Author Topic: Retail Sales Boom in September Casts Doubt on Fed’s Aggressive Rate Cut  (Read 979 times)

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Retail Sales Boom in September Casts Doubt on Fed’s Aggressive Rate Cut

John Carney 17 Oct 2024

Retail sales rose by much more than expected in September, calling into question the Federal Reserve’s decision last month to cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point.

Sales at retail stores and online outlets rose by 0.4 percent for the month, despite a sharp decline in gas station sales and flat car sales. Excluding auto dealers and gas stations, retail sales jumped 0.7 percent for the month.

Economists had forecast a 0.3 percent increase both for the overall figure and the ex-gas and ex-autos measure.

Compared with a year ago, total retail sales are up 1.7 percent. But that obscures the strength in sales growth outside of gas stations, which are largely a function of gasoline prices, and autos. Excluding those, sales are up 3.7 percent from a year ago.

In the January through September period, sales are up 2.6 percent compared with the first nine months of last year. Excluding auto dealers and gas stations, sales are up an impressive 3.6 percent.

Two other categories—furniture stores and electronics and appliance stores—recorded monthly declines in spending.  Every other category saw sales increase for the month.

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https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2024/10/17/retail-sales-3/
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Retail Inventories Jump Higher Than Expected, Dealing Another Blow To Fed Policy

John Carney17 Oct 202411

Business inventories rose by 0.3 percent in August, marking the second consecutive month of such growth and the fifth straight month of increases overall, according to a report from the Commerce Department on Thursday.

The accumulation of inventories has provided a boost to the broader economy, with analysts expecting the trend to persist as consumer spending remains resilient. Companies may have ramped up imports ahead of the East Coast port strike, which was suspended earlier this month but remains a concern until at least mid-January.

Retail inventories saw a 0.6 percent increase in August, a slight upward revision from an earlier estimate of 0.5 percent. Motor-vehicle inventories rose by 0.8 percent, following a 1.2 percent rise in July. Excluding autos, retail inventories posted a 0.5 percent gain.

Meanwhile, wholesale inventories edged up by 0.1 percent in August, after a 0.2 percent increase in the previous month. Business sales, however, dipped by 0.2 percent in August, a reversal from the 1.1 percent gain reported in July.

The continued rise in inventories, alongside resilient consumer spending, casts further doubt on the Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by half a percentage point last month. The robust accumulation of goods suggests that businesses are still confident in future demand, despite concerns over a potential slowdown. Combined with stronger-than-expected retail sales, higher-than-expected inflation, and a much hotter-than-forecast jobs report for September, the data raises questions about whether the Fed’s aggressive move to ease monetary policy was premature, as the economy shows few signs of cooling.

https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2024/10/17/business-inventories/
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If we're heading towards monetary collapse, the curreny needs to be spent while it still has some value.

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If we're heading towards monetary collapse, the curreny needs to be spent while it still has some value.

I think I'll put a few dollars towards speculating on Wampum futures.

I'm more of a tulip guy myself.
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Eat, drink and go into debt, for tomorrow the economy may die.
Maybe just people maxing out the credit cards before the BK.

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