Hoodat, you keep posting a bunch of numbers as in reply 185 above.
I'm a dumb guy. I'll admit it up front.
Could you please explain how those numbers for US/Can/Mex should be read and interpreted?
There are two ratios I have been tracking
- Number of recoveries to the number of deaths
- Number of cases to the number of recoveries
The first ratio should increase over a period of time until and the second ratio should decrease. The first ratio will eventually level out as we reach the true death rate for those afflicted, wile the second ratio will approach 1.
Green arrows indicate movement from the previous day in a positive direction, while red arrows indicate movement in the negative direction.
China's numbers (whether valid or not) at least give us a target to shoot for. Their Recovery-to-death ratio is 74,971 recoveries to 3,295 deaths, or 22.75 to 1. This translates to a casualty rate of 4.21 % for China. I think we can do much better. Their case to recovery ratio is 1.09 which means that almost all of their cases have run their course resulting in either a death or recovery.
I combined US/Canada/Mexico numbers together since we are in the same geographical location. The three combined have had 3,582 recoveries and 2,004 deaths for 122,208 cases with over 166,000 cases unresolved.