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Online mystery-ak

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Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« on: August 27, 2024, 07:44:57 pm »
Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
By
Christian Datoc
August 27, 2024 6:20 pm
.

The Cook Political Report on Tuesday shifted three states, including hotly contested battleground North Carolina, toward Vice President Kamala Harris.

The updates come as Harris continues to shrink the lead, both nationally and in seven battlegrounds, that former President Donald Trump opened up on President Joe Biden before the latter dropped out of the 2024 presidential race in July.

The Cook Political Report‘s publisher, Amy Walter, wrote Tuesday that the Tar Heel State is now a toss-up, as opposed to leaning Republican, “not because Harris is cutting into Trump’s vote, but because Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents are coming home.”

“Back in May, the Cook Political Report Swing State Project survey showed Biden trailing Trump by seven points (41% to 48%). The most recent Swing State Project poll taken in late July/early August, found Trump taking a similar share of the vote (47%), but Harris had improved on Biden’s share of the vote by seven points and sat at 48%,” Walter continued. “Her success was driven by increasing her margins with Democrats (+13), Black voters (+4) and independent voters (+13).”

Walter noted that Trump and his campaign appear to be keyed into this movement, as the former president has campaigned in North Carolina three times in the month since Harris supplanted Biden atop the Democratic ticket.

“The Trump campaign can’t afford to let North Carolina slip,” Walter said. “If Harris were to win just North Carolina and the Blue Wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, she could afford to lose every other competitive Sun Belt state — Nevada, Georgia, and Arizona — and still win the Electoral College vote.”

more
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3135966/three-states-cook-political-report-harris-north-carolina/
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Online mystery-ak

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #1 on: August 27, 2024, 07:45:32 pm »
Then why is she bothering to do an interview and a debate?
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Offline Smokin Joe

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #2 on: August 27, 2024, 07:47:25 pm »
Quote from: mystery-ak on August 27, 2024, 07:45:32 pm
Then why is she bothering to do an interview and a debate?
Because the printers haven't broken down yet, nor produced the requisite number of anticipated necessary ballots.
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #3 on: August 27, 2024, 08:02:51 pm »
Quote from: Smokin Joe on August 27, 2024, 07:47:25 pm
Because the printers haven't broken down yet, nor produced the requisite number of anticipated necessary ballots.

 :yowsa:
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2024, 08:33:04 am »
It would not surprise me if she carried NC, and Trump must have similar data because he has visited the state often.  The mountain areas have seen an influx of misfit progressives.  The people moving into the piedmont are mostly young and college educated independents.  He did poorly in the piedmont, and only won a narrow plurality because of shrinking rural counties, coupled with retirees at the coast and elsewhere. 
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2024, 09:27:51 am »
2024 is so unique, and there has never been an election year, where polls have had so little relevance.

As I have stated numerous time, Trump and Harris have hard floors that account for 98% of the electorate.  Pretty much everyone made up their minds months ago, and this final 2% is not going to decide it, even if they bother to vote at all. 

It is going to depend on GOTV,  and the dims ability to stuff the boxes.   So bottom line, the fact that the MSM's phony polls are showing a Harris surge is absurd, and a fully fabricated exercise in "Gaslight Bandwaggoning" due to leading questions that scream push-polling.

Read the details of the polls, if you really want to get an idea.  You'll be shocked.
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2024, 09:50:50 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on August 28, 2024, 09:27:51 am
It is going to depend on GOTV,  and the dims ability to stuff the boxes.   So bottom line, the fact that the MSM's phony polls are showing a Harris surge is absurd, and a fully fabricated exercise in "Gaslight Bandwaggoning" due to leading questions that scream push-polling.

If the Republicans are serious about "it's Trump or curtains," they have a duty to exploit every GOTV mechanism while monitoring the polling places, and going to court if necessary.  So I agree, and if we see evidence of this happening prior to election day, things may turn out better than expected.
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Offline Bigun

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2024, 09:58:30 am »
Cook Political Report
Enough said!
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Offline libertybele

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #8 on: August 28, 2024, 10:04:01 am »
Polls are polls and it would be great if the DEM voting base were to become over confident and become complacent.  happy77
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Offline cato potatoe

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Re: Three states, including North Carolina, shift toward Harris and Democrats
« Reply #9 on: August 28, 2024, 01:03:07 pm »
Quote from: Bigun on August 28, 2024, 09:58:30 am
Cook Political Report
Enough said!

Cook is just averaging the polls.  There is every reason to believe NC is close, NH and MN will stay blue, unless Jesus would declare Trump the winner in those states also. 
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