How My 2025 Predictions Went – and Some Predictions for 2026
Kurt Schlichter
It’s that time of year again, when I assess my past prognostications and offer some fresh ones. In my January 2, 2025, column entitled “How My 2024 Predictions Went – And Some Predictions for 2025,” I made 20 predictions in those heady days post-Trump’s election victory. I had a pretty good accuracy rate. If you are playing baseball, I calculate I was batting .750. Not bad.
I thought the Senate would confirm almost all of Trump’s nominees because the Senate Republicans were not stupid; for once, it did. I severely underestimated Mike Johnson, though – the guy pulled it off. He kept a razor-thin majority alive and got the Big Beautiful Bill and other critical stuff passed. I know conservatives are mad because Johnson and John Thune – who has also done a great job – have not passed a bunch of other things, so let’s make 2026 the “Year of Angry Conservatives Learning What The Hell The Filibuster Is.”
I expected the tech overlords to get frustrated at having to move at the speed of government and depart from their temporary alliance with the GOP. However, the Dems stepped up, showed the depths of their crazy (California wealth tax, anyone?), and the tech bros have come back.
I thought the economy would boom under Trump in 2025, and it has started to, but right at the wire in the last couple of months. You’ll see that prediction again below.
I thought the Houthis would knock it off, and they have. I thought China would leave Taiwan alone but keep building up. Correct. I also thought that Trump would end the war in Ukraine, but that has not happened yet (he ended several other conflicts, though, and I bet he pulls it off in 2026). I correctly assessed that Israel would kill the semi-human Hamas scumbags in heaps until they groveled for peace, which they have; though I did not expect so many of the hostages to survive. Glad I was partially wrong on that one. And I predicted that, “Iran’s mullahs will behave or die. Personally, I prefer option two.” I got my wish.
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https://townhall.com/columnists/kurtschlichter/2026/01/01/how-my-2025-predictions-went-and-some-predictions-for-2026-n2668617
