Japanese Scientist Concludes IPCC Is Using "Erroneous" Parameters And Climate Sensitivities
by Willem Post
Jul 25
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profiles/blogs/japanese-scientist-concludes-ipcc-is-using-erroneous-parametersKyoji Kimoto, kyoji@mirane.co.jp
Independent climate researcher
History of the AGW narrative of the IPCC
Manabe’s model studies debunked by Newell (1979)
The anthropogenic global warming (AGW) scare was created in part by Japanese scientist Syukuro Manabe using a one dimensional radiative-convective model (1DRCM) having no ocean (1964/1967). He obtained a no-feedback climate sensitivity of 1.3 °C for doubling of CO2 using the fixed lapse rate assumption of 6.5 °C/km and a radiative forcing of 4 (W/m2) at the tropopause, which was further enlarged to 2.4 °C with a water vapor feedback.
Eminent meteorologist R. Newell from MIT criticized Manabe’s model lacking in ocean cooling. He obtained a No-feedback climate sensitivity of 0.03°C for a doubling of CO2 with a thermal inertia of 30 (W/m2) per 1 °C for the surface waters of the ocean using a surface radiative forcing of 1 (W/m2) to incorporate the IR spectra overlap between CO2 and water vapor.
The department of Energy & Dr. R. Cess, however, killed Newell’s ideas to promote nuclear reactors in a difficult time due to the Three Mile Island nuclear accident in 1979.
Manabe continued his model studies to enlarge climate sensitivity (CS) for a doubling of CO2 with introducing various feed backs (FBs) as follows, which is the theoretical basis of IPCC’s AGW narrative.
https://www.windtaskforce.org/m/blogpost?id=4401701%3ABlogPost%3A261508
