Trump, Harris separated by 1 point in new survey

[mystery-ak]

 Trump, Harris separated by 1 point in new survey
by Julia Mueller - 07/25/24 3:20 PM ET



Former President Trump and Vice President Harris are separated by 1 percentage point among likely voters in a new survey, signaling the likely Democratic nominee is narrowing the gap against her Republican rival compared to President Biden.

A New York Times/Siena College poll puts the pair nearly tied, with Trump leading Harris 48 percent to 47 percent among likely voters in a one-on-one match-up.

In early July, the poll found Biden behind Trump by 6 points in the wake of a disappointing performance at the first presidential debate.

Among registered voters, Trump leads Harris 48 percent to 46 percent, a 2-point edge smaller than the 9-point lead he held over Biden in the previous poll.

The new numbers are a promising sign for Democrats just days after Biden made the historic move to withdraw from the White House race and endorse Harris for 2024. The vice president has already secured the delegate support she needs for the Democratic presidential nomination ahead of her party’s convention next month.

The Times/Siena poll also found an overwhelming 7 in 10 Democratic voters said they want their party to consolidate behind Harris rather than court other options in a more competitive process, and 14 percent said they’d prefer another option at the top of the ticket.

Harris has seen a swell of Democratic support and pulled in massive fundraising numbers, but polling has also flashed signs of an uphill fight in key battleground states.

At the same time, Harris has seen signals of an enthusiasm boost among critical voting blocs, including young voters and voters of color.

The Times/Siena poll was conducted Monday through Wednesday, beginning one day after Biden announced he was dropping out of the race. It polled 1,142 registered voters across the country. The poll’s margin of sampling error among registered voters is 3.3 percentage points.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4793105-trump-harris-poll-1-point/



Harris Narrows Gap Against Trump, Times/Siena Poll Finds

In a survey taken after President Biden stepped aside, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are locked in a tight race separated by a single percentage point among likely voters.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/us/politics/poll-kamala-harris-donald-trump.html

[mystery-ak]

Bonchie
@bonchieredstate
·
19m
Trump is going to need to adjust
his strategy or Harris is going to continue to overtake him. There’s no denying her bump at this point.

Hanging on Truth Social while Biden self-destructed was a good plan. That’s over, and it’s going to take message discipline to beat her.

[mystery-ak]

Trump leads 50%-43%, no Harris bump
By
Paul Bedard
July 25, 2024 10:25 am
.

So much for the expected polling bump for Vice President Kamala Harris.

In three surveys since she became the presumptive Democratic nominee for president, Harris has failed to overtake former President Donald Trump as his campaign feared would happen.

Instead, the race remains where it has been for months, with Trump leading Harris both in new national head-to-head and battleground state surveys.

Just out is the latest Rasmussen Reports poll shared with Secrets and taken over the past three nights. It shows Trump leading Harris with likely voters 50%-43%, well outside the margin of error.

That is just a 1-point increase for Harris over Rasmussen’s last Biden-Trump head-to-head survey taken shortly before Biden bowed out of the 2024 race amid pressure from Democratic elites and the media to abandon his lifelong dream of being president out of fear he might lose to Trump.

https://twitter.com/SecretsBedard/status/1816443622645965270

Significantly, the new poll shows a massive 20-point gap among independent voters favoring Trump, 53%-33%. It does show a slight gain in Democratic voter support for Harris over Biden.

Also, it shows Trump keeping his support solid with black and Hispanic voters as well as with younger voters. Some other surveys, including the just out Emerson College Polling/Hill newspaper battleground poll, showed younger voters trending to Harris.

When third-party candidates were included in Rasmussen’s questioning, Trump kept his 7-point lead over Harris, 49%-42%. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. lost half of his support, dropping to 4% from 8%.

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/washington-secrets/3098803/trump-leads-50-43-no-harris-bump/

[Right_in_Virginia]

Bonchie
@bonchieredstate
·19m

Trump is going to need to adjust his strategy or Harris is going to continue to overtake him. There’s no denying her bump at this point.

Hanging on Truth Social while Biden self-destructed was a good plan. That’s over, and it’s going to take message discipline to beat her.

I look forward to the day when those posting this advice crap on social media actually knew what Trump is doing ---- along with those who believe it and head for the fainting couch.

[mystery-ak]

https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1816584844047991219

[Wingnut]

Hunter gets bumps.  Kamala get humps. 


Just saying

[jafo2010]

Two months from now, if Cackling Kam is indeed the Democommie candidate, the shine will begin to tarnish like copper exposed to the elements.

For me, she is the Jessie Smollett of politics.  Initially embraced and beloved, and quickly abhorred by most.  By November, I expect many Dems will not even vote if it means voting for the Smollett candidate of the Democommie Party.