Author Topic: Windshield Wiper Seasonal Forecasts…NOAA Revises Its February Outlook For Europe Downward  (Read 280 times)

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Offline rangerrebew

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Windshield Wiper Seasonal Forecasts…NOAA Revises Its February Outlook For Europe Downward
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From the NoTricksZone

By P Gosselin

We keep hearing how we’re all supposed to believe in models – even those of highly complex, poorly understood systems like weather and climate. Yet, their outputs keep changing.

Hat-tip Snowfan here.

Back on December 22, last year, the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast a warmer than normal February 2024:


But it has since turned out that their models for Europe weren’t working out very well.

Now what follows is the latest, made 2 days ago, on January 11, 2024:


All of Europe’s earlier projected February forecast mean temperature have been cooled down. Now it looks like February will be near normal. So does that mean we’ll be holding off on those spring projects? The answer is of course is nobody knows. These seasonal forecasts change like a windshield wiper.

https://wattsupwiththat.com/2024/01/13/windshield-wiper-seasonal-forecastsnoaa-revises-its-february-outlook-for-europe-downward/
The unity of government which constitutes you one people is also now dear to you. It is justly so, for it is a main pillar in the edifice of your real independence, the support of your tranquility at home, your peace abroad; of your safety; of your prosperity; of that very liberty which you so highly prize. But as it is easy to foresee that, from different causes and from different quarters, much pains will be taken, many artifices employed to weaken in your minds the conviction of this truth.  George Washington - Farewell Address

Offline rangerrebew

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You would think by now people would have come to the realization weather doesn't much give a d*mn about long range forecasts, or short range for that matter.  Weather is going to do what it does when the conditions are correct.
The unity of government which constitutes you one people is also now dear to you. It is justly so, for it is a main pillar in the edifice of your real independence, the support of your tranquility at home, your peace abroad; of your safety; of your prosperity; of that very liberty which you so highly prize. But as it is easy to foresee that, from different causes and from different quarters, much pains will be taken, many artifices employed to weaken in your minds the conviction of this truth.  George Washington - Farewell Address