‘Irrational exuberance’: Has the race really changed? By Byron York

[mystery-ak]

‘Irrational exuberance’: Has the race really changed?
By
Byron York
August 5, 2024 11:29 am
.

‘IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE’: HAS THE RACE REALLY CHANGED? It has now been two weeks since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and Vice President Kamala Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee. It’s always hard to get a quick handle on public reaction to a huge event like that, but after a couple of weeks, the news has had time to sink in with voters, and it’s time to start looking at some new polling.

The bottom line is that so far, the Biden gambit, the sudden switch forced on the president by powerful Democratic Party insiders, appears to be working. In early July, before the wild series of events that rocked the race — Trump assassination attempt, GOP convention, J.D. Vance, Biden withdrawal, rushed delegate vote for Harris — Trump had a lead of slightly more than 3 points over Biden in the RealClearPolitics average of national polls. Now, two weeks after the Biden/Harris swap, Trump’s lead over Harris is less than a point.

What has happened is precisely what Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio predicted when Biden pulled out. “We will start to see public polling — particularly national public polls — where Harris is gaining on or even leading President Trump,” Fabrizio wrote in a July 23 memo. “The Democrats and the MSM will try and tout these polls as proof that the race has changed.”

more
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columnists/3110619/irrational-exuberance-has-the-race-really-changed/

[PeteS in CA]

Dem orchestrated MSM-shill hype.

[goatprairie]

In nominating Harris for Veep, Biden made it possible that the Dems might be hoist by their own petard. Going for the DEI pick instead of picking a more competent Dem (a pretty low bar) is coming back to bite the Dems in their hindquarters.
Harris has nothing to recommend her. She is employing the traditional methods by Dems to use class warfare and abortion on demand as the most important issues. And, of course, she has flip-flopped on virtually every major issue she used to champion.
That doesn't mean that it's a sure thing for Trump. Far from it. He has habit of stepping on his member with his dumb comments concerning race and the 2020 election he LEGITIMATELY!!!! lost.
Attempts by Trump campaign people to get Trump to stick to the issues and refrain from his sliming and slandering of friends and enemies is usually pointless. Trump will do what he does.
Can the media help Harris over the finish line? They'll certainly try. But once she opens her mouth in a debate, she'll probably go down in the polls.
 That's if Trump can stop with his usual sliming and not act like a jerk like he did in his first debate with Biden in 2020 which might have cost him the election. We'll see if a leopard can change its spots.

[Weird Tolkienish Figure]

RCP shows considerable strength for Harris, not sure if it's just a bounce or what.

Buckle up, next few months are going to be bumpy.