Live Thread: War With Iran Continues #3

[bigheadfred]

🇮🇷 Trump admin is quietly modeling what happens if oil hits $200 a barrel because of the Iran war.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has reportedly been flagging concerns about oil price damage to the economy for weeks, but the White House just called that report "false" and said Bessent isn't worried about "short term disruptions from Operation Epic Fury."

Oil's already up 30% since the war started. Gas prices up 30% too.

To be clear: $200 oil has only happened once in modern history, right before the 2008 financial crisis.

Source: Bloomberg

[bigheadfred]

https://twitter.com/RaymondFHakim/status/2036920698208235958

[bigheadfred]

C14 News Israel | EN
@c14israel
·
1h
The IAF struck strategic production sites for aerial and maritime weapons in a large-scale overnight operation across the Iranian capital.

Israeli forces also destroyed Iranian regime air defense systems during the strikes.

The operation simultaneously targeted infrastructure used to arm Hamas and Hezbollah

[bigheadfred]

Open Source Intel
@Osint613
·
1h
John Bolton: "Gulf Arab states may not have wanted this war to start, but they have always favored regime change in Iran. I think they still want regime change."

[bigheadfred]

https://twitter.com/inside_IL_intel/status/2037000527003742286

[bigheadfred]

Visioner
@visionergeo
🇬🇧🇫🇷 London and Paris will hold talks this week with military representatives from 30 countries to form a coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a representative of the British Ministry of Defence told AFP.

Earlier, it was reported that Tehran has started charging ships a fee for safe passage through this strategically important strait.

See the latest updates with us:
@visionergeo

[bigheadfred]

https://twiter.com/MarioNawfal/status/2037052560683503742

[bigheadfred]

Post

See new posts
Conversation
Mossad Commentary
@MOSSADil
CLEARED FOR PUBLICATION:
IDF Spokesperson releases the name of an IDF fallen soldier after  notification was given to his family:
Staff Sergeant Ori Greenberg, 21, from Petah Tikva, a fighter in the Golani Reconnaissance Unit of the Golani Brigade, was killed in combat in southern Lebanon.

May his memory be a blessing
1:42 AM · Mar 26, 2026
·
15.1K
 Views

[bigheadfred]

Jesse Watters
@JesseBWatters
·
7h
🚨 HOLY SMOKES: General Jack Keane says the U.S. Military has been “WAR-GAMING IRAN FOR DECADES”  👀💣

“Give me a BREAK— WE will OPEN the Strait of Hormuz BY FORCE—and KEEP IT OPEN.” 🔥⚓

Systematically DESTROYING DRONES, MINES, MISSILES…  NIGHT AFTER NIGHT 💥

“They’re LIARS. They’re CHEATERS.”

SURRENDER—or WATCH IT GET TAKEN ANYWAY 🇺🇸💪

[bigheadfred]

Visegrád 24
@visegrad24
·
32m
BREAKING:

The Iranian dissident & pro-Pahlavi Mohamed Shafiei has been shot in the Netherlands in what seems to be another IRGC assassination attempt on European soil.

Mohamed, who works as a civilian ICT employee of the police in Schoonhoven, was shot near his home.

If people like
@geertwilderspvv
 would have gotten their way, these IRGC agents would have long been deported or behind bars.
 

[bigheadfred]

Open Source Intel
@Osint613
A Pakistani source tells Reuters that Israel removed Iranian FM Abbas Araqchi and Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bakr Kalibaf from its assassination list after Pakistan requested the U.S. intervene: "The Israelis have their coordinates and they wanted to eliminate them. We told the US that if they were eliminated, there would be no one to talk to. Therefore, the US asked the Israelis to withdraw from it."

[bigheadfred]

مكتب أبوظبي الإعلامي
@ADMediaOffice
Abu Dhabi authorities have responded to an incident involving falling debris in Sweihan street, following the successful interception of a ballistic missile by air defence systems. The incident resulted in the deaths of two unidentified individuals, three injuries, and damage to a number of cars. Further updates will be provided in due course.

The public is advised to obtain information only from official sources and to avoid spreading rumours or unverified information.

[bigheadfred]

Mossad Commentary
@MOSSADil
·
30m
🚨 BREAKING: EXPLOSIONS REPORTED IN BANDAR ABBAS AFTER STRIKES

Several explosions were heard in Bandar Abbas, southern Iran, following reported U.S.-Israeli strikes on parts of the city, according to local authorities.

• Bandar Abbas is a strategic port on the Strait of Hormuz
• Witnesses have previously reported multiple explosions and heavy shaking in the area during recent strikes
• The city has been a repeated target in ongoing military operations

[bigheadfred]

Apranik 🇮🇷🇮🇱
@patriot_apranik
·
18h
🚨 Let this sink in: The Islamic Republic is hanging banners of ADOLF HITLER in the streets of Iran!!!!

To threaten Iranians who oppose the regime, they are literally using Hitler as a moral compass, quoting him to call the opposition "traitors."

A fascist terror state is using the ultimate fascist to justify its existence and scare its citizens. You can't make this up.

[bigheadfred]

Open Source Intel
@Osint613
·
30m
BREAKING REPORT 🔴

Preliminary report from Iran: Commander of the Revolutionary Guards Navy has been eliminated.

Waiting on an official confirmation

[bigheadfred]

OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
·
8h
More than 500 service stations across Australia’s two largest states have run out of gas or diesel as the the Hormuz closure-driven fuel crisis worsens -Sky Australia

Roughly 13% of stations in NSW had run out, with diesel supplies hit the hardest.

[bigheadfred]

Baba Banaras™
@RealBababanaras
·
32m
BREAKING: China secretly supplied 100 CM-302 & YJ-21 anti-ship missiles to Iran few days back. Iran reportedly launched them yesterday against the US Aircraft Carrier USS Abraham Lincoln but none hit their targets, all intercepted by the U.S. Navy. Chines equipments failing again

[bigheadfred]

Open Source Intel
@Osint613
·
1h
JUST IN 🔴

No injuries reported after Iran’s third ballistic missile attack on central Israel today. At least one missile was intercepted, while another interception is under review.

Fragments reportedly fell in the Modiin area as sirens sounded across central Israel, Jerusalem, and Samaria.

[bigheadfred]

Diliman Abdulkader
@D_abdulkader
·
17h
Turkey’s strategy is always this: Be in bed with the worst regimes and terrorists, then when they have a problem with the U.S., act like a mediator to make yourself still seem like a U.S. ally.

They do this over and over because it works, because we allow them to.

Taliban, Hamas, al Qaeda, ISIS, Russia, Iran—the Turks are allies with them all then they dress up as diplomats and mediators when they need to.

[bigheadfred]

https://twitter.com/MOSSADil/status/2037082510291562588

[bigheadfred]

Israel Defense Forces
@IDF
·
5m
❗️SENIOR HEZBOLLAH OFFICIAL ADMITS TO REARMING: 

Over the past 15 months, Hezbollah has been rebuilding their missile arsenal, suicide drones, and ground forces.

This is exactly what we’re operating against.

[bigheadfred]

Dr. Eli David
@DrEliDavid
·
29m
Translated from Hebrew
I see here a lot of discussions about the nuclear capabilities that remain to Iran. Summary of the situation:

- It will take them years to develop a miniaturized nuclear bomb that can be launched on a missile (an "implosion" mechanism).

- But they can definitely, within a few months, conduct a nuclear test in the desert (with a primitive and heavy bomb using a basic "gun-type" mechanism).

[bigheadfred]

Visegrád 24
@visegrad24
·
13m
Iran has opened the Strait of Hormuz to vessels from “friendly” countries, including Russia and China.

Tehran has allowed ships from a number of states to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which the Islamic regime had closed amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.

Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic Abbas Araghchi clarified that this applies to countries Tehran considers “friends.” He named China, Russia, India, Iraq, and Pakistan among them.

According to media reports, some vessels have already begun transiting through a narrow corridor near Larak Island after prior coordination with the Iranian side.

At least one case has been reported in which a container ship belonging to a Chinese company paid for safe passage.

[bigheadfred]

أحمد خليفة
@_A_khalifa
·
45m
UAE just rejected
any ceasefire with Iran Regime.

UAE wants Tehran’s
full threats dealt with first.

Ambassador Yousef Al Otaiba says:

the UAE will help reopen
the Strait of Hormuz ..

We’re way stronger that
those terrorists think. 🇦🇪😎

[bigheadfred]

Vivid.🇮🇱
@VividProwess
·
33m
🚨BREAKING: Sirens are sounding in central Israel as ballistic missiles were launched by the Islamic terror regime in Iran.

That’s the sixth missile launch since the morning.

Pray.

[bigheadfred]

https://twitter.com/MOSSADil/status/2037097105265713438

[bigheadfred]

https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2037097578957820318

[American Girl]

Excerpt:
The head of the IRGC Navy who directly ordered the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has almost certainly been eliminated in a precision strike.

Alireza Tangsiri, the commander who spearheaded the attempt to choke off global oil shipments, was the target of a joint U.S.-Israeli operation. Fox News reports that battle damage assessment is still underway, but officials believe the strike, based on solid intelligence from both countries, took him out.


That escalation just changed the whole game—this isn’t slowing down anytime soon 🔥


https://defiantamerica.com/breaking-irgc-navy-commander-behind-strait-of-hormuz-closure-gets-brutal-fafo-lesson-video/

[BobfromWB]

I hope it was his middle leg.

According to reports the leg in question did not work anyway, and he previously had an extensive stay in a hospital to correct the problem that he might father a boy.

[libertybele]

Not exactly a positive headline this morning.

More than 90% of Iranian missiles intercepted, but a dangerous imbalance is emerging
As U.S., Israeli and allied forces continue to intercept the vast majority of Iranian missiles and drones, a new report and expert analysis reveal a growing concern behind the headline success: the cost and sustainability of the defense itself.

More than 90% of Iranian projectiles have been intercepted during the war, according to a report obtained by Fox News Digital from the Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA), thanks to a layered regional air defense system built during years of coordination.

But beneath that success lies a widening imbalance that could shape the next phase of the conflict.

The report highlights a critical trend: Iran’s least expensive weapons are proving the most disruptive and are draining costly U.S. and Israeli interceptors.

The current air defense architecture, integrating U.S., Israeli and Arab systems, has proven highly effective at stopping incoming threats. Early warning systems, shared radar coverage and pre-positioned assets have allowed multiple countries to work together to defeat Iranian missiles and drones.

During a press briefing on Wednesday, press secretary Karoline Leavitt said, "More than 9,000 enemy targets have been struck to date … Iran's ballistic missile attacks and drone attacks are down by roughly 90%," she said, adding that U.S. forces have also destroyed more than 140 Iranian naval vessels, including nearly 50 mine layers.

A surge of U.S. assets before the war, including Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD), batteries, Patriot systems, two carrier strike groups and roughly 200 fighter aircraft, helped absorb Iran’s opening salvos and maintain high interception rates, according to JINSA's report.

But Ari Cicurel, associate director of foreign policy at JINSA and author of the report, said focusing only on interception percentages misses the bigger picture...........

https://www.foxnews.com/world/more-than-90-iranian-missiles-intercepted-dangerous-imbalance-emerging

[BobfromWB]

Dr. Eli David
@DrEliDavid
·
29m
Translated from Hebrew
I see here a lot of discussions about the nuclear capabilities that remain to Iran. Summary of the situation:

- It will take them years to develop a miniaturized nuclear bomb that can be launched on a missile (an "implosion" mechanism).

- But they can definitely, within a few months, conduct a nuclear test in the desert (with a primitive and heavy bomb using a basic "gun-type" mechanism).

Or they can just buy one ready to go from North Korea ...

[mystery-ak]

White House Warns: Trump Will ‘Unleash Hell’ if Iran ‘Fails to Understand That They Have Been Defeated’

Joshua Klein 25 Mar 2026

President Donald Trump is “prepared to unleash hell” if Iran refuses to “come to a deal,” the White House warned Wednesday, cautioning that the regime “should not miscalculate again” after suffering devastating battlefield losses, as U.S. forces — including Marines and elements of the 82nd Airborne Division — deploy to the Middle East to support combat operations against Iran.

Speaking at a White House briefing, press secretary Karoline Leavitt said the president remains willing to listen as talks with Tehran continue, but stressed the regime is now being given a final opportunity to accept the reality of its battlefield defeat and come to terms.

“Iran should not miscalculate again,” Leavitt warned, arguing that the regime’s last miscalculation has already cost it “their senior leadership, their navy, their air force, and their air defense system.”

She said the message from the president is clear: If Tehran refuses to accept that reality, the consequences will intensify.

“If they fail to understand that they have been defeated militarily and will continue to be, President Trump will ensure they are hit harder than they have ever been hit before,” Leavitt said, adding that “President Trump does not bluff and he is prepared to unleash hell.”

more
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2026/03/25/white-house-warns-trump-will-unleash-hell-if-iran-fails-to-understand-that-they-have-been-defeated/

[BobfromWB]

https://twitter.com/Osint613/status/2037097578957820318

Translation:

We have been making big money selling Iran centrifuges and other enrichment machinery. We need to get back to trading with our partners.

[mystery-ak]

Iran rejection of ceasefire escalates new phase, boots on the ground strategy
March 26, 2026 | Chris Donaldson

The deployment of elements of the Army’s 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East has raised the possibility that the U.S. could soon put boots on the ground in Iran.

The rapidly escalating war could soon be entering a new phase after the Iranians rejected a proposal for a ceasefire on Wednesday, choosing not to take an off-ramp for a conflict that has devastated the Islamic Republic and decapitated its leadership, also spilling over into neighboring countries, which have been hit by Iran’s seemingly endless supply of missiles and drones.

This week has seen the Pentagon moving thousands of combat troops into the region, including the 1st Brigade Combat Team, which is described by Fox News as “a core component of the military’s Immediate Response Force rapid-response unit designed to deploy on short notice to crises anywhere in the world.”

more
https://www.bizpacreview.com/2026/03/26/iran-rejection-of-ceasefire-escalates-new-phase-boots-on-the-ground-strategy-1629380/

[Kamaji]

Or they can just buy one ready to go from North Korea ...

I rather doubt North Korea would sell a nuke to Iran.  Everyone would know it was a NK nuke, and the retaliation against NK if Iran set it off would be catastrophic. 

[bigheadfred]

https://twitter.com/DrEliDavid/status/2037146671079932299

[bigheadfred]

Faytuks Network
@FaytuksNetwork
·
2h
The IRGC says it has lowered the minimum age for war-related support roles to 12 years old

[bigheadfred]

OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
·
11m
A Houthi leader tells Reuters the group is ready to strike shipping in the Red Sea and critical Bab al-Mandab Strait.

“As for other details having to do with determining zero hour, they are left to leadership and we… will know when is the suitable time to move,"

[DefiantMassRINO]

Fire bomb every freakin' cave in Yemen.

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/TreyYingst/status/2037099381086642549

[verga]

I rather doubt North Korea would sell a nuke to Iran.  Everyone would know it was a NK nuke, and the retaliation against NK if Iran set it off would be catastrophic.

@Kamaji I think the OP was referring to a missle, but the wording is ambiguous.

[mystery-ak]

 Iran building up defenses of Kharg Island to protect against potential US ground attack, sources say

 Iran has been laying traps and moving additional military personnel and air defenses to Kharg Island in recent weeks in preparation for a possible US operation to take control of the island, according to multiple people familiar with US intelligence reporting on the issue.

The Trump administration has been weighing using US troops to seize the tiny island in the northeastern Persian Gulf — an economic lifeline for Iran that handles roughly 90% of the country’s crude exports — as leverage over the Iranians to coerce them to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, CNN has reported.

But US officials and military experts say there would be significant risks involved in such a ground operation, including a large number of US casualties. The island has layered defenses, and the Iranians have moved additional shoulder-fired, surface-to-air guided missile systems known as MANPADs there in recent weeks, the sources said.

Iran has also been laying traps including anti-personnel and anti-armor mines around the island, the sources said, including on the shoreline where US troops could possibly stage an amphibious landing if President Donald Trump moved forward with a ground operation.

Some allies of the president are raising serious questions about whether there is a need to attempt such an operation, since successfully taking the island would not, on its own, resolve problems related to the Strait of Hormuz and Iran’s stranglehold on the global energy market, the source added.

more
https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/25/politics/iran-kharg-island-us-military-ground-troops

[bigheadfred]

The Iran Watcher 🇮🇷
@TheIranWatcher
·
57m
🚨 At least 5 dead in suspected “pager-style” attack using canned food!

Reports claim explosive devices were hidden inside canned food distributed to Basij and security forces in Fars Province, detonating upon opening.

At least 5 killed, multiple injured, and distribution has reportedly been halted with warnings issued by the Islamic Republic of Iran.

This follows the same pattern as past “pager-style” attacks where everyday items are turned into weapons.

Did Israel carry this out like the pager attacks in Lebanon, and could there be more covert operations like this ahead?

[bigheadfred]

Open Source Intel
@Osint613
·
36m
BREAKING 🔴

Trump: Unsure if we're able to or willing to make a deal with Iran

[Fishrrman]

OK, time for another Fishrrman "he's completely gone crazy!™" prediction:

Before this war is over, expect 10-15 thousand American casualties.

Otherwise... we're not "winning". We may even lose.

C'mon folks, left myself wide open here, so pick up your bricks and give it your best shot.

Sorry if you didn't care for this reply.

[catfish1957]

Open Source Intel
@Osint613
·
36m
BREAKING 🔴

Trump: Unsure if we're able to or willing to make a deal with Iran

Glad he's finally firgured out you can't negotiate with terrorist.  Took long enough. 

[Cyber Liberty]

Glad he's finally firgured out you can't negotiate with terrorist.  Took long enough.

I'm remind of a definition of "diplomacy"  It's the art of saying "Good dog!" while searching for a rock.

You have to say "good dog" once in a while for it to work.  Trump fully understands that the end of this has to be an unconditional surrender of the Islamist wackos, because otherwise it's just going to be the opening of a new chapter of a forever war.  The Islamic Regime has never negotiated in good faith, and never will!

[BobfromWB]

OSINTtechnical
@Osinttechnical
·
11m
A Houthi leader tells Reuters the group is ready to strike shipping in the Red Sea and critical Bab al-Mandab Strait.

“As for other details having to do with determining zero hour, they are left to leadership and we… will know when is the suitable time to move,"

After having met Mr F+15 & F-18 and Co, the firm of Buff, Bone & Spirit will enter the arena to argue for the prosecution ...

[BobfromWB]

I'm remind of a definition of "diplomacy"  It's the art of saying "Good dog!" while searching for a rock.

You have to say "good dog" once in a while for it to work.  Trump fully understands that the end of this has to be an unconditional surrender of the Islamist wackos, because otherwise it's just going to be the opening of a new chapter of a forever war.  The Islamic Regime has never negotiated in good faith, and never will!

The Iranian chapter is just one chapter in the book of Forever War, written in 620AD.

[catfish1957]

The Iranian chapter is just one chapter in the book of Forever War, written in 620AD.

A strong argument can be made that World War 1- 4 were fought between 1095- 1291