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Author Topic: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know  (Read 830 times)

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Offline Elderberry

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Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« on: May 01, 2025, 08:18:33 pm »
Forbes by Jamie Carter 5/1/2025

Topline

The remains of a spacecraft launched by the U.S.S.R. in 1972 on a doomed mission to land on Venus could strike Earth between May 7 and 13 in a rare uncontrolled re-entry. Marooned in Earth orbit for 53 years, Kosmos 482 was built to withstand extreme temperatures on Venus, so it will survive re-entry if its heat shield is intact, but exactly where and when it will strike Earth is unknown.

Key Facts

Kosmos 482, or Cosmos 482, was launched on March 31, 1972, on a Soyuz rocket from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan, which was then part of the Soviet Union. It was designed to parachute into and land on Venus.

Shortly after its launch, a malfunction put it into an elliptical Earth orbit that caused it to get as close as 200 miles (320 kilometers) but as far as almost 10,000 miles (16,000 kilometers). Since then its orbit has decayed considerably.

Instead of landing on Venus in 1972, this descent craft looks set to land on Earth in 2025, with Marco Langbroek, a satellite analyst tracking Kosmos 482, predicting it to reenter at 06:01 UTC on Saturday, May 10, plus or minus 2.8 days.

More: https://www.forbes.com/sites/jamiecartereurope/2025/05/01/soviet-probe-will-strike-earth-next-week---what-to-know/
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2025, 05:44:15 am »
Let party like it was Skylab!
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2025, 06:04:51 am »
Soviet probe coming to Earth?

Do you think they'll find intelligent life here?
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Offline GtHawk

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #3 on: May 02, 2025, 05:41:15 pm »
Quote from: Smokin Joe on May 02, 2025, 06:04:51 am
Soviet probe coming to Earth?

Do you think they'll find intelligent life here?
Not if it lands in DC, that’s for sure.
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Offline mountaineer

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2025, 05:54:31 pm »
Maybe it will land on Portland.
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Offline rustynail

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #5 on: May 02, 2025, 05:59:34 pm »
Heads up!
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #6 on: May 02, 2025, 08:16:10 pm »
We need a Where will it Strike the Earth poll.
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Offline 240B

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #7 on: May 02, 2025, 08:20:32 pm »
Quote from: mountaineer on May 02, 2025, 05:54:31 pm
Maybe it will land on Portland.
I was hoping for Mecca.
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #8 on: May 02, 2025, 08:22:58 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on May 02, 2025, 08:16:10 pm
We need a Where will it Strike the Earth poll.
In the water...
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How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

Offline Wingnut

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #9 on: May 02, 2025, 08:27:23 pm »
Marked safe from Russian space debris.

Quote
arco Langbroek, a space situational awareness expert at Delft Technical University in the Netherlands, has been tracking Kosmos 482. According to him, its orbital inclination of 51.7 degrees means it could come down anywhere between 52° North and 52° South latitude. This includes much of the populated world, from southern UK to parts of New Zealand
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Offline mountaineer

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #10 on: May 02, 2025, 09:22:25 pm »
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Offline GtHawk

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2025, 02:11:00 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on May 02, 2025, 08:16:10 pm
We need a Where will it Strike the Earth poll.
I am hoping for the capitol in Sacramento when the legislature is in session, please please please, a bonus would be Noisome there to address it.
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Offline GtHawk

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2025, 02:13:30 pm »
Quote from: Wingnut on May 02, 2025, 08:27:23 pm
Marked safe from Russian space debris.
Damn! No chance for Sacramento then 8888crybaby
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2025, 02:56:23 pm »
Quote from: GtHawk on May 03, 2025, 02:13:30 pm
Damn! No chance for Sacramento then 8888crybaby
Relax, Sacramento is still in play.
Quote
According to him, its orbital inclination of 51.7 degrees means it could come down anywhere between 52° North and 52° South latitude.

That's a pretty wide area for possible impact sites.

Figure from almost north to Saskatoon, to the Falkland Islands, in a band around the planet.
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How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis

Offline Cyber Liberty

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2025, 05:34:23 pm »
Quote from: Smokin Joe on May 03, 2025, 02:56:23 pm
Relax, Sacramento is still in play.
That's a pretty wide area for possible impact sites.

Figure from almost north to Saskatoon, to the Falkland Islands, in a band around the planet.

And, as you said, likely in the drink somewhere.
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Offline Lando Lincoln

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #15 on: May 03, 2025, 06:44:06 pm »
Dr. Fauci recommends we all wear hard hats.
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #16 on: May 03, 2025, 06:56:24 pm »
Quote from: Lando Lincoln on May 03, 2025, 06:44:06 pm
Dr. Fauci recommends we all wear hard hats.

Double hard hats.
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Soviet Probe Will Strike Earth Next Week — What To Know
« Reply #17 on: Today at 02:53:19 am »
Quote from: Wingnut on May 03, 2025, 06:56:24 pm
Double hard hats.
...and eye protection. Don't forget that!
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How God must weep at humans' folly! Stand fast! God knows what he is doing!
Seventeen Techniques for Truth Suppression

Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end for they do so with the approval of their own conscience.

C S Lewis
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