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Author Topic: A Test of Skill for Climate Models  (Read 264 times)

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Offline rangerrebew

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A Test of Skill for Climate Models
« on: January 23, 2024, 08:24:38 am »
A Test of Skill for Climate Models
23 hours ago
Richard Willoughby

The temperature measured across the globe in October 2023 has set a new record high anomaly.  With that as the backdrop, this essay looks at the predictive skill of climate models in forecasting the record.

Anomalies – A Brilliant Deception

Climate botherers are fixated on temperature anomalies and have convinced sufficient number of voters that 1.5C rise in global average surface temperature (GAST) is a critical threshold for the globe.  October 2023 came perilously close to breaching the threshold so it deserves closer analysis as to what it means and how well various climate models have managed to forecast this outcome.

Temperature of the Lower Troposphere

This analysis begins with the examination of the temperature of the lower troposphere produced by the satellite remote sensing system (RSS) and displayed below in Chart 1.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/01/22/a-test-of-skill-for-climate-models/
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