The Butler Probabilities
Were the Secret Service’s series of errors intentional?
by George Parry
July 22, 2025, 10:00 PM
“Once is happenstance. Twice is coincidence. Three times is enemy action.”
— Ian Fleming, Goldfinger
“…probabilities cannot be bribed to deceive, and … they cannot be convicted of bearing false witness.”
— Aristotle, Rhetoric, Book 1, Chapter 15On July 13, 2024, 20-year-old Thomas Crooks, before witnesses and unimpeded by law enforcement, climbed onto the roof of the American Glass Research (AGR) building at the Butler Farm Show. He was 441 feet away from the stage on which candidate Donald Trump was addressing 15,000 enthusiastic supporters.
From that perch, Crooks used a semi-automatic rifle to rapidly fire eight rounds at the candidate. He killed Corey Imperatore and wounded three others who were on the stage.
One of the wounded was Trump, who turned his head a split second before Crooks opened fire. Consequently, instead of a lethal head shot, Crooks hit Trump in the fleshy part of the ear before being neutralized by a counter-sniper. (RELATED: Butler: The Riveting Untold Story of the Shooting of Donald Trump)
Crooks had come within a split second and a fraction of an inch of eliminating the man who was poised to resoundingly defeat President Joe Biden in the upcoming election.
Two weeks earlier, in a televised presidential debate, an incoherent Biden had conclusively and painfully demonstrated to the nation his total mental incapacity and utter unfitness for office. This had reduced the Democrat presidential electoral plan to shambles as Biden’s defeat appeared certain.
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https://spectator.org/the-butler-probabilities/
