They'll have to rebuild their pad and do some redesigning of their rocket. This will set them back a year at least.
Its our pad, they lease it. The set back will be at LEAST a year, maybe more, which in turn sets their role in Artemis III back years.
2030 US lunar landing seems out of the question now, given that SpaceX's Starship has not achieved orbit, not refueled in LEO etc [ currently grounded like Blue Origin ].
Neither company has a working lander - the most difficult part of the mission.
They are likely 10 years away from any landing on the Lunar South Pole, more from a colony.
Meanwhile, the Chinese continue on time and are now seemingly further along for a 2030 landing then the US.
China shakes up its space programs to land astronauts on the moon by 2030: 'We will spare no effort'
https://www.space.com/space-exploration/china-shakes-up-its-space-programs-to-land-astronauts-on-the-moon-by-2030-we-will-spare-no-effortFAA grounds SpaceX's Starship V3 megarocket after Flight 12
https://www.space.com/space-exploration/launches-spacecraft/faa-grounds-spacexs-starship-v3-megarocket-after-flight-12-mishapCompanies like SpaceX want electromagnetic catapults on the moon. Could they be used as weapons? [
one of the first announced projects for the Chinese lunar base ]
https://www.space.com/space-exploration/satellites/companies-like-spacex-want-electromagnetic-catapults-on-the-moon-could-they-be-used-as-weaponsExcerpt:
First-strike platform
Mass drivers on the moon would operate largely outside existing early warning and attribution architectures, thereby complicating detection and response by existing early warning systems.
Weaponized mass driver payloads, the report suggests, could likely fall into one of three categories:
Kinetic Energy Impactor (KEI) - inert projectiles designed to slam into targets at high speeds;
Satellite & Anti-Satellite (SAT/ASAT) - spacecraft or satellites designed to destroy, disrupt or degrade other spacecraft;
Nuclear Reentry Vehicle (RV) - payloads similar to those found on intercontinental ballistic missiles designed to deliver nuclear warheads from space.
A lunar mass driver could also be used to rapidly launch space-based missile defense systems such as those envisioned by the Trump administration's recent Golden Dome concept.
