The only surge was in testing around here, which predictably, led to a surge in cases. Makes you wonder how accurate the tests are. Seems new cases and testing tracked pretty well.
First rule of accounting - you get what you count. In business, if you count costs, you get costs. If you count revenue, you get revenue. If you count profits, you get profits.
Same goes with Covid. If you count cases, you get cases. If you count deaths, you get deaths. If you count recoveries, you get recoveries. So far, the emphasis has been on counting cases and deaths.