NEW: Shock Poll Finds GOP With Sizable Lead On Generic Midterm Ballot
Published 3 hours ago
on December 6, 2025
By Cullen McCue
A surprising poll from Napolitan News Service poll, conducted online by Scott Rasmussen with fieldwork by RMG Research, Inc. found Republicans leading on the generic midterm congressional ballot by four percentage points.
The poll surveyed 2,000 registered voters from December 1-4, 2025, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent.
Its primary focus was on the 2026 generic congressional ballot, asking respondents”If the election were held today, would you vote for the Republican from your district or the Democrat from your district?” respondents were asked.
Additional questions explored voter enthusiasm levels, policy preferences, and demographic factors influencing turnout, though full crosstabs are restricted and not publicly detailed.
Among registered voters, 45 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41 percent expressed support the Democrat, giving Republicans a 4-point lead. When including leaners (independents who lean toward one party), the margin held steady at 48 percent for Republicans and 44 percent for Democrats.
This represents a slight widening from September 2025’s 46-45 percent lead (with leaners), continuing a trend where Republicans have led the generic ballot in most months of 2025, except for Democratic advantages in April and May, and a tie in August at 47 percent each.
While the Napolitan News survey provided a positive result for Republicans on the generic ballot, Democrats edged out Republican respondents in terms of voter enthusiasm by a two-point margin (50-48 percent).
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