Worst-case coronavirus models show massive US toll
By Reid Wilson - 03/13/20 04:07 PM EDT
Statistical models meant to project the potential reach of the coronavirus and the COVID-19 disease suggest more than a million Americans could die if the nation does not take swift action to stop its spread as quickly as possible.
At least three different models built by epidemiology experts suggest that millions of Americans will contract the coronavirus, even in optimistic projections, based on what they know of its spread in China and the United States so far.
One model from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) suggested that between 160 million and 210 million Americans could contract the disease over as long as a year. Based on mortality data and current hospital capacity, the number of deaths under the CDC's scenarios ranged from 200,000 to as many as 1.7 million.
more
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/487489-worst-case-coronavirus-models-show-massive-us-toll
Well, back to Glenn Beck's reporting. The alarming fact is that the mortality rate in Italy is 8%. Much higher then the mortality rate reported by China. Here are further stats he reported as of yesterday:
Daily Stats as of 5:30 AM CT (from John's Hopkins)
Total Confirmed Cases Worldwide: 138,156 (up from 127,388 yesterday)
Total Confirmed Deaths Worldwide: 5,080 (up from 4,641 yesterday)
Total Confirmed Recoveries Worldwide: 70,437 (up from 68,327 yesterday)
132 Countries have confirmed cases (up from 125 yesterday) 4 more have suspected cases
9% of Active Cases are considered serious (requiring hospitalization), down from 11% yesterday and down from 19% just 2 weeks ago, 3% of patients require ICU
US has 1,762 Confirmed Cases and 41 Deaths, up from 1,336 cases and 38 confirmed deaths yesterday
In the US, only Alabama, Alaska, West Virginia and Maine don't have at least 1 case.
Schools Closed in at Least 6 states
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MiUyGfDJ76g&feature=emb_logo "We have 11 Million people, so the math is over 100,00", said Ohio Department of Health Director Dr. Amy Acton.
The rate of spread and fatality rate prompted her to recommend closing all schools in Ohio by Friday.
"So that gives you a sense of how this virus spreads and is spreading quickly."
Dr Anthony Fauci Warns Against Worst Case Scenario Predictions
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=afKGZ2zVlmU "I have my sister in bed, dead, I don't know what to do," Luca Franzese said in a heartbreaking Facebook video, pleading for help.
"I cannot give her the honor she deserves because the institutions have abandoned me. I contacted everyone, but nobody was able to give me an answer."
Italy has the 2nd highest total number of cases after China, with 15,113 Cases as of Friday morning, and over 1,016 dead, however instances like Luca Franzese indicate there may be many more dead among those quarantined at home and not yet counted in official numbers.
Italy's official Case Fatality Rate is over 8% of confirmed cases have resulted in death, the highest official CFR in the world.
Apple Has Reopened All Stores in China
https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3075060/apple-reopens-all-its-stores-china-shorter-hours-amid-signs Perhaps an indicator that "This too shall pass", Apple has reopened all 42 stores across Mainland China.
China's regional VP for China reports that all stores have been fully disinfected and all employees will be wearing surgical masks and gloves for the time being. Across China, more than 75% of local businesses have reopened, in a hopeful sign that quarantines, isolation and social distancing practices can work to slow the disease to the point where hospitals can manage the number of infections.
https://www.glennbeck.com/blog/coronavirus-update-march-13th