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Offline mystery-ak

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Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a toss-u
« on: June 26, 2024, 06:44:24 pm »
 Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a toss-up’
By Social Links for Ryan King
Published June 26, 2024, 5:48 p.m. ET

There’s a clear front-runner in the 2024 presidential race, according to renowned election analyst and statistical guru Nate Silver.

The data maven unveiled his quadrennial model Wednesday and started off by giving former President Donald Trump a 65.7% chance of victory over President Biden on Nov. 5.

Silver’s current prediction, based on 40,000 simulations run through the model, predicts that Biden, 81, is likely to edge out Trump, 78, in the national popular vote by one-tenth of a percentage point (47.2% to 47.1%).

However, in the all-important Electoral College, Silver’s model has Trump receiving 287 electoral votes — just above the 270 needed to win the White House.

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https://nypost.com/2024/06/26/us-news/famed-polling-expert-nate-silver-makes-trump-heavy-favorite-to-beat-biden-in-november-not-a-toss-up/
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Offline Wingnut

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Re: Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a toss-u
« Reply #1 on: June 26, 2024, 06:47:47 pm »
I think it is a given Biden will win the popular vote.  But Trump needs to stop the steal part II in the swing states.
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Online rangerrebew

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Re: Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a toss-u
« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2024, 11:20:21 am »
Nate Silver Drops a Truth Bomb About the Election, and the Left Won't Like It
MATT MARGOLIS | 5:51 PM ON JUNE 26, 2024
   
 
Famed pollster and statistician Nate Silver has released his first 2024 presidential election forecast, and boy, Democrats aren't going to be happy about it. Silver is no stranger to election modeling, as you probably know, and his first 2024 election forecast, which was published on Wednesday, gives Donald Trump a nearly 66% chance of winning the election.
 

Based on his simulations, he currently gives Trump a 65.7% of winning the Electoral College and a 49% chance of winning the popular vote.


Cue the wails from the radical left. The tears and angry fists are definitely out in full force on social media.

Silver, of course, was prepared for the angry screams from the left for not telling them what they wanted to hear. "Although I have plenty of disagreements with progressives these days, my political values haven’t changed that much," he says. "I don’t want Trump to win the election, and I’d never consider voting for him."

https://pjmedia.com/matt-margolis/2024/06/26/nate-silver-drops-a-truth-bomb-about-the-election-and-the-left-wont-like-it-n4930185
« Last Edit: June 27, 2024, 11:21:16 am by rangerrebew »
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Offline DefiantMassRINO

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Re: Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a toss-u
« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2024, 11:22:17 am »
Oh, yeah, Trump can still win ... the felony convictions are irrelevant ... Biden is that bad.
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Online rangerrebew

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Re: Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a toss-u
« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2024, 11:22:26 am »
While this may be reality, it doesn't take into account the illegalities the democrats have planned. **nononono*
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The unity of government which constitutes you one people is also now dear to you. It is justly so, for it is a main pillar in the edifice of your real independence, the support of your tranquility at home, your peace abroad; of your safety; of your prosperity; of that very liberty which you so highly prize. But as it is easy to foresee that, from different causes and from different quarters, much pains will be taken, many artifices employed to weaken in your minds the conviction of this truth.  George Washington - Farewell Address

Offline Fishrrman

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Re: Famed polling expert Nate Silver makes Trump heavy favorite to beat Biden in November: ‘Not a to
« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2024, 06:27:39 pm »
MY prediction is four years old -- NOTHING has changed:
http://www.gopbriefingroom.com/index.php/topic,417203.msg2305819.html#msg2305819
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