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Author Topic: Skillful Weather Warnings But Catastrophic Damage and Large Death Tolls. We Need to Do Better.  (Read 43 times)

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Offline rangerrebew

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Skillful Weather Warnings But Catastrophic Damage and Large Death Tolls. We Need to Do Better.
« on: Today at 06:58:10 am »
July 10, 2025
Skillful Weather Warnings But Catastrophic Damage and Large Death Tolls. We Need to Do Better.
 The same tragedy has happened time and again.

An excellent prediction of a major weather-related threat is unheeded, leading to massive destruction and loss of life.

We need to do better.  We can do better.

This blog will discuss the problem and how it might be addressed.


There are numerous examples of this failure mode; let me provide just a few.

Hurricane Katrina, 2005

In 2005, the landfall of Hurricane Katrina near New Orleans resulted in 1400 deaths and $125 billion in damage. Excellent forecasts by the National Weather Service and weather models.
 
Local governments failed to take the forecasts seriously and did not evacuate vulnerable populations.   Poorly designed levees failed.

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2025/07/skillful-weather-warnings-but.html
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The unity of government which constitutes you one people is also now dear to you. It is justly so, for it is a main pillar in the edifice of your real independence, the support of your tranquility at home, your peace abroad; of your safety; of your prosperity; of that very liberty which you so highly prize. But as it is easy to foresee that, from different causes and from different quarters, much pains will be taken, many artifices employed to weaken in your minds the conviction of this truth.  George Washington - Farewell Address

Offline rangerrebew

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Re: Skillful Weather Warnings But Catastrophic Damage and Large Death Tolls. We Need to Do Better.
« Reply #1 on: Today at 07:15:05 am »
If you put 10,000 people where there were once 500 and it is in an area prone to natural disasters, the next disaster is automatically guaranteed to create more damage and deaths.
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The unity of government which constitutes you one people is also now dear to you. It is justly so, for it is a main pillar in the edifice of your real independence, the support of your tranquility at home, your peace abroad; of your safety; of your prosperity; of that very liberty which you so highly prize. But as it is easy to foresee that, from different causes and from different quarters, much pains will be taken, many artifices employed to weaken in your minds the conviction of this truth.  George Washington - Farewell Address
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