Electric Vehicle Mandates Threaten U.S. GridCarbon dioxide emissions reduced by moving away from one fossil fuel will be replaced by those from burning another.
MICHAEL FUMENTO
APRIL 22, 2022
Don’t want to drive an electric vehicle? Well, depending on where you live, you may not have a choice soon. Converting the nation’s fleet of automobiles and trucks to electric power is considered a critical aspect of the battle against alleged manmade global climate change.
The Biden administration wants to see “emission-free” vehicles account for half of all vehicle sales by 2030, while New York state law bans new fossil fuel vehicle sales by 2035 as does a California executive order. If two of the nation’s most populous states forbid internal combustion engine sales, that could drag the rest of the country with it. This is all a crucial aspect of the Biden goal of U.S. carbon neutrality by 2050.
But riddle me this. Will the current electrical grid support this transition from petroleum fuel to that generated by power plants, and if not, what type of plants will be built to support the enlarged grid? To what extent will the fossil fuel petroleum refined into gasoline and diesel give way to plants that burn natural gas or even—shudder—coal? Or can we supply the extra energy with solar and wind as environmentalists seem to fervently believe? Conversely, can we do it with nuclear power?
These headlines, all from the last half of last year, show it’s not particularly clear cut. The Washington Post says, “Plug-in Cars Are the Future. The Grid Isn’t Ready.” But Forbes suggests “Electricity Grids Can Handle Electric Vehicles Easily.” Meanwhile, the Gray Lady puts it in question form: “Electric Cars are Coming, and Fast. Is the Nation’s Grid Up to It?”
Clouding the crystal ball is that we don’t know how successful the mandates and subsidies will be, nor how electric vehicle battery technology will progress. We can just consider the basic parameters.
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While there has been almost no U.S. increase in electricity demand in recent years, a U.S. Department of Energy study found that increased electrification across all sectors of the economy could boost national consumption by 20 percent, to 38 percent by 2050, mostly from an increased use of electric vehicles. Hence, the grid will need dramatic expansion. More generation plants and more transmission lines.
How? U.S. nuclear reactors are being taken offline. Nuclear power opponents have safety-featured them to death. Required upgrades aren’t worth it compared to building new natural gas powered plants. Likewise, the plants currently being built face nightmarish cost and completion overruns. The only two U.S. nuclear reactors under construction are six years late and at least $16 billion over budget. It’s the end of the line for so-called “Generation 3+” plants in the country. The U.S. Energy Information Administration projects electricity provided by nuclear plants will drop from about 19 percent now to only 12 percent by 2050. And no, that study is not taking into account an increased exchange of gasoline and diesel for voltage.
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Source:
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/articles/electric-vehicle-mandates-threaten-u-s-grid/