Poll shows 3 swing states move away from Trump, dubbing them ‘toss-ups’ as Kamala surges
By Ryan King
Published Aug. 8, 2024, 11:51 a.m. ET
The Cook Political Report moved Arizona, Georgia and Nevada away from former President Donald Trump, switching them from “Lean Republican” to “toss-ups” as Vice President Kamala Harris enjoys a polling bump.
Last month, the election handicapper shifted those three states toward Trump in the aftermath of President Biden’s brutal debate performance, but now the election dynamic has seemingly reset with Harris at the helm of the Democratic ticket.
“Three weeks ago, Donald Trump was leading President Joe Biden in the Cook Political Report national vote tracker by about 2.5%. Today, Kamala Harris leads Trump by less than one point, a shift of more than three points in Harris’ direction,” Cook Political Report’s editor-in-chief Amy Walter explained.
“For the first time in a long time, Democrats are united and energized, while Republicans are on their heels,” she added. “The presidential contest has moved from one that was Trump’s to lose to a much more competitive contest.”
She ran through various data showing stark changes in polling since Biden’s sudden exit from the race. This includes averages showing Trump’s advantage in Georgia dwindling from a 5.9-point lead to just 1 point, and in Arizona from a 5.5-point lead down to 1.9 points.
Thus far, there have been sparse surveys done in Nevada, but Walter pointed to recent CBS and Bloomberg polling that had Harris in the lead.
Despite that recent change from the Cook Political Report, it still prognosticates that Trump, 78, is ahead in the election — but at 235 Electoral College votes for the former president and 226 toward Harris, 59.
To win the 2024 battle, one must clinch 270 Electoral College votes, and the election handicapper ranks 77 electoral votes as toss-ups.
“We are the underdogs in this race,” Harris declared during an energetic rally in Philadelphia Tuesday where she unveiled Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
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https://nypost.com/2024/08/08/us-news/cook-political-report-moves-three-states-away-from-trump/
