Florida prepares for Tropical Storm Idalia to make landfall on Gulf Coast with lessons learned from

[mystery-ak]

 Florida prepares for Tropical Storm Idalia to make landfall on Gulf Coast with lessons learned from Ian
By Steven Yablonski , Andrew Wulfeck , Emilee Speck, FOX Weather   
August 27, 2023 8:10pm

Hurricane, Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Watches have been issued for parts of Florida as the state prepares for potential landfall of Idalia.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) upgraded Tropical Depression Ten near the southern Gulf of Mexico to Tropical Storm Idalia on Sunday, with landfall expected as a hurricane along Florida’s Gulf Coast later this week.

There are only a few days left for Florida residents to prepare for the effects of the storm, and Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency for 33 counties to ensure communities have the resources they need ahead of the storm’s arrival.

DeSantis said in a news conference on Sunday that everyone along Florida’s Gulf Coast needs to prepare.

The governor urged residents not to wait to get ready if they are outside the storm’s cone of uncertainty, recalling the forecast for Hurricane Ian last year, which at one point had a potential landfall in the Florida Panhandle.

Ian made landfall in Southwest Florida as a major hurricane.

“The models are probably more in agreement than when we had Ian last year. But these things can shift. There’s still some uncertainty out there,” DeSantis said.

The FOX Forecast Center does a post-analysis of data after any tropical system makes landfall to determine the agreement and accuracy of forecast models.

The NHC issued a Storm Surge Watch, Hurricane Watch and Tropical Storm Watch for the parts of the Gulf Coast of Florida on Sunday.

More watches and warnings may be issued for other areas along Florida’s Gulf Coast in the coming days.



[imgwidth=500]https://nypost.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2023/08/NYPICHPDPICT000026876428.jpg?quality=75&strip=all[/img]
Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency for 33 counties to ensure communities have the resources they need ahead of the storm’s arrival.

much more here
https://nypost.com/2023/08/27/florida-prepares-for-tropical-storm-idalia-with-lessons-learned-from-ian/

[mystery-ak]

My sister will have a heart attack..I think they are almost finished re-building their house on Sanibel Island from the last hurricane..

[Wingnut]

My sister will have a heart attack..I think they are almost finished re-building their house on Sanibel Island from the last hurricane..

They are saying it will make land fall to the east of the Big Bend.   Which is probably the best place as it is mostly woodlands and marshlands and low population density.

[libertybele]

My sister will have a heart attack..I think they are almost finished re-building their house on Sanibel Island from the last hurricane..

This will impact as a Cat 3 in the Big Bend area, that is what we are hearing locally.   --   We are also hearing that even without it being a hurricane as of right now we could see 2-4 foot of storm surge. Depending on the tide at the time it could have a significant impact.  I like your sister am very concerned.  Wind is one thing, water is another. 

We are under a 'watch' for right now. I am trying to remain calm.

However, and the reason for my huge concern is this is exactly the scenario that played out during Ian.  They kept telling us that the hurricane would hit the Big Bend area and it hit Lee county as a Cat5 (that's what was recorded here locally different than the 'official' records of Cat 4).  Storm surge was extreme.

Prayers up for your sister @mystery-ak

[cato potatoe]

Big mess coming in Tampa Bay, unless the circulation is Andrew-sized.

[mystery-ak]

This will impact as a Cat 3 in the Big Bend area, that is what we are hearing locally.   --   We are also hearing that even without it being a hurricane as of right now we could see 2-4 foot of storm surge. Depending on the tide at the time it could have a significant impact.  I like your sister am very concerned.  Wind is one thing, water is another. 

We are under a 'watch' for right now. I am trying to remain calm.

However, and the reason for my huge concern is this is exactly the scenario that played out during Ian.  They kept telling us that the hurricane would hit the Big Bend area and it hit Lee county as a Cat5 (that's what was recorded here locally different than the 'official' records of Cat 4).  Storm surge was extreme.

Prayers up for your sister @mystery-ak

Most of their damage was from flooding..the beach is right across the street...

[DefiantMassRINO]

Sanibel Island?  The insurance premiums have to huge.  That place previously got wiped out by Hurricane Charly in 2004.

[Wingnut]

Sanibel Island?  The insurance premiums have to huge.  That place previously got wiped out by Hurricane Charly in 2004.

Damn near cut Captiva in half.  We honeymooned at the Old Plantation resort.  Took it out but the Mucky Duck survived!

[mystery-ak]

Sanibel Island?  The insurance premiums have to huge.  That place previously got wiped out by Hurricane Charly in 2004.

My bil doesn't have homeowners..he did have flood ins which was most of the damage..they had about 4feet of water in the house and garage....he doesn't believe in homeowners ins..he can afford not too.

I asked my sister after the last hurricane if they would move or sell and she said they have had that house for over 25 years and the only damage they have had over the years was the loss of a few roof tiles and an avocado tree...

[libertybele]

Local news has announced that it will indeed likely make landfall in the Big Bend area -- far north of us.  They all soon because of its rapid movement they don't expect it to turn towards us at the last minute like Ian did.

Prayers up for those in the Big Bend/Tampa Bay area.  Forecast reports indicates significant storm surge as high as 11 ft.

[Wingnut]

Cantori sighting in FL.  He's heading for Cedar Key.

https://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/2023/08/28/jim-cantore-florida-hurricane-idalia-where-weather-channel-star-twitter/70700837007/?fbclid=IwAR0UFZmosVkkJSJA75X5ajUTeZ9sUeVzRLyuAnfeIDHlaLMFLKu8_l0f9Ps

Marked safe from (V)idalia

[Polly Ticks]

Praying for safety for all.

[mystery-ak]

Idalia could be strongest storm to hit the Florida Big Bend for a CENTURY as it officially becomes a hurricane:14 MILLION are placed under severe weather warnings ahead of 150mph winds and 12ft storm surge

    Hurricane Idalia is due to hit Florida in the night to Wednesday as a Category 3 hurricane
    The growing intensity of the storm is causing experts to predict a storm surge as high as 12 feet, with winds potentially reaching 150mph
    Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has warned Floridians to 'buckle up' during a news conference 

more
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12454981/Hurricane-Idalia-strongest-storm-hit-Florida-bend-century-hit-Category-3-strength-gusts-150-mph.html

[mountaineer]

A rare full blue moon will have an impact on Hurricane Idalia as it makes landfall in Florida
WYFF 4
 10:40 AM EDT Aug 29, 2023
Parella Lewis, Weather Anchor

GREENVILLE, S.C. —  As Hurricane Idalia makes landfall in northern Florida on Wednesday as a major hurricane, a rare full blue moon will play a part in the storm.

The full moon will be in full force, creating higher tides as this storm rolls into the area.

These higher tides, also known as king tides, occur both during new moons and full moons when the gravitational pull is highest from the sun and moon puling in the same direction on earth.

Some tides could be a foot higher than usual due to the full moon. This is an additional extremely dangerous storm surge and even higher tides due to the massive hurricane. ... More

[libertybele]

Idalia could be strongest storm to hit the Florida Big Bend for a CENTURY as it officially becomes a hurricane:14 MILLION are placed under severe weather warnings ahead of 150mph winds and 12ft storm surge

    Hurricane Idalia is due to hit Florida in the night to Wednesday as a Category 3 hurricane
    The growing intensity of the storm is causing experts to predict a storm surge as high as 12 feet, with winds potentially reaching 150mph
    Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has warned Floridians to 'buckle up' during a news conference 

more
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12454981/Hurricane-Idalia-strongest-storm-hit-Florida-bend-century-hit-Category-3-strength-gusts-150-mph.html

Praying that all are able to get out of harm's way.  They have predicted 12 ft. storm surge.  It's the storm surge more than the wind that is cause for alarm.

[DefiantMassRINO]

Both Charly and Ian took quick, unexpected right turns inland, south of their predicted landfall locations.

Everyone on the Gulf Coast of Florida needs to be prepared ... they may not have sufficient warning to evacuate safely.

[libertybele]

Both Charly and Ian took quick, unexpected right turns inland, south of their predicted landfall locations.

Everyone on the Gulf Coast of Florida needs to be prepared ... they may not have sufficient warning to evacuate safely.

That has been my concern -- Charley took a very quick turn and there was no way to evacuate. Charley was smaller hurricane with little storm surge.  Ian was also predicted to go up to the Tampa area and then turned towards us -- we took a direct hit with significant storm surge.

We have been assured by several forecasters that with the steering currents it will hit north of us.  No one has even put up storm shutters around here -- we are expecting tropical storm winds with rain and storm surge of 2-4 ft.

[libertybele]

Sanibel Island/Captiva is already experiencing some storm surge/flooding as well as Ft. Myers Beach and Pine Island. Hopefully all were able to get off the islands.  The bridges to and from the islands are temporarily repaired and still being worked on. 

With the hurricane's rapid movement hopefully it will leave the area sooner rather than later.   

[mystery-ak]

 Fort Myers suffers intense flooding as Hurricane Idalia is set to slam Florida — fueled by rare blue supermoon
By Katherine Donlevy   
August 29, 2023 6:31pm

Intense flooding transformed Fort Myers roadways into rivers Tuesday as “life-threatening” Hurricane Idalia was set to slam Florida’s southwest coast — fueled by a rare blue supermoon.

The outer bands of the major Category 2 hurricane swept over the metro area, bringing with it strong storm surges that have already flooded residential streets with knee-deep water.

Forecasters warned that Wednesday night’s blue supermoon will also likely cause higher-than-normal tides, meaning some areas of the state can expect storm surges to reach 15 feet.

“I would say the timing is pretty bad for this one,” said meteorologist Brian Haines of the National Weather Service office in Charleston, SC.

Though Idalia is still roughly 200 miles southwest of Tampa, the rising tides have washed onto highways and overfilled canals.

One eerie video showed high-speed winds ripping through palm trees and kicking up miniature sand storms as heavy, dark clouds moved across the sky.



more
https://nypost.com/2023/08/29/fort-myers-suffers-intense-flooding-as-hurricane-idalia-is-set-to-slam-florida-fueled-by-rare-blue-moon/

[cato potatoe]

Here in St. Pete, if I'm honest, this is the nicest day we have experienced in almost 3 months.  We have a light breeze out of the SE.  The circulation must be compact.

[GtHawk]

Live coverage of Idalia with storm chasers.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vDmD1OYSVGc

[mystery-ak]

Florida Briefers please take care...my thoughts and prayers are with you...

[mystery-ak]

Watch the FOX Weather Channel Live Stream

https://www.foxweather.com/live

[Hoodat]

Watch the FOX Weather Channel Live Stream

https://www.foxweather.com/live

Thank you.  My daughter is in Dunedin/Clearwater.  This will be her first hurricane.

[Wingnut]

Thank you.  My daughter is in Dunedin/Clearwater.  This will be her first hurricane.

You never forget your first time.