The Jihadist Threat Has Evolved. Our Strategy Must Too.
By Eyal Tsir Cohen
July 29, 2025
Nearly a decade after ISIS shocked the world with its brutal caliphate in Syria and Iraq, policymakers have moved on. The global spotlight has shifted toward great-power rivalries, AI regulation, and the wars in Ukraine and Gaza. Yet in the shadows, jihadist terrorism is mutating—and the West is increasingly unprepared.
The March 2024 Crocus City Hall massacre in Moscow, attributed to ISIS-K, killed 145 concertgoers in one of the deadliest terror attacks in recent memory. In Afghanistan, the Taliban’s grip is weakening as ISIS-K escalates bombings against Shi’a minorities and foreign targets. In sub-Saharan Africa, jihadist insurgencies are seizing territory in the Sahel and Horn regions, exploiting failed states. And in Europe, intelligence services are once again warning of lone-wolf attacks inspired by Gaza, TikTok, and encrypted online platforms.
The ideology never died. It simply adapted. And it’s gaining ground again.
This resurgence shouldn’t surprise us. In 2019, I argued that the jihadist genie hadn’t been put back in the bottle—only reshaped. In 2025, that genie is back in circulation: more fragmented, harder to detect, and perhaps more dangerous.
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