“We should have better answers by now”: Broken Climate Models Can’t even Explain the Recent Warm Bump
10 hours ago Eric Worrall
Essay by Eric Worrall
If climate models can’t even get heat spikes right, what use are they?
‘We should have better answers by now’: climate scientists baffled by unexpected pace of heating
Jonathan Watts Global environment editorThu 15 Aug 2024 22.00 AEST
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In a remarkably candid essay in the journal Nature this March, one of the world’s top climate scientists posited the alarming possibility that global heating may be moving beyond the ability of experts to predict what happens next.
“The 2023 temperature anomaly has come out of the blue, revealing an unprecedented knowledge gap perhaps for the first time since about 40 years ago, when satellite data began offering modellers an unparalleled, real-time view of Earth’s climate system,” wrote Gavin Schmidt, a British scientist and the director of the Nasa Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York.
If this anomaly does not stabilise by August, he said, it could imply “that a warming planet is already fundamentally altering how the climate system operates, much sooner than scientists had anticipated”.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/08/15/we-should-have-better-answers-by-now-broken-climate-models-cant-even-explain-the-recent-warm-bump/
