am »
   They just stole the same battleground States they stole 2 years ago?



No government in the 12,000 years of modern mankind history has led its people into anything but the history books with a simple lesson, don't let this happen to you.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1457 on: November 15, 2022, 02:09:28 am »
🇺🇸ProudArmyBrat
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A 71,400 vote dump just reported in Arizona, w/ 98% reporting.

Hobbs leads by 20,481

NBC called Gov for Hobbs

BS! BS! BS! BS! BS!
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1458 on: November 15, 2022, 02:09:57 am »
Matthew H
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There are 7 House races in CA that haven't even counted 60% of the votes.
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1460 on: November 15, 2022, 02:12:43 am »
🇺🇸ProudArmyBrat
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A 71,400 vote dump just reported in Arizona, w/ 98% reporting.

Hobbs leads by 20,481

NBC called Gov for Hobbs

BS! BS! BS! BS! BS!

One more election stolen.  9999hair out0000
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1461 on: November 15, 2022, 02:27:53 am »
   They have had 62 years to perfect this thievery, since Nixon.
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1462 on: November 15, 2022, 02:40:03 am »
Liz Cheney lost the battle but won the war
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1463 on: November 15, 2022, 02:45:16 am »
The CA delegation is holding its own thus far.  Remember the party adapted to ballot harvesting in 2020 after a disastrous 2018.  Either we participate in the same early vote techniques as the dems or we will be left behind.  This is how elections will be conducted in blue states - there is no getting rid of it.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1464 on: November 15, 2022, 02:56:24 am »
The CA delegation is holding its own thus far.  Remember the party adapted to ballot harvesting in 2020 after a disastrous 2018.  Either we participate in the same early vote techniques as the dems or we will be left behind.  This is how elections will be conducted in blue states - there is no getting rid of it.

I agree..we better adapt and change our ways....not necessarily cheat but push the envelope...
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1465 on: November 15, 2022, 04:24:09 am »
Election Wizard 🇺🇸
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BREAKING: NBC News projects that Katie Hobbs (D) has won the race for Arizona governor

I norrmally don't take polls too seriously, but the consistent 5% margin polling, plus what was supposed very favorable exit polling, casts a very serious doubt around the validity of a Hobbs win.  Then add the fact of the Wolf in the Henhouse syndrome when a sitting State Secretary of State adminsiters said election?

3rdly, there have been numerous very specifically targeted GOP areas where voters had to wait half a day to vote, due to mistakes and malfunctions.

I'd say Hobb's steal is not only plausible, but very likely.
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1466 on: November 15, 2022, 04:30:45 am »
Crickets Ducey has no comment.
The Republic is lost.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1467 on: November 15, 2022, 06:25:17 am »
Liz Cheney lost the battle but won the war
It only counts if she stays behind enemy lines.
How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1468 on: November 15, 2022, 01:28:36 pm »
We are at 217 now.  Republicans Boebert, Kiley, Valadao, and Garcia are leading uncalled races.  Democrats Porter and Gray lead narrowly in California, and there is a chance those could flip back.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1470 on: November 15, 2022, 02:12:52 pm »
I norrmally don't take polls too seriously, but the consistent 5% margin polling, plus what was supposed very favorable exit polling, casts a very serious doubt around the validity of a Hobbs win.

Pulling 53% of the votes out of a county that is only 17% Dem sure helped.
If a political party does not have its foundation in the determination to advance a cause that is right and that is moral, then it is not a political party; it is merely a conspiracy to seize power.     -Dwight Eisenhower-

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1471 on: November 15, 2022, 02:14:03 pm »
Meanwhile, Doug Ducey and company in the state leadership have been AWOL while this has all gone down.
The Republic is lost.

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1472 on: November 15, 2022, 02:21:33 pm »
BALANCE OF POWER: Where do the uncalled House races stand as GOP nears majority?
13 congressional races remain uncalled with control of the House hanging in the balance

As Republicans are now one seat away from capturing a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, there are still 13 races yet to be called that will determine how close the margins could be for the GOP should it ultimately prevail.

A party must win 218 seats to win a majority in the 435-seat body, a feat appearing to be within the grasp of the GOP, who have won 217 seats so far to Democrats' 205.

Here is where the remaining races stand as votes continue to be counted in states across the country:

AK-AL - Alaska's At Large Congressional District has been rated by Fox News' Power Rankings as "lean Democratic" due to the state's newly implemented ranked-choice voting system giving incumbent Democrat Rep. Mary Peltola an advantage against her Republican opponents, former Gov. Sarah Palin and Nick Begich. Peltola lead in the first round of the vote, with Palin in second and Begich in third, but failed to secure 50%, meaning those who voted for the candidate with the least number of votes will have their second choice vote reallocated to the other candidates until one reaches 50%. The second round tabulation is scheduled to take place on Wednesday, Nov. 23.

ME-02 - Maine similarly implemented a ranked-choice voting system following a state-wide referendum in 2016. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jared Golden failed to reach 50% of the vote last week, but is currently leading former Republican Congressman Bruce Poliquin, who represented the district from 2015 to 2019. The second round tabulation is scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 15. Fox News' Power Rankings has rated the race as a toss-up.

CA-03 - Republican Kevin Kiley holds a commanding lead over Democrat Kermit Jones; however, approximately only a little over half of ballots have been counted in the "likely Republican" race. California accepts mail-ballots for the week following Election Day, although the ballots must be postmarked by Election Day. The ballots must also go through a signature verification process before being counted.

CA-06 - Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is leading Republican challenger Tamika Hamilton in this seat considered to be safe Democrat.

CA-13 - This toss-up race is among the tightest remaining as Republican John Duarte narrowly leads Democrat Adam Gray by less than 800 votes.

CA-21 - This safe Democratic seat is still yet to be called due to the ongoing vote count; however, incumbent Democratic Rep. Jim Costa leads Republican challenger Michael Maher by more than 7,000 votes.

CA-22 - In another tight race, incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao leads Democratic challenger Rudy Salas by more than 3,000 votes. Fox News' Power rankings has rated the race as a toss-up.

CA-27 - Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Garcia holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Christy Smith by a little more than 13,000 votes in the "lean Republican" seat.

CA-47 - Incumbent Democratic Rep. Katie Porter leads Republican challenger Scott Baugh by less than 3,000 votes in this toss-up race.

CA-49 - This toss-up race currently has incumbent Democratic Rep. Mike Levin leading Republican challenger Brian Maryott by a little more than 13,000 votes.

CO-03 - Incumbent Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert was not expected to have such a close race with her Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch, in the "likely Republican" seat, however, the one-term congresswoman is narrowly leading the vote count by a little more than 1,000 votes. Mail-in ballots from out of state and overseas military service members can arrive as late as Wednesday as long as they were postmarked by Election Day, meaning the count could continue into later this week.

CO-08 - Democratic candidate Yadira Caraveo narrowly leads Republican candidate Barbara Kirkmeyer in this "lean Republican" race, but, like the 3rd District race, mail-in ballots can arrive from overseas or out of state as late as Wednesday if they were postmarked by Election Day.

CA-09 - Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Harder holds a large lead over Republican challenger Tom Patti in this "lean Democratic" seat.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/balance-of-power-where-do-the-uncalled-house-races-stand-as-gop-nears-majority
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1473 on: November 15, 2022, 02:35:05 pm »
Pulling 53% of the votes out of a county that is only 17% Dem sure helped.

53/17?

Unless Lakes was a member of the KKK, the probability of that is near ZERO.
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Re: Mid-term Election 2022 Live Thread – Welcome to the Party Pal!
« Reply #1474 on: November 15, 2022, 02:39:46 pm »
BALANCE OF POWER: Where do the uncalled House races stand as GOP nears majority?
13 congressional races remain uncalled with control of the House hanging in the balance

As Republicans are now one seat away from capturing a majority of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives, there are still 13 races yet to be called that will determine how close the margins could be for the GOP should it ultimately prevail.

A party must win 218 seats to win a majority in the 435-seat body, a feat appearing to be within the grasp of the GOP, who have won 217 seats so far to Democrats' 205.

Here is where the remaining races stand as votes continue to be counted in states across the country:

AK-AL - Alaska's At Large Congressional District has been rated by Fox News' Power Rankings as "lean Democratic" due to the state's newly implemented ranked-choice voting system giving incumbent Democrat Rep. Mary Peltola an advantage against her Republican opponents, former Gov. Sarah Palin and Nick Begich. Peltola lead in the first round of the vote, with Palin in second and Begich in third, but failed to secure 50%, meaning those who voted for the candidate with the least number of votes will have their second choice vote reallocated to the other candidates until one reaches 50%. The second round tabulation is scheduled to take place on Wednesday, Nov. 23.

ME-02 - Maine similarly implemented a ranked-choice voting system following a state-wide referendum in 2016. Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jared Golden failed to reach 50% of the vote last week, but is currently leading former Republican Congressman Bruce Poliquin, who represented the district from 2015 to 2019. The second round tabulation is scheduled for Tuesday, Nov. 15. Fox News' Power Rankings has rated the race as a toss-up.

CA-03 - Republican Kevin Kiley holds a commanding lead over Democrat Kermit Jones; however, approximately only a little over half of ballots have been counted in the "likely Republican" race. California accepts mail-ballots for the week following Election Day, although the ballots must be postmarked by Election Day. The ballots must also go through a signature verification process before being counted.

CA-06 - Incumbent Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is leading Republican challenger Tamika Hamilton in this seat considered to be safe Democrat.

CA-13 - This toss-up race is among the tightest remaining as Republican John Duarte narrowly leads Democrat Adam Gray by less than 800 votes.

CA-21 - This safe Democratic seat is still yet to be called due to the ongoing vote count; however, incumbent Democratic Rep. Jim Costa leads Republican challenger Michael Maher by more than 7,000 votes.

CA-22 - In another tight race, incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao leads Democratic challenger Rudy Salas by more than 3,000 votes. Fox News' Power rankings has rated the race as a toss-up.

CA-27 - Incumbent Republican Rep. Mike Garcia holds a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Christy Smith by a little more than 13,000 votes in the "lean Republican" seat.

CA-47 - Incumbent Democratic Rep. Katie Porter leads Republican challenger Scott Baugh by less than 3,000 votes in this toss-up race.

CA-49 - This toss-up race currently has incumbent Democratic Rep. Mike Levin leading Republican challenger Brian Maryott by a little more than 13,000 votes.

CO-03 - Incumbent Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert was not expected to have such a close race with her Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch, in the "likely Republican" seat, however, the one-term congresswoman is narrowly leading the vote count by a little more than 1,000 votes. Mail-in ballots from out of state and overseas military service members can arrive as late as Wednesday as long as they were postmarked by Election Day, meaning the count could continue into later this week.

CO-08 - Democratic candidate Yadira Caraveo narrowly leads Republican candidate Barbara Kirkmeyer in this "lean Republican" race, but, like the 3rd District race, mail-in ballots can arrive from overseas or out of state as late as Wednesday if they were postmarked by Election Day.

CA-09 - Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Harder holds a large lead over Republican challenger Tom Patti in this "lean Democratic" seat.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/balance-of-power-where-do-the-uncalled-house-races-stand-as-gop-nears-majority

We're not going to lose all 13 remaining races, so I think we can cautiously breathe a sigh of relief.

From what I am reading, the blue state races have significant systems in place like late ballot collection/counting, and general ballot harvesting that might temper additonal gains.  Yesterday, I thought the final number would be 220-223.  Today I am thinking 219 or 220.
I display the Confederate Battle Flag in honor of my great great great grandfathers who spilled blood at Wilson's Creek and Shiloh.  5 others served in the WBTS with honor too.