MAC wrote above:
"I'll certainly cede the point to you that Trump is not a lazy guy. And he has rallies the other candidates would kill for. But is it a safe assumption that you believe he really doesn't have a problem overall and that all of the many polls showing his negatives don't reflect reality?"The polls, lately, have been shifting. The shifts are slight, but meaningful.
Not putting Mr. Trump into the lead.
But rather, "evening things up".
A few days ago, there was a poll showing Hillary ahead of Trump 46-43% (within the margin of error).
Today, Rasmussen shows the race tied at 38-38%:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/trump_38_clinton_38Can Trump win it?
I think that's certainly within the realm of possibility, and his chances are improving, albeit slowly.
Trump -might- lose to Hillary, but Cruz most certainly would. It would be deja vu all over again: Johnson v. Goldwater, 1964.
Aside:I recall reading polls where Bernie Sanders would defeat BOTH Trump and Cruz more soundly than would Hillary. So what does that tell you?
And, just for fun:
Image from California today:
It's pics like this that are going to propel Mr. Trump into the White House...