Nolte: Panicked Harris Staffers Leak Concerns About Losing NC and MI

[mystery-ak]

Nolte: Panicked Harris Staffers Leak Concerns About Losing NC and MI

John Nolte 22 Oct 2024

Speaking anonymously to far-left NBC News, Kamala Harris campaign staffers say they are concerned about losing the swing states of Michigan and North Carolina.

As you will see below, the loss of those two states would narrow Kamala’s path to victory considerably.

On-the-record staffers claim to be bullish about these must-win states, but campaigns that believe they are about to lose leak this kind of DoomSpeak, and that appears to be what we have here:

    “There has been a thought that maybe Michigan or Wisconsin will fall off,” said a senior Harris campaign official, who stressed that the bigger concern is over Michigan. Two other people with knowledge of campaign strategy — who, like others in this article, were granted anonymity to speak candidly — also underscored deep concern about Michigan. Those people still believe that all the states are close and that there are alternative routes to victory.

“While North Carolina is still in the campaign’s sights and Democrats maintain strong organization and leadership there, the Harris team is far less bullish about victory,” NBC continued, adding, “four people with knowledge of the dynamics said.”

more
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/10/22/nolte-panicked-harris-staffers-leak-concerns-about-losing-nc-and-mi/

[Free Vulcan]

The problem is the base vote. I'm not talking about vote flips, just basic turnout. The polls are based on what they think will be turnout, but if the Rats don't vote in those proportions it won't be that close.

From what I can read and ascertain early voting is not going well, and that's the Rats bread and butter. The younger vote, another Rat mainstay, are the hardest to motivate and don't seem like they are for this one. The union Rats have left or are just plain dead.

The Indies don't seem convinced, and their ethnic group constituency is not exactly as solid as most elections. A loss or shift of 10% of those will leave the Rats grasping for sand.

And the problem for the Rats is that at a general 5% response rate, most polls can't predict that kind of thing accurately in the era of few landlines and a solid reliable way to contact a broad sampling of voters. There's just too much murky undercurrent anymore that can't be pulled out for an accurate survey.

And if that margin for Trump gets around 10%, cheating becomes dicey. There are only so many dishonest election officials and so many precincts (most if not all urban) they are over where they can manufacture votes, and so much they can stuff the box to offset the margins in Trump favorable counties. Or for that matter, a narrower than usual Rat margin, which is actually a far bigger danger for the Rats, especially if it's a big pop county.

All that is to say is that I have no trust in the polls, but the rate at which the Rats are spontaneously freaking out, something is afoot. We'll just have to wait and see.