CLAIM: Climate change is supercharging Europe’s biggest hail
5 hours ago Anthony Watts
From Newcastle University and the “climate change causes everything” department, comes this “but models tell us so” bit of faux science without one single field measurement of hail size included. Of course, they used the highly flawed RCP 8.5 model to generate these headlines….because no other model would.
The Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP 8.5) is now widely considered flawed and highly unlikely to represent a realistic “business-as-usual” scenario. It was originally designed as a worst-case scenario, but it was often normalized and treated as a probable outcome in climate research and media.
More here. – Anthony
Warming may lead to less frequent but bigger and more devastating hail storms, new research has shown.
Climate experts from Newcastle University, the Met Office and the University of Bristol used European-wide km-scale simulations to model future changes to hail with global warming. Published in the journal Nature Communications, the findings show that, under a high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5), severe hail is likely to become less common, except potentially for very large hail.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2025/09/27/claim-climate-change-is-supercharging-europes-biggest-hail/
