« Reply #1 on: September 19, 2024, 12:39:39 pm »
https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1836793024224862437https://twitter.com/Peoples_Pundit/status/1836793587775791454Rich Baris The People's Pundit
@Peoples_Pundit
The NYT Poll is a great example. They have had issues with overstating Democratic support in national polling, but not as pronounced as in the Midwest and other states such as Florida.
Meanwhile, the same pollster is showing significant underperformance by Harris in NY. Native pollsters are echoing that in California.
Those do not account for the disparity in the national vote and the Rust Belt, folks. It's too large.
The demographic groups they and other pollsters have understated would account for that disparty.
Short version, national polling is easier. They're wrong in the Rust Belt and are almost certainly understating Trump's current support (again).
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