I believe in "realpolitik". The politics of what actually... is.
zombi-mammi is on track to win.
Look at this chart:
(source:
https://www.opinionsandratings.com/top-stories/2025nycmayoralelectionpollszohranmamdanitargetscuomo)

zombi:
35 (actually, trending downward a little due to all the bad press)
cuomo:
25 (he's back where he started from in June)
Sliwa:
14
Adams:
11
Adams seems to be going nowhere but down. I can't believe the fools who keep saying "if only cuomo and sliwa would quit and throw their support to adams".
Adams is where he is because no one WANTS to support him.
Cuomo could win, but adams would have to drop out (freeing up the black vote), and even then it might be too close to call, because adams has so little support RIGHT NOW. Maybe if Curtis supported him.
But... look at Curtis' vote trends -- actually, ticking upwards. I don't think he can win, but his supporters are most likely to remain loyal to him and probably won't desert him for cuomo or adams unless Curtis actually requests them to do so.
Remember that the NYC general election for mayor IS NOT "ranked-choice".
Whoever gets the most votes, wins.
There's no run-off if no candidate breaks 50%.
So zombi-mammi can win with only 35+ percent of the vote, so long as all the other candidates get less.