Live Thread: War With Iran Continues #4

[mystery-ak]

 Iran war ‘likely’ to restart, senior Tehran official warns after Trump says US might be ‘better off’ without deal
By Geoff Earle and
Kathianne Boniello
Published May 2, 2026, 9:40 a.m. ET

The war between the US and Iran is “likely” to restart, a senior Iranian official predicted on the heels of comments by President Trump that the US might be “better off” without an agreement.

A “renewed conflict between Iran and the United States is likely,” said Mohammad Jafar Asadi, a high-level officer in Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Iran’s leadership, which has been decimated by US strikes, wants to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the US blockade before reestablishing nuclear talks, according to details of its latest counterproposal, which was presented to intermediaries in Pakistan.

Trump told reporters Friday he was “not satisfied” with the offer.

“Frankly, maybe we’re better off not making a deal at all. Do you want to know the truth? Because we can’t let this thing go on,” he said Friday during an event in West Palm Beach, Florida.

more
https://nypost.com/2026/05/02/world-news/iran-war-likely-to-restart-senior-tehran-official-warns-after-trump-says-us-might-be-better-off-without-deal/

[Cyber Liberty]

"No deal" is better than a "bad deal."  Trump has no reason to accept a bad deal, and that's all Iran will offer as long as the IRGC is in charge.  Continue the Blockade....

[mystery-ak]

[DB]

"No deal" is better than a "bad deal."  Trump has no reason to accept a bad deal, and that's all Iran will offer as long as the IRGC is in charge.  Continue the Blockade....

The big problem is time works in their favor. There's a clock ticking and when it times out there's no going back.

[Cyber Liberty]

The big problem is time works in their favor. There's a clock ticking and when it times out there's no going back.

I don't know who Father Time supports.  Will our time run out first, or theirs?  Gotta be one or the other....

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/OutFrontCNN/status/2050375607436050502

[Cyber Liberty]

https://twitter.com/OutFrontCNN/status/2050375607436050502

We can count on CNN to keep the enemy up-to-date on the effectiveness of their attacks!  Iran has no need for after action scouts as long as CNN is on the job.

[Hoodat]

The big problem is time works in their favor. There's a clock ticking and when it times out there's no going back.

I don't put any stock in some subjective unconstitutional Democrat Party time-clock metric.  The WPA does not override the Constitution of the United States of America.

[DB]

I don't put any stock in some subjective unconstitutional Democrat Party time-clock metric.  The WPA does not override the Constitution of the United States of America.

I'm referring to delays that are allowing Iran to build their first nuclear bomb. Delays work in their favor. Once that test nuke goes off, then what?

[Cyber Liberty]

I don't put any stock in some subjective unconstitutional Democrat Party time-clock metric.  The WPA does not override the Constitution of the United States of America.

About all the Democrats can do is have the equivalent of a dorm room bull session.

[Cyber Liberty]

I'm referring to delays that are allowing Iran to build their first nuclear bomb. Delays work in their favor. Once that test nuke goes off, then what?

The timing of that is unknown, too.   

[DB]

The timing of that is unknown, too.   

Yep. A game of chicken.

[Cyber Liberty]

Yep. A game of chicken.

O'Bastard did say the US can"absorb" a nuclear attack, and if we get one, Iran and North Korea will be glass.

[Hoodat]

I'm referring to delays that are allowing Iran to build their first nuclear bomb. Delays work in their favor. Once that test nuke goes off, then what?

Ah, OK.  My apologies.  I guess that would depend on whether Iran put all their eggs in one basket before testing.  I remember when Pakistan tested a nuke.  India immediately tested five nukes to show Pakistan they weren't intimidated.  Pakistan followed that with five more nuclear tests, showing India that they made spares before testing the first.  Needless to say, India didn't test any more.

[Cyber Liberty]

Ah, OK.  My apologies.  I guess that would depend on whether Iran put all their eggs in one basket before testing.  I remember when Pakistan tested a nuke.  India immediately tested five nukes to show Pakistan they weren't intimidated.  Pakistan followed that with five more nuclear tests, showing India that they made spares before testing the first.  Needless to say, India didn't test any more.

The concept of Mutually Assured Destruction kicked in.  Iran is unique because they're all for MAD.  Even the Norks are afraid of MAD.  It would be pretty stupid on their part to provide Iran with a bomb, but Rocket Man is not known for his brilliance.

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/khanadan99/status/2050643057209462824

[Hoodat]

https://twitter.com/IranIntl_En/status/2050178132368294131

[Hoodat]

𝐍𝐢𝐨𝐡 𝐁𝐞𝐫𝐠 🇮🇷 ✡︎
@NiohBerg

In Iran, the regime is putting up public threats against using the internet, owning Starlink, and even buying VPNs.

What this really means is they will murder you if you catch you online. One Starlink user has been killed already.

Life in Iran is WORSE than North Korea now.



8:19 AM  ·  May 2, 2026  ·  27.9K Views

https://x.com/NiohBerg/status/2050565914366476408

[Hoodat]

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/majid_hatamian/status/2050269880830636543

[libertybele]

https://twitter.com/khanadan99/status/2050643057209462824

With no return to pre-war normalcy, that indicates that the U.S. blockade needs to stay. 

I wonder what Israel's reaction is going to be?? 

[Cyber Liberty]

https://twitter.com/khanadan99/status/2050643057209462824

Iran intends to enforce this...how?

[libertybele]

Iran intends to enforce this...how?

...........Meanwhile, Tehran struck a firm tone toward Washington. Speaking in the capital, deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi said, "Now the ball is in the United States' court to choose the path of diplomacy or the continuation of a confrontational approach."

He emphasised that Iran was ready for either scenario, stating, "Iran, with the aim of securing its national interests and security, is prepared for both paths." His remarks reflect ongoing uncertainty over whether negotiations or renewed confrontation will define the next phase of relations between Iran and the United States.

Tensions have also spilled into economic policy. China rejected fresh American sanctions targeting companies accused of buying Iranian oil. Beijing’s commerce ministry said such measures “improperly prohibit or restrict” legitimate business activities, underscoring its continued opposition to unilateral restrictions and its role as a major buyer of Iranian crude...........

Read More:
https://www.moneycontrol.com/world/iran-plans-law-to-tighten-control-over-hormuz-law-shipping-won-t-return-to-what-it-was-before-war-article-13906222.html

Read More:
https://www.moneycontrol.com/world/iran-plans-law-to-tighten-control-over-hormuz-law-shipping-won-t-return-to-what-it-was-before-war-article-13906222.html

[Fishrrman]

We should have used small tactical nukes on all the known iranian missile and nuclear development sites.
Perhaps on their power-generation nukes as well.
Avoid civilian centers, but blow the prime military sites into dust.

That would have ended this war quickly.
The world be damned.

Sorry if you don't care for this post.

[Cyber Liberty]

...........Meanwhile, Tehran struck a firm tone toward Washington. Speaking in the capital, deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi said, "Now the ball is in the United States' court to choose the path of diplomacy or the continuation of a confrontational approach."

He emphasised that Iran was ready for either scenario, stating, "Iran, with the aim of securing its national interests and security, is prepared for both paths." His remarks reflect ongoing uncertainty over whether negotiations or renewed confrontation will define the next phase of relations between Iran and the United States.

Tensions have also spilled into economic policy. China rejected fresh American sanctions targeting companies accused of buying Iranian oil. Beijing’s commerce ministry said such measures “improperly prohibit or restrict” legitimate business activities, underscoring its continued opposition to unilateral restrictions and its role as a major buyer of Iranian crude...........

Read More:
https://www.moneycontrol.com/world/iran-plans-law-to-tighten-control-over-hormuz-law-shipping-won-t-return-to-what-it-was-before-war-article-13906222.html

Read More:
https://www.moneycontrol.com/world/iran-plans-law-to-tighten-control-over-hormuz-law-shipping-won-t-return-to-what-it-was-before-war-article-13906222.html

More bluster and empty threats....

[DB]

More bluster and empty threats....

Time... The more time they buy, the more likely they complete their goal.

[mystery-ak]

'Killing off the country': Iran executes dozens, arrests 4,000+ in war crackdown

U.N. High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Türk on Tuesday accused Iran’s regime of dramatically intensifying its crackdown on dissent in the wake of the February conflict, warning that Tehran has carried out executions, mass arrests, torture and one of the world’s longest internet shutdowns while invoking national security.

In a sharply worded statement from Geneva, Türk said at least 21 people have been executed and more than 4,000 arrested on national security-related charges since Feb. 28 as the regime faces mounting scrutiny over what he described as a sweeping assault on fundamental rights.

"I am appalled that, on top of the already severe impacts of the conflict, the rights of the Iranian people continue to be stripped from them by the authorities in harsh and brutal ways," Türk said.

Since the start of the conflict two months ago, the U.N. said nine people have been executed over the January 2026 protests, 10 for alleged membership in opposition groups and two on espionage charges. It's estimated some 40,000 people were killed by regime forces during January's uprising.

Türk warned that Iran’s broad use of vaguely defined national security laws has enabled authorities to fast-track prosecutions, deny legal counsel and rely on coerced confessions.

"Even where national security is invoked, human rights can only be limited where strictly necessary and proportionate," he said, calling on Tehran to halt executions, impose a moratorium on capital punishment and immediately release those arbitrarily detained.

This is an excerpt from an article by Fox News' Efrat Lachter.
Posted by Anders Hagstrom

[Hoodat]

World Source News
@Worldsource24

BREAKING: UKMTO has received a report of an incident 11NM west of Sirik, Iran.

The Master of a northbound bulk carrier has reported being attacked by multiple small craft. All crew reported safe.



Last edited
10:14 AM  ·  May 3, 2026  ·  1,240 Views

https://x.com/Worldsource24/status/2050957161535094876

[Hoodat]

NatSec News
@NatSec_News

The “Kharg parking lot” continues to expand, with multiple vessels observed at berth in the latest Sentinel-2 pass, showing Iran increasingly relying on tankers to store crude amid export disruptions caused by the U.S. naval blockade.

Sentinel 2. May, 1



12:21 AM  ·  May 3, 2026  ·  16.7K Views

https://x.com/NatSec_News/status/2050807892744474632

[mystery-ak]

BREAKING: UK reports cargo ship attacked by small boats in Strait of Hormuz

A large cargo ship reported being attacked by multiple small craft while transiting the Strait of Hormuz just 11 miles away from the Iranian coast on Sunday.

The U.K. Maritime Trade Operations Center reports that no injuries occurred during the incident. Iran has attacked multiple ships using its fast attack boats and has seized at least two vessels in the strait.

"What is certain is that we will not step back from the Strait of Hormuz, and it will not return to its pre-war state," Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Ali Nikzad said.
Posted by Anders Hagstrom

[mystery-ak]

Trump announces ‘Project Freedom,' humanitarian effort to guide ships through Strait

President Donald Trump announced “Project Freedom,” on Sunday whereby the U.S. military would begin guiding ships from other nations safely out of the Strait starting Monday.

The process, he said, was intended as a humanitarian effort to help innocent people, businesses and countries that are suffering from the closure through no fault of their own.

The announcement came as Trump expressed doubt about a 14-point peace plan proposed by Iran over the weekend.

“Countries from all over the world, almost all of which are not involved in the Middle Eastern dispute going on so visibly and violently for all to see, have asked the United States if we could help free up their ships, which are locked up in the Strait of Hormuz, on something which they have absolutely nothing to do with — They are merely neutral and innocent bystanders!” Trump said in a post shared on Truth Social.

“For the good of Iran, the Middle East and the United States, we have told these countries that we will guide their ships safely out of these restricted waterways so that they can freely and ably get on with their business.”

Trump highlighted the ships he is referring to were “from areas of the world that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East.”

“I have told my representatives to inform them that we will use our best efforts to get their ships and crews safely out of the Strait.

“In all cases, they said they will not be returning until the area becomes safe for navigation and everything else.

“This process, Project Freedom, will begin Monday morning, Middle East time,” he said.

“I am fully aware that my representatives are having very positive discussions with the country of Iran, and that these discussions could lead to something very positive for all.

“The ship movement is merely meant to free up people, companies and countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong — They are victims of circumstance. This is a humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern countries but, in particular, the country of Iran.

“Many of these ships are running low on food and everything else necessary for large-scale crews to stay on board in a healthy and sanitary manner,” Trump added.

Trump also confirmed that showing goodwill on behalf of all of those who have been fighting over the last several months was important.

“If, in any way, this humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully,” he said.
Posted by Emma Bussey

[mystery-ak]

OPEC+ members commit to production increase, strait closure disrupts oil shipments

Seven members of the OPEC+ group of 12 oil-producing countries confirmed Sunday they will increase production as part of a commitment to “market stability,” The Associated Press reported.

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait and Oman said they would raise production by 188,000 barrels per day, starting in June.

They also confirmed monthly meetings "to review market conditions, conformity and compensation."

The strait closure has reduced oil shipments from Gulf producers, removing millions of barrels per day from the global market.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has also left the OPEC oil group.
Posted by Emma Bussey

[Idiot]

OPEC+ members commit to production increase, strait closure disrupts oil shipments

Seven members of the OPEC+ group of 12 oil-producing countries confirmed Sunday they will increase production as part of a commitment to “market stability,” The Associated Press reported.

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Algeria, Iraq, Kazakhstan, Kuwait and Oman said they would raise production by 188,000 barrels per day, starting in June.

They also confirmed monthly meetings "to review market conditions, conformity and compensation."

The strait closure has reduced oil shipments from Gulf producers, removing millions of barrels per day from the global market.

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has also left the OPEC oil group.
Posted by Emma Bussey

When this war ends the world will be awash in oil.  Watch for oil prices to be the $50's and lower....heck $30's are possible.

[libertybele]

BREAKING: UK reports cargo ship attacked by small boats in Strait of Hormuz

A large cargo ship reported being attacked by multiple small craft while transiting the Strait of Hormuz just 11 miles away from the Iranian coast on Sunday.

The U.K. Maritime Trade Operations Center reports that no injuries occurred during the incident. Iran has attacked multiple ships using its fast attack boats and has seized at least two vessels in the strait.

"What is certain is that we will not step back from the Strait of Hormuz, and it will not return to its pre-war state," Deputy Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, Ali Nikzad said.
Posted by Anders Hagstrom

That's what happens to the UK when they sit back and do nothing.

[rustynail]

'using its fast attack boats'  Those boats have to come from somewhere.  Why is somewhere still there?

[mystery-ak]

Iran threatens ceasefire breach if US intervenes in Strait of Hormuz 'maritime regime'

Any U.S. interference in Tehran’s maritime rules in the Strait of Hormuz would be considered a violation of the current ceasefire, a senior Iranian lawmaker warned Sunday.

Ebrahim Azizi, the head of Iran’s Parliament’s National Security and Foreign Policy Committee, also said the key waterway was not the place for rhetoric.

“Any American interference in the new maritime regime of the Strait of Hormuz will be considered a violation of the ceasefire,” he said in a translated post shared on X.

“The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf would not be managed by Trump’s delusional posts!” he said.

“No one would believe Blame Game scenarios!” Azizi added.



“The Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf are not a place for rhetoric,” Azizi said in another post.

Azizi’s remarks came after President Donald Trump announced “Project Freedom,” in which the U.S. military would begin guiding ships safely out of the strait starting Monday.

The announcement came after Trump expressed doubt about a 14-point peace plan proposed by Iran over the weekend.
Posted by Emma Bussey

[mystery-ak]

CENTCOM deploys 15,000 troops, guided-missile destroyers to support 'Project Freedom'

U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) confirmed Sunday that it would be supporting Project Freedom, providing military assets and thousands of service members.

This followed President Donald Trump’s announcement to help free up ships, which are "locked up in the Strait of Hormuz,” and which is set to begin Monday morning, Middle East time.

Providing further details, CENTCOM said “forces will begin supporting Project Freedom May 4 to restore freedom of navigation for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.”

“The mission, directed by the president, will support merchant vessels seeking to freely transit through the essential international trade corridor,” the command said in a post shared on X.

“A quarter of the world’s oil trade at sea and significant volumes of fuel and fertilizer products are transported through the strait,” CENTCOM added.

“Our support for this defensive mission is essential to regional security and the global economy as we also maintain the naval blockade,” said Adm. Brad Cooper, CENTCOM commander.

Last week, the U.S. Department of State announced a new initiative, in partnership with the Department of Defense, to enhance coordination and information sharing among international partners in support of maritime security in the strait, the command said.

“The Maritime Freedom Construct aims to combine diplomatic action with military coordination, which will be critical during Project Freedom,” it said.

CENTCOM also said that U.S. military support to Project Freedom will include “guided-missile destroyers, over 100 land and sea-based aircraft, multi-domain unmanned platforms, and 15,000 service members.”
Posted by Emma Bussey

[libertybele]

What ceasefire?  Iran hasn't held to any ceasefire. We'll see if Iran fires upon a U.S. ship.  If so, Trump will unleash on Iran and take over Kharg Island.  There's a reason for 15,000 service members.

Prayers up for President Trump and our troops.

[IsailedawayfromFR]

When this war ends the world will be awash in oil.  Watch for oil prices to be the $50's and lower....heck $30's are possible.

I wouldn't bet on it.

Countries have been drawing down reserves for the past couple of months and will spend some time building reserves once again


People have seen they need that. up again.

[libertybele]

I wouldn't bet on it.

Countries have been drawing down reserves for the past couple of months and will spend some time building reserves once again


People have seen they need that. up again.

As long as there's a conflict over in  the ME, prices will continue to rise.  Trump says we have plenty of oil and he just signed an e.o. to continue a pipeline.  If we have plenty of oil, then why are prices continuing to rise?  I just paid $4.39/gal -- almost $60 to fill up. 

I'd rather pay the higher gas prices though than allowing Iran to have a nuke.

[Hoodat]

“The ship movement is merely meant to free up people, companies and countries that have done absolutely nothing wrong — They are victims of circumstance. This is a humanitarian gesture on behalf of the United States, Middle Eastern countries but, in particular, the country of Iran.

Please don't use the word 'humanitarian' to describe the IRGC.  Ever.

[verga]

'using its fast attack boats'  Those boats have to come from somewhere.  Why is somewhere still there?

Just a guess on my part, but i am pretty sure there are multiple "Somewheres". When using guerilla tactics you do not concentrate all of your forces in one area (lesson learned from Pearl Harbor). You have multiple chains of communication to various cells, avoiding a single central authority that could dismantle the whole networks if compromised. 

[Camp]

May the 4th open the Hormuz today...

I like the timing.

Full steam ahead.

[mystery-ak]

Iran claims it fired a "warning shot" against a U.S. Navy ship near the Strait of Hormuz on Monday.

A senior Iranian official says the shot was intended to prevent the U.S. vessel from entering the strait.

"Iran fired a warning shot against U.S. warship to prevent its entry into Strait of Hormuz, unclear whether there was any damage," the official said.

The statement comes after U.S. Central Command denied reports from an Iranian news agency that two Iranian missiles had struck a U.S. ship in the strait.

Reuters contributed to this report.
Posted by Anders Hagstrom

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2051260374138196270

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/2051290272848286157