Four Major Reasons to Doubt the U.S.–Iran Ceasefire › American Greatness
Bruce Oliver Newsome
On Tuesday evening, with less than two hours remaining before U.S. President Donald Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or be bombed “back to the Stone Ages,” he announced a mutual ceasefire.
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt claimed, “a victory for the United States that President Trump and our incredible military made happen.” Eli Lake of The Free Press claims that “America has won twice” by getting Iran’s commitment to reopen the Strait and by avoiding “an insane atrocity against the people he promised to liberate.”
However, I have four reasons for doubt.
First, Iran might not have the intent or capacity to implement the ceasefire.
Second, Iran might use the ceasefire to retrench and reorganize for war.
Third, even if the ceasefire holds, Iran and the U.S. have wildly different versions of their respective proposals.
Fourth, Iran has publicly ruled out most U.S. demands, partly to mobilize restive Iranians against foreigners supposedly intent on their destruction.
Trump’s post says the ceasefire is “subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz.” This is something the Iranian regime might not have the intent or capacity to achieve.
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https://amgreatness.com/2026/04/09/four-major-reasons-to-doubt-the-u-s-iran-ceasefire/
