I stop believing in these.

For most of 2022, it looked good for Republicans. People were unhappy with Biden. They were unhappy with inflation and the economy and the border.
Then the fall came. Biden came out with his grotesque but effective “ MAGA Republican” speech and his fortunes changed
We’re going to see something similar play out this fall.
Right now Trump is benefiting from people’s dissatisfaction with Biden. But I would rather be in Biden’s position than Donald Trump’s. He easily won his primary as an incumbent( I predicted that RFK Junior challenge would fall apart, pretty easily )and is raising record amounts of money while Trump is begging his supporters for money.
Biden is also going on the offensive by asking people if they are better off now than they were four years ago. Four years ago we were locked down which caused the economy to basically collapse, and unemployment reached up to 13%. The “are you better off four years ago than you are now” is an argument that will not work for Trump. He should try “are you better off now than you were six years ago?”
And as of now, the stock market is doing better than it was under Trump. If I was advising Donald Trump, I would tell him to pound the hell out of Biden over the border issue.
Folks, barring a very major event, Biden is not stepping down before the election. He’s raising record amounts of money for not only his campaign, but Democrats down ballot also. And he’s beating MAGA.
They just figure they’ll drug him and script him enough just to get him over the finish line