Columnist: 'Trump Needs Someone to Tell Him...He's Losing.' But Is He? Guy Benson

[mystery-ak]

Columnist: 'Trump Needs Someone to Tell Him...He's Losing.' But Is He?
Guy Benson

Political commentator Bernie Goldberg is attempting something of a political intervention-via-column, not entirely dissimilar to a recent post in which I argued that Trump has been jolted from a victory glide path, and is in real danger of losing the November election.  I'm not sure I'd confidently say Trump is losing right now, but his clear advantage prior to Democrats nullifying their election and switching candidates has morphed into a coin toss situation.  He needs to be up bigger than this on the economy, for instance.  If Harris can maintain her media-driven "honeymoon" for additional weeks, and if Trump and Republicans aren't more disciplined on defining her and highlighting her words and record, her frontrunner status could be solidified.  As things stand right now, ahead of Democrats' weeklong infomercial in Chicago next week, national polls suggest that Harris is either winning by a margin similar to Biden's victory range in 2020, or the race is tied, or Trump is slightly ahead.  In other words, pick your preferred poll.  Democrats will pick this one:

    The first Emerson College Polling national survey following President Biden’s decision not to seek re-election finds Vice President Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump 50% to 46%. Five percent of likely voters are undecided. With undecided voters’ support allocated, Harris continues to lead by four, 52% to 48%. With third-party candidates on the ballot, Harris and Trump’s support evenly decreases by two points, Harris to 48% and Trump to 44%. Four percent support Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Republicans will pick this one (I'll note that Fox's polling has not historically been terribly kind to Trump):


And this one splits the difference:

    New national poll by @cygnal

    🟦 Harris: 48%
    🟥 Trump: 47%
    ---
    🟦 Harris: 44%
    🟥 Trump: 44%
    🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
    🟪 Other: 2%
    —
    Generic Ballot
    🟥 GOP: 47%
    🟦 DEM: 46%
    ——
    Crosstabs (two-way)

    • Swing voter: Harris 44-34%
    • Democrats: Harris 94-4%
    • Republicans: Trump 92-5%
    •… pic.twitter.com/SmuXt4kJoP
    — InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) August 15, 2024


Fox's numbers has Trump up eight with independents, while Cynal gives Harris the lead among that group by the same margin (though Trump has a small lead in the suburbs).  As for swing state polling, it's very tight, with Harris closing the gap or surpassing Trump in states Biden was on track to lose:

more
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2024/08/16/columnist-trump-needs-someone-to-tell-himhes-losing-but-is-he-n2643475

[berdie]

What I see is that we were outplayed on this.

[jafo2010]

Harris will win with the fix where needed. 

The republic is dead without fair and free elections.  We have become Russia, with our youth declaring they support socialism.  If we do not wake up soon as a nation, this nation will be permanently gone.

[libertybele]

What I see is that we were outplayed on this.

Yes, we've been outplayed @berdie     Let's see .... Joe has less delegates than some of the other candidates but yet everyone decides to step down to pave the way for Joe...then...voila...COVID hits....a thriving economy takes a huge hit .... Trump loses an election, though both Cruz and Hawley declared objections just as the Senate was stormed be 'insurrectionists' and afterwards Pence certifies the election.  There are those in here who witnessed some serious vote count stalls....history as we know it.  Joe has been a disaster, can't even count to ten .... Congress sits idly by until a debate was held and then ....voila again ... Kamel is inserted. 

Who knows what's going to take place from now until the election.

Outplayed indeed. As I have stated several times, never ever underestimate the evilness and underhandedness of the DEMS.  They will stop at nothing to retain their power.

[libertybele]

Harris will win with the fix where needed. 

The republic is dead without fair and free elections.  We have become Russia, with our youth declaring they support socialism.  If we do not wake up soon as a nation, this nation will be permanently gone.

I'm not so sure that our Republic isn't already gone.  What has the GOP/RNC done to ensure election integrity?  Supposedly they're supposed to have poll watchers at over 100,000 precincts, but that's not going to do squat.  Laws and procedures needed to be implemented and changed.

[jafo2010]

libertybele,

I have said since 2020, that the republic is in fact dead.  We are sort of in transition to a totalitarian governance exactly like what is going on in Russia.  We just haven't stepped up to the brutality that comes with a totalitarian form of governance, but it is right around the corner.  It is coming.

We will have re-education, and for the worst of us, we will be summarily tried, convicted, and shot in short order, no different than Russia.  It is coming.