CLIMATE FACT CHECK: Study reveals sea surface temperature, not human emissions, drives atmospheric CO2 levels
09/04/2024 / By Lance D Johnson
Despite all the hysteria surrounding human emissions, it turns out that fossil fuel emissions have a negligible impact on atmospheric CO2 levels, especially when compared to natural phenomenon like natural fluctuations in sea surface temperatures. A groundbreaking new study challenges the long-standing belief that human emissions are the primary driver of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO?) concentrations. The research, published in the Science of Climate Change, argues that sea surface temperatures (SST) play a far more significant role than anthropogenic (human-caused) factors in determining annual changes in atmospheric CO? levels. This research calls into question every climate change agenda proposed by global governments and institutions.
Sea surface temperatures dictate atmospheric CO2 levels, not fossil fuel emissions
Using multivariate analysis and publicly available data from leading climate and energy organizations, Dao Ato’s study compares the impacts of sea surface temperature and human emissions on atmospheric CO? concentrations. The analysis spanned from 1959 to 2022 and employed multiple linear regression techniques to evaluate the influence of sea surface temperature and human CO? emissions on the annual increase in atmospheric CO?.
The results reveal that sea surface temperature data, derived from NASA and the UK-HADLEY Centre datasets, was the most accurate predictor of CO? concentrations. The regression model incorporating sea surface temperature explained approximately 66% of the variance in annual CO? increases post-1959, with a remarkably high correlation between predicted and actual CO? levels. The study found a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.9995 between the CO? concentrations predicted using sea surface temperature data from the UK-HADLEY Centre and actual measurements from NOAA, with a minimal prediction error of 1.45 ppm in 2022. In contrast, human CO? emissions showed no significant correlation with annual changes in atmospheric CO?.
Ato’s study also found that human methane emissions, despite rising dramatically in recent decades, have not contributed to rising methane concentrations in the atmosphere through the 21st century.
Sea surface temperature data from NASA’s GISS and the UK-HADLEY Centre similarly demonstrated strong correlations with atmospheric CO? levels, surpassing the much smaller, insignificant correlations between human emissions and atmospheric CO2 levels. The study also challenges the accuracy of historical CO? records, noting discrepancies between ice core data and modern measurements.
https://www.climate.news/2024-09-04-study-sea-surface-temperature-impacts-co2-levels.html#
