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Online mystery-ak

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Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« on: January 11, 2024, 11:25:08 am »
 Posted on January 10, 2024 by John Hinderaker
Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot

Pollsters love to ask the generic ballot question: without naming names, “If the elections for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate or for the Republican candidate?” It is a basic measure of party strength as the next election approaches.

The generic ballot question is also weirdly volatile. Preferences shift more often than one would expect.

In any event, Rasmussen has good news for Republicans:

    Ten months ahead of the 2024 election, Republicans have a nine-point lead as they seek to maintain their narrow House majority.

    The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that if the elections for Congress were held today, 49% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 40% would vote for the Democrat. Just five percent (5%) would vote for some other candidate, but another nine percent (7%) are not sure.

A 9 point margin is solid. At least, it used to be. In days gone by, the generic ballot favored Democrats, and if it was even close, it portended a GOP victory. I don’t think that is still true. Thus, in October 2022 I forecasted a blowout win for the House GOP, based on Rasmussen’s seven-point GOP margin. Needless to say, it didn’t happen.

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https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2024/01/republicans-open-big-lead-on-generic-ballot.php
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2024, 11:26:14 am »
Didn't we hear the same thing in '22?

Still waiting for that massive red wave.




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Offline LMAO

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #2 on: January 11, 2024, 11:28:54 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on January 11, 2024, 11:26:14 am
Didn't we hear the same thing in '22?

Still waiting for that massive red wave.

You took the words right out of my mouth, or fingers

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Offline andy58-in-nh

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #3 on: January 11, 2024, 11:33:03 am »
Generic Republicans are great. The actual ones largely suck.
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Offline Free Vulcan

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #4 on: January 11, 2024, 11:50:30 am »
Quote from: catfish1957 on January 11, 2024, 11:26:14 am
Didn't we hear the same thing in '22?

Still waiting for that massive red wave.

When you can simply invent votes from thin air almost at will, even in mostly red states like AZ, polls don't mean much.

And I don't expect the nat'l GOP to figure it out any time soon.
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Offline DefiantMassRINO

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #5 on: January 11, 2024, 01:03:26 pm »
The Dems are wrong on Immigration, Global Climate Change / Energy, and Government spending.

The GOP is losing because of its poor candidates and poor organization.
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Offline catfish1957

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #6 on: January 11, 2024, 01:05:22 pm »
Quote from: DefiantMassRINO on January 11, 2024, 01:03:26 pm
The Dems are wrong on Immigration, Global Climate Change / Energy, and Government spending.

The GOP is losing because of its poor candidates and poor organization.

Don't forget flaccid and feckless.
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Online rustynail

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Re: Republicans Open Big Lead On Generic Ballot
« Reply #7 on: January 11, 2024, 01:07:06 pm »
The geriatric ballot?
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