Poll Shows Jasmine Crockett Down Big In Texas Senate Race
Published 12 hours ago
on December 2, 2025
By Cullen McCue
A new poll found U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-TX) trailing by a sizable margin against Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and other candidates in the state’s upcoming Senate race.
The survey, conducted online by Democrat-leaning firm Change Research, found the far-left lawmaker trailing in hypothetical head-to-head matchups against Paxton and incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Crockett trails against both potential challengers by eight percentage points, with a 42-50 percent result against Paxton and 41-49 percent against Cornyn.
Both results place Crockett well outside the poll’s margin of error of three percent.
Paxton is currently the favorite to secure the Republican nomination, though the race is expected to be tightly contested after Republican Rep. Wesley Hunt entered the primary field back in October.
Crockett also found herself under water in terms of overall favorability, with 33 percent of respondents expressing a positive opinion while 40 percent expressed an unfavorable view, leaving her underwater by seven points. Democrat challengers like former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred and Texas State Rep. James Talarico have higher net favorability ratings than Crockett among voters aware of them.
Talarico — a progressive candidate who has claimed that “God is nonbinary” — has the highest net favorability rating among Democrats at +25 percentage points. The poll did not survey hypothetical matchups between Talarico or Allred and their Republican opponents, however.
In addition, 49 percent of voters said they would “definitely not” vote for Crockett, the highest of all candidates for either party. A total of 44 percent and 43 percent of respondents said they would not vote for Cornyn nor Paxton respectively — likely reflecting Democrat opposition and name recognition in the state.
Results were similar for Allred, who also has name recognition in the state after unsuccessfully running against Senator Ted Cruz in 2024. A total of 43 percent of respondents said they would never vote for Allred, while 40 percent said the same for Talarico, reflecting lower name recognition for the latter.
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