The Trump Effect: Murder Rate in America Takes Stunning Turn
By Bob Hoge | 12:57 PM on December 24, 2025The opinions expressed by contributors are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of RedState.com.
Whether you’re a fan of Donald Trump or a detractor, one thing is inarguable: the president’s first year of his second term has been consequential. As in extremely consequential; he and his administration are having an effect on virtually every walk of life, from social issues to the economy to immigration (both legal and illegal) to, well, everything.
Including crime. And on that front, the news is good, as least when it comes to killings:
The U.S. appears headed for the largest one-year drop in murders in history, according to a well-known crime analyst.
That's the conclusion of crime statistics expert Jeff Asher, who says new national data show killings plunging at a pace not seen in modern recordkeeping.
According to Asher's Real-Time Crime Index (RTCI), the United States is on track for the biggest single-year decline in murders ever recorded — a striking reversal after the COVID-era crime surge.
https://redstate.com/bobhoge/2025/12/24/the-trump-effect-murder-rate-in-america-takes-a-stunning-turn-n2197458#google_vignette
