« on: November 19, 2022, 10:27:42 am »
Trump vs. DeSantis: How the two GOP heavyweights match uphttps://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3740984-trump-vs-desantis-how-the-two-gop-heavyweights-match-up/Two years out from the next presidential election, the leading contenders on the Republican side are already clear.
At this early stage, it’s a two-horse race between former President Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.
Trump launched his 2024 campaign at Mar-a-Lago on Tuesday. He is aiming to avenge his 2020 defeat and become the first president since Grover Cleveland to serve nonconsecutive terms.
DeSantis won a resounding victory in his reelection battle on Election Day, crushing his Democratic opponent, Charlie Crist, by about 20 points. The result sent a powerful signal about his likely electability in 2024.
There is one obvious difference between the two. DeSantis has not yet said he will seek the presidency.
If he does, he would plainly be Trump’s most serious rival.
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DeSantis has been catapulted past Trump in several polls after Trump suffered a poor outcome in the midterms.
A number of the former president’s high-profile endorsees lost. Several party figures, including Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, have suggested Trump is harming the party’s brand.
The popularity shift from Trump to DeSantis was especially stark in several polls commissioned in early primary states by the conservative Club for Growth.
A poll in Iowa put DeSantis 11 points clear of Trump, a marked turnaround from a similar poll in August when the Florida governor had been behind by 15 points.
In the most recent poll in New Hampshire, DeSantis led by around 15 points, despite the two candidates having been tied in August.
National polls point in a similar direction.
An Economist-YouGov poll this week indicated that 46 percent of Republican voters would prefer DeSantis to be the nominee, compared to 39 percent who would favor Trump.
The Economist poll also exposed Trump’s Achilles’ heel: the sheer number of people who dislike him.
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