Harris’s path to the White House appears to run through Pennsylvania
By
Naomi Lim
July 26, 2024 7:00 am
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The ascendency of Vice President Kamala Harris to the top of the Democratic ticket has led to a wave of optimism within the party that the electoral map will be shaken up and November’s election is no longer a foregone conclusion.
But for all the fundraising numbers, social media memes and vibes, the sobering reality is that the electoral map has not suddenly changed, and like President Joe Biden before her, Harris’s chance of victory is poised to come down to one state – Pennsylvania. While proper polling of Harris’s prospect against former President Donald Trump is only days old, data underscores how Trump maintains an advantage.
The likelihood that Democrats will win the White House in three months improved “significantly” this week when Harris replaced Biden as the party’s 2024 presumptive nominee, but Republicans “have more room for error,” according to University of Wisconsin-Madison Elections Research Center Director Barry Burden.
“Before Biden’s departure, Democrats were clinging to the three ‘blue wall’ states in the Midwest as their mostly likely and maybe only swing state path to victory,” Burden told the Washington Examiner. “Although Trump lost both the popular vote and the Electoral College vote in 2020, he is still advantaged. He only needs to flip two or three of the states that Biden took from him four years ago to be victorious again.”
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https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/campaigns/presidential/3099436/harris-narrow-path-white-house-appears-run-through-pennsylvania/
